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Wed Sep 2 1:45 am

MLB - Week 24 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (69‑70)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 83 56 21% 54% 25% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 82 56 18% 52% 29% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 82 57 13% 51% 36% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Current Series - Cardinals (69‑70) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 84 56 24% 54% 22% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 82 56 18% 52% 29% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cardinals Sweeps 82 58 10% 47% 43% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
24 of 24 100% 106 56 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 24 92% 104 58 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 24 88% 103 59 89% 11% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 24 83% 102 60 80% 20% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 24 79% 101 61 67% 33% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 24 75% 100 62 51% 48% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 24 71% 99 63 35% 62% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 24 67% 98 64 22% 70% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 24 63% 97 65 11% 71% 18% ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 24 58% 96 66 4% 65% 31% ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 24 54% 95 67 2% 49% 49% <1% <1% <1% ^
12 of 24 50% 94 68 <1% 33% 66% <1% <1% <1% ^
11 of 24 46% 93 69 <1% 18% 82% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 24 42% 92 70 <1% 7% 92% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 24 38% 91 71 <1% 2% 96% 1% 1% <1% <1%
8 of 24 33% 90 72 <1% <1% 94% 1% 3% 1% <1%
7 of 24 29% 89 73 <1% <1% 86% 1% 6% 7% <1%
6 of 24 25% 88 74 <1% <1% 71% 1% 7% 19% 1%
5 of 24 21% 87 75 <1% <1% 49% <1% 7% 37% 7%
4 of 24 17% 86 76 X <1% 30% <1% 4% 45% 22%
3 of 24 13% 85 77 X <1% 14% <1% 1% 38% 47%
2 of 24 8% 84 78 X X 4% <1% <1% 20% 76%
1 of 24 4% 83 79 X X 1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
0 of 24 0% 82 80 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs