The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (20‑12) vs Rangers (16‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 23% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Marlins (13‑19) vs Athletics (18‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Yankees (19‑14) vs Rays (15‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 23% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑17) vs Twins (14‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Blue Jays (16‑17) vs Guardians (19‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 23% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Orioles (13‑19) vs Royals (18‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Tigers (21‑13) vs Angels (13‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 23% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| White Sox (9‑24) vs Astros (17‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (20‑12) vs Rangers (16‑18) |
7 | Mariners Wins | 23% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 21% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Marlins (13‑19) vs Athletics (18‑16) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 22% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Yankees (19‑14) vs Rays (15‑18) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 23% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Rays Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑17) vs Twins (14‑20) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Twins Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Blue Jays (16‑17) vs Guardians (19‑14) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 23% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Orioles (13‑19) vs Royals (18‑16) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Royals Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Tigers (21‑13) vs Angels (13‑19) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Angels Wins | 23% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| White Sox (9‑24) vs Astros (17‑15) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 22% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Astros Wins | 22% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||