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Tue Jul 28 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Mariners (52‑55)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 68 39 63% 29% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 67 39 60% 30% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 67 40 56% 33% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Current Series - Mariners (52‑55) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 70 39 66% 27% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 67 39 60% 30% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mariners Sweeps 67 42 48% 37% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
56 of 56 100% 123 39 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 56 89% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 56 71% 107 55 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 56 68% 105 57 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 56 66% 104 58 91% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 56 64% 103 59 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 56 63% 102 60 79% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 56 61% 101 61 70% 29% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 56 59% 100 62 59% 39% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 56 57% 99 63 48% 48% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
31 of 56 55% 98 64 36% 56% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1%
30 of 56 54% 97 65 27% 60% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 of 56 52% 96 66 17% 63% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 56 50% 95 67 10% 60% 30% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 56 48% 94 68 5% 54% 39% 1% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 56 46% 93 69 2% 44% 51% 2% 1% <1% <1%
25 of 56 45% 92 70 1% 33% 62% 3% 1% <1% <1%
24 of 56 43% 91 71 <1% 24% 69% 4% 3% <1% <1%
23 of 56 41% 90 72 <1% 15% 73% 5% 6% 1% <1%
22 of 56 39% 89 73 <1% 8% 74% 5% 10% 3% <1%
21 of 56 38% 88 74 <1% 4% 70% 4% 13% 8% 2%
20 of 56 36% 87 75 <1% 1% 62% 3% 14% 13% 6%
19 of 56 34% 86 76 <1% 1% 52% 1% 11% 19% 16%
18 of 56 32% 85 77 <1% <1% 40% <1% 7% 20% 33%
17 of 56 30% 84 78 <1% <1% 30% <1% 3% 14% 53%
16 of 56 29% 83 79 <1% <1% 20% <1% 1% 7% 72%
15 of 56 27% 82 80 <1% <1% 13% <1% <1% 3% 85%
14 of 56 25% 81 81 <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% 1% 92%
10 of 56 18% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 56 0% 67 95 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs