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Sat Jun 27 1:45 am

MLB - Week 14 of 27

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Brewers (50‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 38 1% 2% 4% 15% 14% 13% 51%
Current Standings 44 38 1% 2% 3% 13% 14% 13% 55%
Lose Next Game 44 39 1% 2% 2% 13% 13% 13% 57%


Current Series - Brewers (50‑29) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 46 38 1% 3% 5% 16% 15% 13% 48%
Current Standings 44 38 1% 2% 3% 13% 14% 13% 55%
Brewers Sweeps 44 40 <1% 1% 2% 13% 13% 13% 58%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
80 of 80 100% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 80 88% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 109 53 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 108 54 92% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 107 55 87% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 106 56 81% 14% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 105 57 73% 19% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 104 58 64% 24% 2% 11% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 103 59 56% 27% 3% 14% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 102 60 45% 32% 4% 19% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 101 61 37% 33% 6% 25% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 100 62 26% 34% 9% 31% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 80 69% 99 63 18% 31% 11% 39% 1% <1% <1%
54 of 80 68% 98 64 13% 29% 13% 43% 1% <1% <1%
53 of 80 66% 97 65 8% 24% 16% 50% 2% <1% <1%
52 of 80 65% 96 66 4% 19% 17% 55% 5% <1% <1%
51 of 80 64% 95 67 2% 14% 17% 58% 9% <1% <1%
50 of 80 63% 94 68 1% 9% 16% 58% 15% 1% <1%
49 of 80 61% 93 69 1% 5% 15% 55% 22% 3% <1%
48 of 80 60% 92 70 <1% 3% 12% 50% 31% 5% <1%
47 of 80 59% 91 71 <1% 2% 9% 40% 38% 11% 1%
46 of 80 58% 90 72 <1% <1% 7% 30% 42% 18% 3%
45 of 80 56% 89 73 <1% <1% 4% 20% 42% 26% 8%
44 of 80 55% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 13% 36% 34% 16%
43 of 80 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 6% 27% 37% 29%
42 of 80 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 3% 18% 36% 43%
41 of 80 51% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 61%
40 of 80 50% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 76%
39 of 80 49% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 87%
38 of 80 48% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
30 of 80 38% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 80 25% 64 98 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 80 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs