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Sat Sep 5 1:45 am

MLB - Week 24 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Marlins (71‑71)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 81 62 <1% <1% <1% 67% 28% 3% 1%
Current Standings 80 62 <1% <1% <1% 61% 32% 5% 1%
Lose Next Game 80 63 <1% <1% <1% 55% 36% 6% 2%


Current Series - Marlins (71‑71) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 82 62 <1% <1% <1% 73% 24% 2% <1%
Current Standings 80 62 <1% <1% <1% 61% 32% 5% 1%
Marlins Sweeps 80 64 <1% <1% <1% 49% 40% 9% 2%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
20 of 20 100% 100 62 81% 5% <1% 13% ^ ^ ^
19 of 20 95% 99 63 58% 10% <1% 31% ^ ^ ^
18 of 20 90% 98 64 33% 14% 1% 52% <1% ^ ^
17 of 20 85% 97 65 14% 12% 2% 72% <1% ^ ^
16 of 20 80% 96 66 4% 7% 3% 87% <1% ^ ^
15 of 20 75% 95 67 1% 3% 2% 94% <1% ^ ^
14 of 20 70% 94 68 <1% 1% 1% 97% 1% <1% ^
13 of 20 65% 93 69 <1% <1% <1% 96% 4% <1% ^
12 of 20 60% 92 70 <1% <1% <1% 88% 12% <1% <1%
11 of 20 55% 91 71 <1% <1% <1% 77% 23% <1% <1%
10 of 20 50% 90 72 <1% <1% <1% 58% 41% 1% <1%
9 of 20 45% 89 73 <1% <1% <1% 41% 56% 3% <1%
8 of 20 40% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 24% 65% 10% <1%
7 of 20 35% 87 75 X X X 12% 63% 23% 2%
6 of 20 30% 86 76 X X X 4% 47% 41% 8%
5 of 20 25% 85 77 X X X 1% 24% 47% 28%
4 of 20 20% 84 78 X X X <1% 8% 34% 58%
3 of 20 15% 83 79 X X X <1% 1% 12% 87%
2 of 20 10% 82 80 X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
1 of 20 5% 81 81 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 20 0% 80 82 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs