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Mon Jul 7 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Twins (43‑47)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 55 36 34% 26% 18% 8% 6% 4% 4%
Current Standings 54 36 32% 26% 18% 8% 7% 5% 5%
Lose Next Game 54 37 28% 26% 20% 8% 7% 5% 6%


Current Series - Twins (43‑47) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 57 36 39% 26% 16% 8% 5% 3% 3%
Current Standings 54 36 32% 26% 18% 8% 7% 5% 5%
Twins Sweeps 54 39 23% 25% 21% 9% 8% 6% 8%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
72 of 72 100% 126 36 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 72 97% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 72 83% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
52 of 72 72% 106 56 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 72 71% 105 57 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 72 69% 104 58 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 72 68% 103 59 83% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 72 67% 102 60 76% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 72 65% 101 61 67% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 72 64% 100 62 58% 37% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 72 63% 99 63 49% 41% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 72 61% 98 64 37% 47% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 72 60% 97 65 27% 50% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 72 58% 96 66 19% 47% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1%
41 of 72 57% 95 67 11% 42% 33% 11% 2% <1% <1%
40 of 72 56% 94 68 6% 34% 40% 14% 5% <1% <1%
39 of 72 54% 93 69 3% 26% 44% 18% 8% 1% <1%
38 of 72 53% 92 70 1% 17% 45% 20% 14% 3% <1%
37 of 72 51% 91 71 <1% 10% 43% 18% 21% 7% 1%
36 of 72 50% 90 72 <1% 5% 37% 14% 27% 14% 3%
35 of 72 49% 89 73 <1% 2% 29% 10% 27% 24% 8%
34 of 72 47% 88 74 <1% 1% 21% 5% 24% 32% 17%
33 of 72 46% 87 75 <1% <1% 14% 3% 17% 35% 31%
32 of 72 44% 86 76 <1% <1% 9% 1% 10% 30% 50%
31 of 72 43% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% <1% 5% 23% 67%
30 of 72 42% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 14% 82%
29 of 72 40% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
20 of 72 28% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 72 14% 64 98 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 72 0% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs