The Most Important Games for the Marlins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Marlins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marlins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (26‑30) vs Blue Jays (26‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Rockies (20‑36) vs Dodgers (35‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Guardians (32‑25) vs Nationals (29‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑31) vs Braves (37‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Giants (22‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (30‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% | ||
| Cubs (29‑26) vs Pirates (29‑26) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Padres (31‑23) vs Phillies (28‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals (29‑24) vs Brewers (32‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Mets (22‑33) vs Reds (29‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marlins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marlins (26‑30) vs Blue Jays (26‑29) |
3 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Rockies (20‑36) vs Dodgers (35‑20) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Guardians (32‑25) vs Nationals (29‑27) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑31) vs Braves (37‑18) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Pirates (29‑26) vs Cubs (29‑26) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 86% | ||
| Giants (22‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (30‑24) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% | ||
| Padres (31‑23) vs Phillies (28‑27) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals (29‑24) vs Brewers (32‑20) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Mets (22‑33) vs Reds (29‑25) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 87% | ||