The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (55‑58) vs Tigers (54‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
39 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 19% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 10% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 85% | ||
| Blue Jays (52‑60) vs Astros (58‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
16 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 20% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 12% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 19% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 13% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Mets (47‑66) vs Guardians (57‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 15% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 75% | ||
| Royals (46‑67) vs Twins (56‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 75% | ||
| Angels (43‑69) vs Orioles (54‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Rays (65‑46) vs Rockies (45‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Reds (53‑58) vs Athletics (45‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Yankees (63‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| White Sox (59‑52) vs Red Sox (60‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 17% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (55‑58) vs Tigers (54‑58) |
13 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 4% | 17% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 2% | 14% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 78% | ||
| Blue Jays (52‑60) vs Astros (58‑55) |
6 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 4% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) |
4 | Giants Wins | <1% | 3% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Orioles (54‑58) vs Angels (43‑69) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 4% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Rays (65‑46) vs Rockies (45‑67) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 75% | ||
| Reds (53‑58) vs Athletics (45‑67) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Royals (46‑67) vs Twins (56‑57) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 4% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 75% | ||
| Yankees (63‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑57) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Guardians (57‑56) vs Mets (47‑66) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| White Sox (59‑52) vs Red Sox (60‑51) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 4% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 74% | ||