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Thu Jul 10 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Giants (51‑43)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 57 38 29% 25% 21% 6% 6% 5% 7%
Current Standings 56 38 27% 24% 21% 7% 7% 6% 8%
Lose Next Game 56 39 24% 23% 21% 8% 8% 7% 10%


Current Series - Giants (51‑43) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 59 38 35% 27% 20% 5% 5% 3% 4%
Current Standings 56 38 27% 24% 21% 7% 7% 6% 8%
Giants Sweeps 56 41 19% 21% 21% 9% 9% 8% 13%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 124 38 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
50 of 68 74% 106 56 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 104 58 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 103 59 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 102 60 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 68 66% 101 61 77% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 100 62 68% 29% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 99 63 58% 36% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 68 62% 98 64 45% 44% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 68 60% 97 65 35% 47% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 68 59% 96 66 24% 49% 23% 4% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 68 57% 95 67 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 68 56% 94 68 8% 39% 39% 11% 3% <1% <1%
37 of 68 54% 93 69 4% 29% 45% 15% 6% 1% <1%
36 of 68 53% 92 70 1% 19% 49% 15% 12% 3% <1%
35 of 68 51% 91 71 <1% 11% 47% 15% 19% 7% 1%
34 of 68 50% 90 72 <1% 6% 42% 12% 24% 14% 3%
33 of 68 49% 89 73 <1% 3% 34% 8% 25% 22% 9%
32 of 68 47% 88 74 <1% 1% 25% 4% 21% 30% 19%
31 of 68 46% 87 75 <1% <1% 16% 2% 13% 31% 38%
30 of 68 44% 86 76 <1% <1% 10% <1% 7% 25% 58%
29 of 68 43% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 17% 75%
28 of 68 41% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 9% 88%
27 of 68 40% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
20 of 68 29% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 56 106 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs