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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Mariners What If?

The Mariners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mariners play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mariners What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (37‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 37 34 1% 4% 11% 7% 9% 10% 57%
Current Standings 36 34 1% 4% 11% 7% 9% 9% 60%
Lose Next Game 36 35 1% 3% 10% 6% 8% 9% 63%


Current Series - Red Sox (37‑36) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners Sweeps 39 34 1% 5% 13% 8% 10% 10% 53%
Current Standings 36 34 1% 4% 11% 7% 9% 9% 60%
Red Sox Sweeps 36 37 <1% 2% 9% 5% 7% 9% 68%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
92 of 92 100% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 92 98% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 92 87% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 92 79% 109 53 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 92 78% 108 54 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 92 77% 107 55 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 92 76% 106 56 85% 14% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 92 75% 105 57 80% 18% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 92 74% 104 58 74% 23% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 92 73% 103 59 67% 28% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 92 72% 102 60 59% 34% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 92 71% 101 61 51% 37% 6% 6% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 92 70% 100 62 42% 41% 9% 8% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 92 68% 99 63 34% 44% 11% 11% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 92 67% 98 64 26% 44% 16% 15% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 92 66% 97 65 18% 42% 20% 19% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 92 65% 96 66 13% 39% 25% 22% 1% <1% <1%
59 of 92 64% 95 67 8% 34% 29% 25% 3% <1% <1%
58 of 92 63% 94 68 5% 28% 33% 29% 6% 1% <1%
57 of 92 62% 93 69 3% 21% 34% 31% 10% 1% <1%
56 of 92 61% 92 70 1% 15% 36% 30% 15% 3% <1%
55 of 92 60% 91 71 <1% 10% 35% 28% 20% 5% 1%
54 of 92 59% 90 72 <1% 6% 32% 25% 26% 9% 1%
53 of 92 58% 89 73 <1% 3% 29% 19% 29% 17% 4%
52 of 92 57% 88 74 <1% 1% 24% 14% 30% 23% 8%
51 of 92 55% 87 75 <1% 1% 18% 9% 27% 29% 16%
50 of 92 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 14% 5% 21% 32% 28%
49 of 92 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 10% 2% 14% 30% 43%
48 of 92 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% 1% 9% 25% 58%
47 of 92 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 4% 18% 73%
46 of 92 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 11% 85%
45 of 92 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
40 of 92 43% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 92 33% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 92 22% 56 106 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 92 11% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 92 0% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs