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Sun Aug 16 1:45 am

MLB - Week 21 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (62‑61)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 73 52 8% 7% 3% 68% 10% 3% 1%
Current Standings 72 52 7% 6% 3% 67% 12% 4% 2%
Lose Next Game 72 53 5% 5% 3% 66% 14% 5% 3%


Current Series - Cardinals (62‑61) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 73 52 8% 7% 3% 68% 10% 3% 1%
Current Standings 72 52 7% 6% 3% 67% 12% 4% 2%
Cardinals Sweeps 72 53 5% 5% 3% 66% 14% 5% 3%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
38 of 38 100% 110 52 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 38 92% 107 55 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
30 of 38 79% 102 60 92% 5% <1% 3% <1% <1% ^
29 of 38 76% 101 61 85% 9% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 38 74% 100 62 73% 14% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 38 71% 99 63 57% 20% 1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 38 68% 98 64 40% 24% 2% 33% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 38 66% 97 65 22% 24% 5% 49% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 38 63% 96 66 11% 21% 7% 62% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 38 61% 95 67 5% 14% 7% 74% <1% <1% <1%
22 of 38 58% 94 68 2% 7% 7% 83% 1% <1% <1%
21 of 38 55% 93 69 <1% 3% 5% 89% 2% <1% <1%
20 of 38 53% 92 70 <1% 1% 3% 89% 7% <1% <1%
19 of 38 50% 91 71 <1% <1% 2% 83% 14% 1% <1%
18 of 38 47% 90 72 <1% <1% 1% 73% 24% 2% <1%
17 of 38 45% 89 73 <1% <1% <1% 56% 36% 7% 1%
16 of 38 42% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 38% 44% 16% 2%
15 of 38 39% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 21% 44% 28% 7%
14 of 38 37% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 9% 35% 37% 19%
13 of 38 34% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 3% 20% 36% 41%
12 of 38 32% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 65%
11 of 38 29% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
10 of 38 26% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
5 of 38 13% 77 85 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 38 0% 72 90 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs