The Most Important Games for the Marlins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Marlins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marlins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (66‑64) vs Nationals (61‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Twins (63‑67) vs Padres (70‑60) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Reds (62‑68) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Braves (75‑55) vs Brewers (81‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑65) vs Phillies (72‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Dodgers (79‑51) vs Pirates (63‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Red Sox (70‑59) vs Giants (52‑77) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (66‑64) vs Nationals (61‑70) |
4 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Twins (63‑67) vs Padres (70‑60) |
2 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Reds (62‑68) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑62) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Braves (75‑55) vs Brewers (81‑49) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑65) vs Phillies (72‑58) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Dodgers (79‑51) vs Pirates (63‑68) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Red Sox (70‑59) vs Giants (52‑77) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||