The Most Important Games for the Marlins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Marlins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marlins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (49‑42) vs Mariners (47‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
31 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 56% | ||
| Pirates (46‑45) vs Braves (52‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 45% | ||
| Reds (41‑48) vs Phillies (50‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Astros (45‑48) vs Nationals (47‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Orioles (42‑49) vs Cubs (50‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Brewers (56‑33) vs Cardinals (47‑41) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Padres (44‑46) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Mets (38‑53) vs Royals (37‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Blue Jays (42‑49) vs Giants (38‑52) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rockies (37‑55) vs Dodgers (60‑32) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 45% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (49‑42) vs Mariners (47‑44) |
11 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Astros (45‑48) vs Nationals (47‑45) |
3 | Astros Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 47% | ||
| Orioles (42‑49) vs Cubs (50‑40) |
2 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Reds (41‑48) vs Phillies (50‑41) |
2 | Reds Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Brewers (56‑33) vs Cardinals (47‑41) |
2 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Pirates (46‑45) vs Braves (52‑37) |
2 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Royals (37‑54) vs Mets (38‑53) |
2 | Royals Wins | 1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Giants (38‑52) vs Blue Jays (42‑49) |
1 | Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Dodgers (60‑32) vs Rockies (37‑55) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) vs Padres (44‑46) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 45% | ||