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Sat Jun 6 1:45 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Giants (26‑38)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 34 31 1% 3% 6% 10% 11% 11% 58%
Current Standings 33 31 1% 3% 6% 9% 11% 10% 60%
Lose Next Game 33 32 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 63%


Current Series - Giants (26‑38) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 35 31 1% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 57%
Current Standings 33 31 1% 3% 6% 9% 11% 10% 60%
Giants Sweeps 33 33 <1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 65%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
98 of 98 100% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 98 92% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 98 82% 113 49 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 98 81% 112 50 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 98 80% 111 51 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 98 79% 110 52 84% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 98 78% 109 53 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 98 77% 108 54 74% 23% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 98 76% 107 55 67% 29% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 98 74% 106 56 61% 33% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 98 73% 105 57 54% 36% 6% 4% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 98 72% 104 58 47% 41% 7% 6% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 98 71% 103 59 40% 42% 10% 8% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 98 70% 102 60 32% 43% 13% 11% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 98 69% 101 61 25% 45% 15% 14% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 98 68% 100 62 20% 43% 19% 18% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 98 67% 99 63 14% 40% 22% 23% 1% <1% <1%
65 of 98 66% 98 64 10% 36% 25% 28% 2% <1% <1%
64 of 98 65% 97 65 6% 30% 27% 33% 3% <1% <1%
63 of 98 64% 96 66 4% 25% 28% 36% 6% <1% <1%
62 of 98 63% 95 67 2% 18% 29% 40% 10% 1% <1%
61 of 98 62% 94 68 1% 13% 28% 40% 16% 2% <1%
60 of 98 61% 93 69 1% 9% 25% 39% 22% 4% <1%
59 of 98 60% 92 70 <1% 5% 22% 36% 29% 7% 1%
58 of 98 59% 91 71 <1% 3% 18% 30% 34% 13% 2%
57 of 98 58% 90 72 <1% 2% 14% 23% 36% 20% 5%
56 of 98 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 10% 17% 36% 27% 10%
55 of 98 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% 10% 31% 33% 18%
54 of 98 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 5% 6% 25% 35% 29%
53 of 98 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 4% 18% 33% 44%
52 of 98 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 11% 29% 57%
51 of 98 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 22% 71%
50 of 98 51% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 83%
49 of 98 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
40 of 98 41% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 98 31% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 98 20% 53 109 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 98 10% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 98 0% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs