The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 3 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Cubs Sweeps | 3 | 3 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 3 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Angels Sweeps | 2 | 4 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 157 of 157 | 100% | 159 | 3 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 150 of 157 | 96% | 152 | 10 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 157 | 89% | 142 | 20 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 134 of 157 | 85% | 136 | 26 | 94% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 133 of 157 | 85% | 135 | 27 | 92% | 7% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 132 of 157 | 84% | 134 | 28 | 89% | 9% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 131 of 157 | 83% | 133 | 29 | 86% | 12% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 130 of 157 | 83% | 132 | 30 | 83% | 14% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 129 of 157 | 82% | 131 | 31 | 78% | 18% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 128 of 157 | 82% | 130 | 32 | 73% | 21% | 2% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 127 of 157 | 81% | 129 | 33 | 67% | 25% | 2% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 126 of 157 | 80% | 128 | 34 | 61% | 28% | 3% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 125 of 157 | 80% | 127 | 35 | 56% | 31% | 4% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 124 of 157 | 79% | 126 | 36 | 49% | 34% | 5% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 123 of 157 | 78% | 125 | 37 | 43% | 36% | 6% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 122 of 157 | 78% | 124 | 38 | 39% | 37% | 8% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 121 of 157 | 77% | 123 | 39 | 31% | 39% | 9% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 120 of 157 | 76% | 122 | 40 | 27% | 38% | 12% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 119 of 157 | 76% | 121 | 41 | 22% | 37% | 13% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 118 of 157 | 75% | 120 | 42 | 18% | 37% | 15% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 117 of 157 | 75% | 119 | 43 | 14% | 35% | 16% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 116 of 157 | 74% | 118 | 44 | 11% | 32% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 115 of 157 | 73% | 117 | 45 | 9% | 30% | 20% | 30% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
| 114 of 157 | 73% | 116 | 46 | 6% | 27% | 20% | 31% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| 113 of 157 | 72% | 115 | 47 | 5% | 25% | 21% | 31% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
| 112 of 157 | 71% | 114 | 48 | 4% | 21% | 21% | 31% | 19% | 4% | <1% |
| 111 of 157 | 71% | 113 | 49 | 3% | 19% | 22% | 30% | 20% | 5% | <1% |
| 110 of 157 | 70% | 112 | 50 | 2% | 16% | 22% | 29% | 25% | 6% | 1% |
| 109 of 157 | 69% | 111 | 51 | 1% | 14% | 23% | 27% | 27% | 8% | 1% |
| 108 of 157 | 69% | 110 | 52 | 1% | 12% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 10% | 1% |
| 107 of 157 | 68% | 109 | 53 | 1% | 10% | 22% | 24% | 30% | 11% | 2% |
| 106 of 157 | 68% | 108 | 54 | <1% | 9% | 21% | 22% | 30% | 15% | 3% |
| 105 of 157 | 67% | 107 | 55 | <1% | 7% | 21% | 19% | 32% | 17% | 4% |
| 104 of 157 | 66% | 106 | 56 | <1% | 6% | 20% | 17% | 32% | 19% | 6% |
| 103 of 157 | 66% | 105 | 57 | <1% | 5% | 20% | 15% | 31% | 22% | 8% |
| 102 of 157 | 65% | 104 | 58 | <1% | 4% | 18% | 13% | 31% | 24% | 10% |
| 101 of 157 | 64% | 103 | 59 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 12% | 30% | 26% | 11% |
| 100 of 157 | 64% | 102 | 60 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 10% | 27% | 28% | 15% |
| 99 of 157 | 63% | 101 | 61 | <1% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 26% | 30% | 18% |
| 98 of 157 | 62% | 100 | 62 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 7% | 25% | 30% | 22% |
| 97 of 157 | 62% | 99 | 63 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 23% | 31% | 24% |
| 96 of 157 | 61% | 98 | 64 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 5% | 21% | 32% | 27% |
| 95 of 157 | 61% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 5% | 19% | 32% | 32% |
| 94 of 157 | 60% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 18% | 30% | 36% |
| 93 of 157 | 59% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 15% | 30% | 41% |
| 92 of 157 | 59% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 14% | 29% | 44% |
| 91 of 157 | 58% | 93 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 2% | 12% | 27% | 49% |
| 90 of 157 | 57% | 92 | 70 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | 10% | 26% | 54% |
| 89 of 157 | 57% | 91 | 71 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 25% | 57% |
| 88 of 157 | 56% | 90 | 72 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 61% |
| 87 of 157 | 55% | 89 | 73 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 65% |
| 86 of 157 | 55% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 68% |
| 85 of 157 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 72% |
| 84 of 157 | 54% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 75% |
| 83 of 157 | 53% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 78% |
| 82 of 157 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 81% |
| 81 of 157 | 52% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 84% |
| 80 of 157 | 51% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 86% |
| 79 of 157 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 88% |
| 78 of 157 | 50% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 90% |
| 77 of 157 | 49% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 91% |
| 76 of 157 | 48% | 78 | 84 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 92% |
| 75 of 157 | 48% | 77 | 85 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 94% |
| 74 of 157 | 47% | 76 | 86 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| 70 of 157 | 45% | 72 | 90 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| 60 of 157 | 38% | 62 | 100 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 157 | 32% | 52 | 110 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 157 | 25% | 42 | 120 | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 157 | 19% | 32 | 130 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 157 | 13% | 22 | 140 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 157 | 6% | 12 | 150 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 157 | 0% | 2 | 160 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |