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Wed Jul 9 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Brewers (52‑40)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 57 37 33% 24% 17% 9% 7% 5% 6%
Current Standings 56 37 30% 24% 18% 9% 7% 6% 7%
Lose Next Game 56 38 26% 24% 19% 8% 8% 6% 9%


Current Series - Brewers (52‑40) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 57 37 33% 24% 17% 9% 7% 5% 6%
Current Standings 56 37 30% 24% 18% 9% 7% 6% 7%
Brewers Sweeps 56 38 26% 24% 19% 8% 8% 6% 9%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
69 of 69 100% 125 37 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 69 87% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
50 of 69 72% 106 56 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 69 71% 105 57 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 69 70% 104 58 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 69 68% 103 59 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 69 67% 102 60 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 69 65% 101 61 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 69 64% 100 62 65% 32% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 69 62% 99 63 54% 39% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 69 61% 98 64 44% 45% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 69 59% 97 65 32% 49% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 69 58% 96 66 22% 48% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1%
39 of 69 57% 95 67 14% 44% 30% 11% 2% <1% <1%
38 of 69 55% 94 68 7% 37% 37% 15% 4% <1% <1%
37 of 69 54% 93 69 3% 28% 42% 17% 9% 1% <1%
36 of 69 52% 92 70 1% 18% 44% 19% 15% 4% <1%
35 of 69 51% 91 71 <1% 10% 41% 17% 22% 9% 1%
34 of 69 49% 90 72 <1% 6% 34% 12% 27% 17% 4%
33 of 69 48% 89 73 <1% 2% 28% 8% 26% 25% 11%
32 of 69 46% 88 74 <1% 1% 19% 4% 21% 33% 23%
31 of 69 45% 87 75 <1% <1% 12% 2% 13% 32% 40%
30 of 69 43% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 1% 7% 26% 59%
29 of 69 42% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 16% 77%
28 of 69 41% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 8% 89%
20 of 69 29% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 69 14% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 69 0% 56 106 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs