The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (72‑62) vs Guardians (66‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
62 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 13% | 34% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 22% | 2% | 10% | 30% | 33% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) 4 Games Remaining |
44 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 9% | 48% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 6% | 18% | 5% | 17% | 34% | 19% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 32% | 3% | 13% | 33% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 11% | 24% | 3% | 12% | 25% | 23% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 28% | 20% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 28% | 4% | 13% | 28% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 18% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 5% | 17% | 25% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 30% | 3% | 11% | 31% | 18% | ||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 6% | 16% | 25% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 18% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 12% | 30% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 30% | 18% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (72‑62) vs Guardians (66‑66) |
21 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 9% | 31% | 4% | 14% | 28% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 6% | 26% | 3% | 12% | 31% | 22% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) |
12 | Angels Wins | 1% | 8% | 33% | 3% | 11% | 26% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 7% | 26% | 4% | 13% | 31% | 18% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 12% | 29% | 18% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 28% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 30% | 18% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) |
2 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 6% | 30% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 8% | 28% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 19% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 14% | 28% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 30% | 19% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 19% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 17% | ||