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Sun Jul 13 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - White Sox (32‑64)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 46 49 <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 78%
Current Standings 45 49 <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 79%
Lose Next Game 45 50 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 82%


Current Series - White Sox (32‑64) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 46 49 <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 78%
Current Standings 45 49 <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 79%
White Sox Sweeps 45 50 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 82%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 105 57 97% 2% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 68 87% 104 58 94% 3% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 68 85% 103 59 91% 5% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 68 84% 102 60 85% 8% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 68 82% 101 61 77% 12% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 68 81% 100 62 68% 15% 1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 68 79% 99 63 56% 20% 1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 68 78% 98 64 45% 24% 3% 29% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 68 76% 97 65 33% 26% 4% 37% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 68 75% 96 66 23% 26% 6% 45% 1% <1% <1%
50 of 68 74% 95 67 14% 24% 8% 52% 2% <1% <1%
49 of 68 72% 94 68 7% 20% 10% 58% 4% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 93 69 4% 15% 11% 61% 9% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 92 70 2% 10% 11% 60% 16% 1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 91 71 <1% 5% 11% 55% 25% 3% <1%
45 of 68 66% 90 72 <1% 3% 8% 47% 33% 8% 1%
44 of 68 65% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 35% 40% 15% 2%
43 of 68 63% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 23% 41% 25% 6%
42 of 68 62% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 12% 37% 33% 15%
41 of 68 60% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 6% 26% 38% 29%
40 of 68 59% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 2% 14% 35% 48%
39 of 68 57% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 68%
38 of 68 56% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 83%
37 of 68 54% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
30 of 68 44% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 68 29% 65 97 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 55 107 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 68 0% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs