The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (47‑49) vs Rays (56‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
13 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (48‑48) vs Yankees (53‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 22% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Astros (47‑50) vs Rangers (48‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays (45‑50) vs Padres (47‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Twins (47‑49) vs Angels (38‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| White Sox (49‑45) vs Athletics (41‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (47‑49) vs Rays (56‑37) |
13 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) |
2 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) |
2 | Mets Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (48‑48) vs Yankees (53‑42) |
2 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 6% | 22% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Astros (47‑50) vs Rangers (48‑47) |
2 | Astros Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) |
1 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays (45‑50) vs Padres (47‑48) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 6% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Twins (47‑49) vs Angels (38‑58) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||
| White Sox (49‑45) vs Athletics (41‑54) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 6% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 60% | ||