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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Cubs What If?

The Cubs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cubs play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cubs What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (48‑42)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 54 36 28% 27% 20% 8% 7% 5% 6%
Current Standings 53 36 27% 25% 20% 9% 8% 6% 6%
Lose Next Game 53 37 24% 25% 20% 9% 9% 6% 7%


Current Series - Cardinals (48‑42) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cubs Sweeps 54 36 28% 27% 20% 8% 7% 5% 6%
Current Standings 53 36 27% 25% 20% 9% 8% 6% 6%
Cardinals Sweeps 53 37 24% 25% 20% 9% 9% 6% 7%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
73 of 73 100% 126 36 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 73 82% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 106 56 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 105 57 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 104 58 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 103 59 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 102 60 72% 27% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 73 66% 101 61 64% 33% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 73 64% 100 62 54% 40% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 73 63% 99 63 44% 46% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 73 62% 98 64 34% 49% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 73 60% 97 65 25% 50% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 73 59% 96 66 16% 48% 27% 7% 1% <1% <1%
42 of 73 58% 95 67 10% 42% 35% 11% 2% <1% <1%
41 of 73 56% 94 68 5% 34% 41% 14% 4% <1% <1%
40 of 73 55% 93 69 3% 25% 44% 18% 9% 1% <1%
39 of 73 53% 92 70 1% 17% 46% 18% 14% 3% <1%
38 of 73 52% 91 71 <1% 9% 43% 18% 22% 7% 1%
37 of 73 51% 90 72 <1% 5% 37% 15% 27% 14% 3%
36 of 73 49% 89 73 <1% 2% 28% 10% 29% 23% 7%
35 of 73 48% 88 74 <1% 1% 21% 6% 25% 31% 16%
34 of 73 47% 87 75 <1% <1% 14% 3% 18% 34% 31%
33 of 73 45% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 1% 10% 31% 49%
32 of 73 44% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% <1% 5% 23% 68%
31 of 73 42% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 13% 83%
30 of 73 41% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 6% 92%
20 of 73 27% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 63 99 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 73 0% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs