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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (53‑45)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 58 39 39% 21% 10% 14% 7% 4% 4%
Current Standings 57 39 36% 21% 11% 15% 8% 5% 4%
Lose Next Game 57 40 32% 21% 12% 15% 8% 5% 6%


Current Series - Red Sox (53‑45) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 60 39 43% 22% 9% 14% 7% 3% 2%
Current Standings 57 39 36% 21% 11% 15% 8% 5% 4%
Red Sox Sweeps 57 42 26% 21% 13% 16% 10% 7% 7%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 123 39 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 66 91% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
50 of 66 76% 107 55 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 66 71% 104 58 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 66 70% 103 59 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 66 68% 102 60 88% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 66 67% 101 61 81% 17% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 66 65% 100 62 73% 23% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 66 64% 99 63 63% 30% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 66 62% 98 64 51% 37% 5% 7% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 66 61% 97 65 38% 41% 9% 11% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 66 59% 96 66 27% 42% 14% 16% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 66 58% 95 67 17% 39% 20% 22% 2% <1% <1%
37 of 66 56% 94 68 9% 33% 25% 28% 5% <1% <1%
36 of 66 55% 93 69 4% 25% 28% 31% 11% 1% <1%
35 of 66 53% 92 70 2% 16% 30% 31% 18% 3% <1%
34 of 66 52% 91 71 1% 10% 27% 27% 27% 7% 1%
33 of 66 50% 90 72 <1% 4% 22% 21% 33% 16% 3%
32 of 66 48% 89 73 <1% 2% 17% 13% 33% 28% 8%
31 of 66 47% 88 74 <1% 1% 11% 7% 30% 35% 18%
30 of 66 45% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 3% 19% 38% 34%
29 of 66 44% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 1% 11% 32% 53%
28 of 66 42% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% <1% 5% 22% 71%
27 of 66 41% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 86%
26 of 66 39% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
20 of 66 30% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 66 15% 67 95 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 66 0% 57 105 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs