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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Dodgers What If?

The Dodgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dodgers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dodgers What If?

Next Game - Rockies (20‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 34 20 21% 20% 16% 11% 8% 7% 17%
Current Standings 33 20 21% 20% 16% 11% 8% 7% 18%
Lose Next Game 33 21 19% 19% 17% 11% 8% 7% 19%


Current Series - Rockies (20‑34) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Dodgers Sweeps 36 20 23% 21% 16% 11% 8% 6% 15%
Current Standings 33 20 21% 20% 16% 11% 8% 7% 18%
Rockies Sweeps 33 23 16% 18% 17% 10% 8% 7% 23%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 142 20 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 133 29 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 109 83% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 113 49 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 112 50 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 111 51 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 110 52 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 109 53 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 108 54 79% 19% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 107 55 75% 23% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 106 56 70% 27% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 105 57 63% 32% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 104 58 57% 36% 4% 3% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 103 59 50% 40% 5% 5% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 109 63% 102 60 43% 43% 8% 6% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 109 62% 101 61 36% 44% 11% 8% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 109 61% 100 62 28% 45% 15% 12% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 109 61% 99 63 22% 45% 18% 14% 1% <1% <1%
65 of 109 60% 98 64 16% 42% 23% 17% 2% <1% <1%
64 of 109 59% 97 65 11% 39% 27% 21% 3% <1% <1%
63 of 109 58% 96 66 7% 34% 30% 23% 5% <1% <1%
62 of 109 57% 95 67 4% 27% 34% 25% 8% 1% <1%
61 of 109 56% 94 68 2% 22% 36% 25% 12% 2% <1%
60 of 109 55% 93 69 1% 16% 36% 25% 16% 4% <1%
59 of 109 54% 92 70 1% 11% 36% 22% 21% 8% 1%
58 of 109 53% 91 71 <1% 7% 35% 18% 25% 12% 2%
57 of 109 52% 90 72 <1% 4% 31% 15% 25% 18% 6%
56 of 109 51% 89 73 <1% 2% 28% 10% 26% 22% 11%
55 of 109 50% 88 74 <1% 1% 24% 6% 23% 27% 19%
54 of 109 50% 87 75 <1% 1% 19% 4% 18% 29% 30%
53 of 109 49% 86 76 <1% <1% 16% 2% 12% 27% 44%
52 of 109 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 12% 1% 8% 22% 58%
51 of 109 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 9% <1% 4% 16% 71%
50 of 109 46% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% <1% 2% 10% 82%
49 of 109 45% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 6% 89%
48 of 109 44% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
40 of 109 37% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 53 109 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 109 9% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs