The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (16‑16) vs Royals (12‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
15 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Guardians (16‑16) vs Athletics (17‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Tigers (16‑16) vs Rangers (15‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| White Sox (14‑17) vs Padres (19‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Astros (12‑20) vs Red Sox (12‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 55% | ||
| Twins (14‑18) vs Blue Jays (14‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Giants (13‑18) vs Rays (18‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Orioles (15‑16) vs Yankees (20‑11) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 6% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Angels (12‑20) vs Mets (10‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (16‑16) vs Royals (12‑19) |
6 | Mariners Wins | 6% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Guardians (16‑16) vs Athletics (17‑14) |
2 | Guardians Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 55% | ||
| Rangers (15‑16) vs Tigers (16‑16) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Mets (10‑21) vs Angels (12‑20) |
1 | Mets Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Angels Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Giants (13‑18) vs Rays (18‑12) |
0 | Giants Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rays Wins | 5% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| White Sox (14‑17) vs Padres (19‑11) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Padres Wins | 5% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Twins (14‑18) vs Blue Jays (14‑17) |
0 | Twins Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 5% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Astros (12‑20) vs Red Sox (12‑19) |
0 | Astros Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 5% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Orioles (15‑16) vs Yankees (20‑11) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 5% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||