The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Nationals (35‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
29 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 16% | 22% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 10% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 48% | ||
| Rockies (26‑43) vs Athletics (33‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 14% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 19% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 44% | ||
| Red Sox (27‑39) vs Rangers (34‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 14% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 18% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 43% | ||
| Rays (40‑25) vs Angels (27‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 14% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Royals (28‑41) vs Astros (31‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Yankees (41‑26) vs Blue Jays (33‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Padres (35‑32) vs Orioles (33‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 14% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers (44‑25) vs White Sox (36‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 14% | 19% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑29) vs Twins (31‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Tigers (29‑40) vs Guardians (37‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 14% | 19% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 13% | 22% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Nationals (35‑34) |
9 | Mariners Wins | 3% | 14% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 2% | 12% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 44% | ||
| Rockies (26‑43) vs Athletics (33‑35) |
3 | Rockies Wins | 3% | 14% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Red Sox (27‑39) vs Rangers (34‑34) |
3 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 14% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers (44‑25) vs White Sox (36‑31) |
2 | Dodgers Wins | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Royals (28‑41) vs Astros (31‑39) |
2 | Royals Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Astros Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Tigers (29‑40) vs Guardians (37‑33) |
2 | Tigers Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑29) vs Twins (31‑39) |
2 | Cardinals Wins | 3% | 14% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Twins Wins | 2% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Rays (40‑25) vs Angels (27‑42) |
1 | Rays Wins | 2% | 14% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Angels Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Padres (35‑32) vs Orioles (33‑37) |
0 | Padres Wins | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays (33‑36) vs Yankees (41‑26) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 14% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% | ||