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Tue May 5 1:15 am

MLB - Week 7 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Astros (14‑22)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 13 16% 17% 17% 7% 6% 6% 31%
Current Standings 22 13 15% 17% 16% 7% 6% 7% 33%
Lose Next Game 22 14 14% 16% 17% 7% 6% 7% 34%


Current Series - Astros (14‑22) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 24 13 16% 17% 17% 7% 6% 6% 30%
Current Standings 22 13 15% 17% 16% 7% 6% 7% 33%
Astros Sweeps 22 15 13% 16% 16% 6% 6% 7% 35%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
127 of 127 100% 149 13 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 127 94% 142 20 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 127 87% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
100 of 127 79% 122 40 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 127 74% 116 46 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 127 73% 115 47 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 127 72% 114 48 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 127 72% 113 49 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 127 71% 112 50 83% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 127 70% 111 51 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 127 69% 110 52 73% 24% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 127 69% 109 53 69% 28% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 127 68% 108 54 64% 32% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 127 67% 107 55 57% 37% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 127 66% 106 56 51% 40% 6% 3% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 127 65% 105 57 44% 43% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 127 65% 104 58 38% 46% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 127 64% 103 59 31% 48% 14% 6% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 127 63% 102 60 26% 49% 17% 8% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 127 62% 101 61 21% 47% 21% 10% 1% <1% <1%
78 of 127 61% 100 62 15% 46% 24% 13% 2% <1% <1%
77 of 127 61% 99 63 11% 43% 28% 15% 3% <1% <1%
76 of 127 60% 98 64 8% 40% 32% 16% 4% 1% <1%
75 of 127 59% 97 65 5% 35% 34% 17% 7% 1% <1%
74 of 127 58% 96 66 3% 29% 38% 18% 10% 2% <1%
73 of 127 57% 95 67 2% 25% 39% 18% 13% 3% <1%
72 of 127 57% 94 68 1% 19% 40% 17% 16% 6% 1%
71 of 127 56% 93 69 <1% 15% 40% 16% 19% 9% 2%
70 of 127 55% 92 70 <1% 10% 38% 14% 21% 13% 3%
69 of 127 54% 91 71 <1% 7% 36% 11% 23% 17% 6%
68 of 127 54% 90 72 <1% 5% 34% 9% 22% 20% 10%
67 of 127 53% 89 73 <1% 3% 30% 6% 20% 24% 16%
66 of 127 52% 88 74 <1% 2% 27% 4% 17% 27% 24%
65 of 127 51% 87 75 <1% 1% 22% 2% 14% 26% 34%
64 of 127 50% 86 76 <1% 1% 19% 2% 10% 24% 45%
63 of 127 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 16% 1% 6% 21% 56%
62 of 127 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 12% <1% 4% 16% 67%
61 of 127 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 10% <1% 2% 11% 76%
60 of 127 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 7% 84%
59 of 127 46% 81 81 <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 4% 90%
58 of 127 46% 80 82 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 2% 94%
50 of 127 39% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 127 31% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 127 24% 52 110 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 127 16% 42 120 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 127 8% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 127 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs