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Thu Jun 11 11:15 pm

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Mariners What If?

The Mariners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mariners play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mariners What If?

Next Game - Nationals (35‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 37 34 3% 14% 21% 3% 9% 10% 40%
Current Standings 36 34 3% 13% 20% 3% 9% 10% 42%
Lose Next Game 36 35 2% 12% 20% 3% 8% 10% 44%


Current Series - Nationals (35‑34) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners Sweeps 39 34 4% 16% 22% 3% 9% 10% 35%
Current Standings 36 34 3% 13% 20% 3% 9% 10% 42%
Nationals Sweeps 36 37 2% 10% 20% 3% 8% 10% 48%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
92 of 92 100% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 92 98% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 92 87% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 92 77% 107 55 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 92 76% 106 56 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 92 75% 105 57 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 92 74% 104 58 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 92 73% 103 59 77% 23% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 92 72% 102 60 70% 29% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 92 71% 101 61 63% 36% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 92 70% 100 62 55% 43% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 92 68% 99 63 48% 49% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 92 67% 98 64 39% 54% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 92 66% 97 65 31% 59% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 92 65% 96 66 25% 60% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 92 64% 95 67 19% 61% 17% 3% 1% <1% <1%
58 of 92 63% 94 68 13% 60% 22% 4% 2% <1% <1%
57 of 92 62% 93 69 8% 55% 29% 6% 3% <1% <1%
56 of 92 61% 92 70 5% 49% 34% 7% 4% <1% <1%
55 of 92 60% 91 71 3% 42% 38% 9% 8% 1% <1%
54 of 92 59% 90 72 2% 34% 42% 9% 11% 2% <1%
53 of 92 58% 89 73 1% 26% 45% 10% 15% 3% <1%
52 of 92 57% 88 74 <1% 19% 45% 9% 20% 6% 1%
51 of 92 55% 87 75 <1% 13% 44% 7% 23% 11% 2%
50 of 92 54% 86 76 <1% 8% 41% 5% 24% 17% 4%
49 of 92 53% 85 77 <1% 5% 36% 4% 24% 22% 9%
48 of 92 52% 84 78 <1% 3% 31% 2% 20% 28% 17%
47 of 92 51% 83 79 <1% 1% 25% 1% 15% 30% 28%
46 of 92 50% 82 80 <1% 1% 19% <1% 10% 28% 42%
45 of 92 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 15% <1% 5% 23% 57%
44 of 92 48% 80 82 <1% <1% 10% <1% 2% 15% 72%
43 of 92 47% 79 83 <1% <1% 6% <1% 1% 9% 84%
42 of 92 46% 78 84 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 4% 92%
40 of 92 43% 76 86 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
30 of 92 33% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 92 22% 56 106 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 92 11% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 92 0% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs