The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (62‑68) vs Cubs (74‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
18 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 5% | 27% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 3% | 22% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 72% | ||
| Athletics (50‑80) vs Astros (65‑65) 1 Game Remaining |
10 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 27% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 22% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 70% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 26% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 22% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 70% | ||
| Giants (52‑77) vs Red Sox (70‑59) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 23% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 3% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Yankees (73‑56) vs Blue Jays (64‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Tigers (61‑68) vs Royals (57‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Orioles (63‑67) vs Rays (76‑53) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 25% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (62‑68) vs Cubs (74‑56) |
18 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 5% | 27% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 3% | 22% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 72% | ||
| Athletics (50‑80) vs Astros (65‑65) |
10 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 4% | 27% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 4% | 22% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 70% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) |
9 | Angels Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 4% | 22% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 70% | ||
| Giants (52‑77) vs Red Sox (70‑59) |
2 | Giants Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 4% | 23% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 3% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) |
1 | Padres Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Yankees (73‑56) vs Blue Jays (64‑67) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Tigers (61‑68) vs Royals (57‑74) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||
| Orioles (63‑67) vs Rays (76‑53) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 4% | 25% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 68% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 69% | ||