The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (8‑9) vs Padres (10‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
11 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑8) vs Orioles (9‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Tigers (7‑9) vs Royals (7‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Cardinals (8‑8) vs Guardians (10‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rangers (9‑7) vs Athletics (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| White Sox (6‑10) vs Rays (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Yankees (9‑7) vs Angels (8‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays (6‑9) vs Brewers (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Astros (6‑11) vs Rockies (6‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Twins (10‑7) vs Red Sox (6‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 63% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (8‑9) vs Padres (10‑6) |
4 | Mariners Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Padres Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Athletics (8‑8) vs Rangers (9‑7) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Angels (8‑9) vs Yankees (9‑7) |
1 | Angels Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Red Sox (6‑10) vs Twins (10‑7) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Twins Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Rays (8‑7) vs White Sox (6‑10) |
1 | Rays Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Orioles (9‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑8) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Royals (7‑9) vs Tigers (7‑9) |
1 | Royals Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Rockies (6‑10) vs Astros (6‑11) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Cardinals (8‑8) vs Guardians (10‑7) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Brewers (8‑7) vs Blue Jays (6‑9) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||