The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 5 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 5 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 59% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 6 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Marlins Sweeps | 8 | 5 | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 5 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 59% |
| Reds Sweeps | 6 | 7 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 151 of 151 | 100% | 157 | 5 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 150 of 151 | 99% | 156 | 6 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 151 | 93% | 146 | 16 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 151 | 86% | 136 | 26 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 124 of 151 | 82% | 130 | 32 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 123 of 151 | 81% | 129 | 33 | 93% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 122 of 151 | 81% | 128 | 34 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 121 of 151 | 80% | 127 | 35 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 120 of 151 | 79% | 126 | 36 | 86% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 119 of 151 | 79% | 125 | 37 | 83% | 16% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 118 of 151 | 78% | 124 | 38 | 80% | 18% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 117 of 151 | 77% | 123 | 39 | 75% | 23% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 116 of 151 | 77% | 122 | 40 | 70% | 25% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 115 of 151 | 76% | 121 | 41 | 66% | 28% | 2% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 114 of 151 | 75% | 120 | 42 | 61% | 31% | 3% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 113 of 151 | 75% | 119 | 43 | 54% | 35% | 5% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 112 of 151 | 74% | 118 | 44 | 49% | 37% | 6% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 111 of 151 | 74% | 117 | 45 | 44% | 40% | 7% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 151 | 73% | 116 | 46 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 109 of 151 | 72% | 115 | 47 | 33% | 42% | 11% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 108 of 151 | 72% | 114 | 48 | 27% | 42% | 13% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 151 | 71% | 113 | 49 | 23% | 41% | 15% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 151 | 70% | 112 | 50 | 19% | 41% | 17% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 151 | 70% | 111 | 51 | 15% | 39% | 18% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 151 | 69% | 110 | 52 | 12% | 37% | 20% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 103 of 151 | 68% | 109 | 53 | 9% | 33% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 102 of 151 | 68% | 108 | 54 | 7% | 30% | 24% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| 101 of 151 | 67% | 107 | 55 | 5% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 14% | 3% | <1% |
| 100 of 151 | 66% | 106 | 56 | 3% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 16% | 4% | <1% |
| 99 of 151 | 66% | 105 | 57 | 2% | 21% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 5% | 1% |
| 98 of 151 | 65% | 104 | 58 | 2% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 7% | 1% |
| 97 of 151 | 64% | 103 | 59 | 1% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 9% | 2% |
| 96 of 151 | 64% | 102 | 60 | 1% | 12% | 25% | 21% | 27% | 12% | 2% |
| 95 of 151 | 63% | 101 | 61 | 1% | 10% | 25% | 19% | 27% | 15% | 4% |
| 94 of 151 | 62% | 100 | 62 | <1% | 7% | 25% | 17% | 28% | 17% | 5% |
| 93 of 151 | 62% | 99 | 63 | <1% | 7% | 23% | 15% | 28% | 20% | 7% |
| 92 of 151 | 61% | 98 | 64 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 13% | 27% | 24% | 10% |
| 91 of 151 | 60% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 3% | 21% | 11% | 27% | 25% | 13% |
| 90 of 151 | 60% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 8% | 25% | 27% | 18% |
| 89 of 151 | 59% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 7% | 24% | 28% | 21% |
| 88 of 151 | 58% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 20% | 30% | 27% |
| 87 of 151 | 58% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 29% | 33% |
| 86 of 151 | 57% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 17% | 29% | 37% |
| 85 of 151 | 56% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 44% |
| 84 of 151 | 56% | 90 | 72 | <1% | <1% | 10% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 50% |
| 83 of 151 | 55% | 89 | 73 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 56% |
| 82 of 151 | 54% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 62% |
| 81 of 151 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 7% | <1% | 6% | 18% | 69% |
| 80 of 151 | 53% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 73% |
| 79 of 151 | 52% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 77% |
| 78 of 151 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 82% |
| 77 of 151 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 85% |
| 76 of 151 | 50% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 88% |
| 75 of 151 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 91% |
| 74 of 151 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 93% |
| 73 of 151 | 48% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| 70 of 151 | 46% | 76 | 86 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| 60 of 151 | 40% | 66 | 96 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 151 | 33% | 56 | 106 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 151 | 26% | 46 | 116 | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 151 | 20% | 36 | 126 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 151 | 13% | 26 | 136 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 151 | 7% | 16 | 146 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 151 | 0% | 6 | 156 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |