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Thu Apr 23 1:15 am

MLB - Week 5 of 27

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (10‑14)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 15 12 13% 11% 10% 7% 7% 7% 45%
Current Standings 14 12 12% 11% 10% 7% 7% 7% 46%
Lose Next Game 14 13 11% 12% 11% 7% 7% 7% 47%


Current Series - Blue Jays (10‑14) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 17 12 14% 12% 11% 8% 7% 7% 42%
Current Standings 14 12 12% 11% 10% 7% 7% 7% 46%
Blue Jays Sweeps 14 15 9% 11% 11% 7% 7% 7% 49%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
136 of 136 100% 150 12 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 136 96% 144 18 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 136 88% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 136 81% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 136 74% 114 48 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 136 73% 113 49 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 136 72% 112 50 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 136 71% 111 51 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 136 71% 110 52 83% 16% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 136 70% 109 53 79% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 136 69% 108 54 74% 23% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 136 68% 107 55 69% 26% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 136 68% 106 56 62% 31% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 136 67% 105 57 56% 34% 4% 6% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 136 66% 104 58 49% 38% 5% 8% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 136 65% 103 59 42% 41% 7% 9% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 136 65% 102 60 35% 43% 9% 11% 1% <1% <1%
87 of 136 64% 101 61 29% 43% 12% 14% 1% <1% <1%
86 of 136 63% 100 62 23% 43% 15% 16% 2% <1% <1%
85 of 136 63% 99 63 18% 42% 18% 18% 4% <1% <1%
84 of 136 62% 98 64 14% 39% 21% 20% 6% <1% <1%
83 of 136 61% 97 65 9% 36% 25% 21% 8% 1% <1%
82 of 136 60% 96 66 7% 32% 27% 23% 10% 1% <1%
81 of 136 60% 95 67 4% 27% 29% 24% 13% 3% <1%
80 of 136 59% 94 68 3% 23% 29% 23% 17% 4% 1%
79 of 136 58% 93 69 2% 17% 31% 22% 20% 7% 1%
78 of 136 57% 92 70 1% 14% 32% 20% 22% 9% 2%
77 of 136 57% 91 71 1% 11% 30% 18% 24% 13% 3%
76 of 136 56% 90 72 <1% 7% 29% 15% 26% 17% 6%
75 of 136 55% 89 73 <1% 5% 27% 11% 26% 21% 9%
74 of 136 54% 88 74 <1% 3% 25% 9% 24% 24% 14%
73 of 136 54% 87 75 <1% 2% 22% 6% 22% 27% 20%
72 of 136 53% 86 76 <1% 2% 19% 4% 18% 28% 28%
71 of 136 52% 85 77 <1% 1% 17% 3% 15% 28% 36%
70 of 136 51% 84 78 <1% 1% 15% 2% 10% 26% 47%
69 of 136 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 12% 1% 8% 22% 57%
68 of 136 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 9% 1% 6% 19% 66%
67 of 136 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 8% <1% 3% 14% 75%
66 of 136 49% 80 82 <1% <1% 6% <1% 2% 11% 81%
65 of 136 48% 79 83 <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 7% 87%
64 of 136 47% 78 84 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 5% 91%
63 of 136 46% 77 85 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 94%
60 of 136 44% 74 88 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
50 of 136 37% 64 98 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 136 29% 54 108 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 136 22% 44 118 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 136 15% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 136 7% 24 138 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 136 0% 14 148 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs