The Most Important Games for the Marlins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Marlins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marlins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (52‑54) vs Phillies (57‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
15 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 94% | ||
| Blue Jays (48‑58) vs Nationals (54‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mets (44‑62) vs Braves (62‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Brewers (66‑39) vs Giants (44‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rockies (42‑65) vs Padres (53‑53) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Pirates (54‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Guardians (54‑53) vs Reds (49‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals (53‑52) vs Cubs (59‑46) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (52‑54) vs Phillies (57‑49) |
5 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Blue Jays (48‑58) vs Nationals (54‑52) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Brewers (66‑39) vs Giants (44‑61) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rockies (42‑65) vs Padres (53‑53) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑51) vs Pirates (54‑52) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Reds (49‑55) vs Guardians (54‑53) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cubs (59‑46) vs Cardinals (53‑52) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mets (44‑62) vs Braves (62‑43) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||