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Sat Jul 25 1:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Pirates (53‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 59 45 1% 4% 3% 42% 20% 11% 18%
Current Standings 58 45 1% 4% 3% 40% 19% 12% 21%
Lose Next Game 58 46 1% 3% 3% 37% 19% 13% 23%


Current Series - Pirates (53‑51) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 60 45 1% 5% 4% 46% 19% 11% 14%
Current Standings 58 45 1% 4% 3% 40% 19% 12% 21%
Pirates Sweeps 58 47 1% 3% 3% 35% 19% 13% 26%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
59 of 59 100% 117 45 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 59 85% 108 54 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
49 of 59 83% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 59 81% 106 56 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 59 80% 105 57 83% 15% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 59 78% 104 58 75% 21% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 59 76% 103 59 64% 28% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 59 75% 102 60 54% 34% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 59 73% 101 61 41% 40% 2% 17% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 59 71% 100 62 29% 42% 4% 25% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 59 69% 99 63 19% 42% 6% 34% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 59 68% 98 64 12% 37% 8% 44% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 59 66% 97 65 7% 32% 9% 52% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 59 64% 96 66 3% 24% 11% 61% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 59 63% 95 67 1% 16% 12% 70% 1% <1% <1%
36 of 59 61% 94 68 <1% 10% 11% 76% 3% <1% <1%
35 of 59 59% 93 69 <1% 5% 9% 79% 6% <1% <1%
34 of 59 58% 92 70 <1% 2% 6% 79% 12% 1% <1%
33 of 59 56% 91 71 <1% 1% 5% 72% 21% 2% <1%
32 of 59 54% 90 72 <1% <1% 3% 63% 30% 4% <1%
31 of 59 53% 89 73 <1% <1% 2% 49% 39% 9% 1%
30 of 59 51% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 32% 45% 19% 3%
29 of 59 49% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 20% 41% 29% 9%
28 of 59 47% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 9% 33% 36% 22%
27 of 59 46% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 37% 40%
26 of 59 44% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 62%
25 of 59 42% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 80%
24 of 59 41% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
20 of 59 34% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 59 17% 68 94 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 59 0% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs