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Wed Jul 22 9:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Guardians Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Guardians are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Guardians final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Guardians fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Guardians Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Guardians Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians
(54‑48)
vs
Twins
(49‑53)
2 Games Remaining		 31 Guardians Sweeps 2 Games 10% 37% 10% 6% 13% 11% 12%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Twins Sweeps 2 Games 5% 29% 10% 6% 13% 14% 23%
Rangers
(51‑50)
vs
White Sox
(53‑47)
1 Game Remaining		 5 Rangers Sweeps 1 Game 8% 35% 11% 5% 12% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
White Sox Sweeps 1 Game 8% 34% 8% 7% 14% 12% 17%
Marlins
(52‑50)
vs
Astros
(49‑54)
1 Game Remaining		 3 Marlins Sweeps 1 Game 8% 35% 9% 6% 14% 12% 16%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Astros Sweeps 1 Game 8% 33% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Pirates
(52‑49)
vs
Yankees
(56‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Pirates Sweeps 2 Games 9% 33% 10% 6% 13% 11% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Yankees Sweeps 2 Games 8% 34% 9% 5% 14% 12% 17%
Cubs
(57‑44)
vs
Tigers
(47‑54)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Cubs Sweeps 1 Game 8% 34% 9% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Tigers Sweeps 1 Game 8% 33% 10% 5% 13% 13% 18%
Cardinals
(51‑49)
vs
Angels
(41‑61)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game 9% 35% 10% 5% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Angels Sweeps 1 Game 9% 33% 10% 6% 13% 13% 17%
Orioles
(49‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(51‑48)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Orioles Sweeps 2 Games 8% 34% 10% 7% 14% 11% 16%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games 8% 34% 10% 6% 12% 13% 17%
Athletics
(43‑58)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(52‑49)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Athletics Sweeps 1 Game 8% 34% 10% 6% 14% 11% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game 8% 34% 9% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Mariners
(51‑51)
vs
Reds
(46‑54)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Mariners Sweeps 1 Game 9% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Reds Sweeps 1 Game 8% 33% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Giants
(42‑59)
vs
Royals
(42‑60)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Giants Sweeps 1 Game 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Royals Sweeps 1 Game 9% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Blue Jays
(46‑55)
vs
Rays
(58‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games 10% 33% 10% 6% 13% 12% 16%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Rays Sweeps 2 Games 7% 36% 9% 5% 13% 12% 17%


Guardians Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Guardians Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians
(54‑48)
vs
Twins
(49‑53)		 17 Guardians Wins 9% 36% 10% 6% 13% 11% 14%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Twins Wins 7% 32% 10% 6% 14% 12% 20%
Rangers
(51‑50)
vs
White Sox
(53‑47)		 5 Rangers Wins 8% 35% 11% 5% 12% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
White Sox Wins 8% 34% 8% 7% 14% 12% 17%
Marlins
(52‑50)
vs
Astros
(49‑54)		 3 Marlins Wins 8% 35% 9% 6% 14% 12% 16%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Astros Wins 8% 33% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Cubs
(57‑44)
vs
Tigers
(47‑54)		 2 Cubs Wins 8% 34% 9% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Tigers Wins 8% 33% 10% 5% 13% 13% 18%
Red Sox
(51‑48)
vs
Orioles
(49‑52)		 2 Red Sox Wins 9% 34% 10% 6% 13% 13% 16%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Orioles Wins 8% 34% 10% 6% 14% 12% 17%
Cardinals
(51‑49)
vs
Angels
(41‑61)		 2 Cardinals Wins 9% 35% 10% 5% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Angels Wins 9% 33% 10% 6% 13% 13% 17%
Rays
(58‑42)
vs
Blue Jays
(46‑55)		 1 Rays Wins 8% 35% 10% 6% 13% 12% 16%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Blue Jays Wins 9% 33% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Athletics
(43‑58)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(52‑49)		 1 Athletics Wins 8% 34% 10% 6% 14% 11% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 8% 34% 9% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Pirates
(52‑49)
vs
Yankees
(56‑44)		 1 Pirates Wins 8% 34% 9% 6% 13% 12% 18%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Yankees Wins 8% 34% 9% 5% 14% 12% 18%
Mariners
(51‑51)
vs
Reds
(46‑54)		 1 Mariners Wins 9% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Reds Wins 8% 33% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Giants
(42‑59)
vs
Royals
(42‑60)		 1 Giants Wins 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Current Probabilities 8% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
Royals Wins 9% 34% 10% 6% 13% 12% 17%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs