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Sun Aug 2 11:00 pm

MLB - Week 20 of 27

Mariners What If?

The Mariners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mariners play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mariners What If?

Next Game - Tigers (54‑58)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 56 58 <1% 4% 17% <1% 2% 6% 71%
Current Standings 55 58 <1% 3% 15% <1% 1% 5% 74%
Lose Next Game 55 59 <1% 2% 14% <1% 1% 5% 78%


Current Series - Tigers (54‑58) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners Sweeps 58 58 <1% 6% 19% <1% 2% 8% 65%
Current Standings 55 58 <1% 3% 15% <1% 1% 5% 74%
Tigers Sweeps 55 61 <1% 1% 10% <1% 1% 3% 85%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
49 of 49 100% 104 58 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
45 of 49 92% 100 62 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 49 90% 99 63 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 49 88% 98 64 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 49 86% 97 65 81% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 49 84% 96 66 71% 29% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 49 82% 95 67 59% 41% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 49 80% 94 68 46% 53% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 49 78% 93 69 32% 64% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 49 76% 92 70 20% 72% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 49 73% 91 71 11% 73% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 49 71% 90 72 5% 70% 22% 1% 1% <1% <1%
34 of 49 69% 89 73 2% 61% 32% 2% 3% 1% <1%
33 of 49 67% 88 74 1% 47% 42% 2% 5% 3% <1%
32 of 49 65% 87 75 <1% 33% 50% 2% 8% 7% 1%
31 of 49 63% 86 76 <1% 20% 55% 1% 9% 12% 3%
30 of 49 61% 85 77 <1% 10% 52% 1% 8% 19% 9%
29 of 49 59% 84 78 <1% 4% 46% <1% 6% 21% 22%
28 of 49 57% 83 79 <1% 1% 37% <1% 3% 19% 40%
27 of 49 55% 82 80 <1% <1% 26% <1% 1% 12% 61%
26 of 49 53% 81 81 <1% <1% 16% <1% <1% 6% 77%
25 of 49 51% 80 82 <1% <1% 10% <1% <1% 2% 88%
24 of 49 49% 79 83 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1% 94%
20 of 49 41% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
15 of 49 31% 70 92 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 49 20% 65 97 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
5 of 49 10% 60 102 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 49 0% 55 107 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs