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Sun May 18 3:30 am

MLB - Week 9 of 28

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - Reds (23‑24)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 26 20 8% 5% 3% 16% 12% 10% 46%
Current Standings 25 20 8% 5% 3% 15% 12% 10% 48%
Lose Next Game 25 21 7% 5% 3% 15% 12% 10% 48%


Current Series - Reds (23‑24) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 26 20 8% 5% 3% 16% 12% 10% 46%
Current Standings 25 20 8% 5% 3% 15% 12% 10% 48%
Reds Sweeps 25 21 7% 5% 3% 15% 12% 10% 48%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
117 of 117 100% 142 20 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 117 94% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 117 85% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 117 77% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 117 73% 110 52 95% 2% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 117 72% 109 53 93% 2% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 117 71% 108 54 90% 4% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 117 70% 107 55 86% 5% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 117 69% 106 56 82% 7% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 117 68% 105 57 77% 9% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 117 68% 104 58 70% 12% <1% 18% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 117 67% 103 59 64% 14% 1% 21% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 117 66% 102 60 56% 17% 1% 25% 1% <1% <1%
76 of 117 65% 101 61 48% 19% 1% 30% 1% <1% <1%
75 of 117 64% 100 62 39% 21% 3% 36% 2% <1% <1%
74 of 117 63% 99 63 33% 22% 3% 39% 4% <1% <1%
73 of 117 62% 98 64 25% 23% 4% 42% 6% <1% <1%
72 of 117 62% 97 65 17% 22% 6% 47% 8% <1% <1%
71 of 117 61% 96 66 14% 20% 7% 47% 11% 1% <1%
70 of 117 60% 95 67 8% 17% 8% 49% 16% 2% <1%
69 of 117 59% 94 68 5% 15% 8% 46% 23% 3% <1%
68 of 117 58% 93 69 3% 11% 9% 43% 28% 5% 1%
67 of 117 57% 92 70 1% 8% 9% 38% 33% 10% 1%
66 of 117 56% 91 71 1% 6% 8% 31% 37% 15% 3%
65 of 117 56% 90 72 <1% 4% 8% 25% 38% 20% 5%
64 of 117 55% 89 73 <1% 2% 6% 18% 37% 27% 9%
63 of 117 54% 88 74 <1% 1% 5% 12% 34% 31% 17%
62 of 117 53% 87 75 <1% 1% 4% 8% 29% 34% 25%
61 of 117 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 4% 21% 34% 38%
60 of 117 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 2% 14% 31% 51%
59 of 117 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 25% 63%
58 of 117 50% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 19% 74%
57 of 117 49% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
56 of 117 48% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
50 of 117 43% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 117 34% 65 97 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 117 26% 55 107 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 117 17% 45 117 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 117 9% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 117 0% 25 137 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs