The Most Important Games for the Marlins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Marlins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marlins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (36‑38) vs Phillies (40‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 81% | ||
| Giants (29‑43) vs Braves (46‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Athletics (36‑37) vs Pirates (37‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Royals (29‑45) vs Nationals (39‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Angels (30‑44) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (37‑36) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Brewers (44‑26) vs Guardians (39‑34) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Mets (32‑41) vs Reds (35‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Rockies (28‑46) vs Cubs (38‑36) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Rays (41‑29) vs Dodgers (47‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Padres (37‑35) vs Cardinals (40‑31) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (36‑38) vs Phillies (40‑33) |
6 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 81% | ||
| Athletics (36‑37) vs Pirates (37‑37) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Royals (29‑45) vs Nationals (39‑35) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Angels (30‑44) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (37‑36) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Mets (32‑41) vs Reds (35‑37) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Braves (46‑25) vs Giants (29‑43) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Rockies (28‑46) vs Cubs (38‑36) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Guardians (39‑34) vs Brewers (44‑26) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Rays (41‑29) vs Dodgers (47‑27) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Padres (37‑35) vs Cardinals (40‑31) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 79% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||