PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 8 of 28

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - White Sox (10‑27)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 15 22 <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 4% 89%
Current Standings 14 22 <1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 90%
Lose Next Game 14 23 <1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 91%


Current Series - White Sox (10‑27) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 17 22 <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 5% 88%
Current Standings 14 22 <1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 90%
White Sox Sweeps 14 25 <1% <1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 93%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
126 of 126 100% 140 22 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
120 of 126 95% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
110 of 126 87% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
103 of 126 82% 117 45 95% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
102 of 126 81% 116 46 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
101 of 126 80% 115 47 90% 9% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 126 79% 114 48 88% 11% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
99 of 126 79% 113 49 84% 14% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
98 of 126 78% 112 50 80% 18% <1% 2% ^ ^ ^
97 of 126 77% 111 51 75% 21% <1% 3% <1% ^ ^
96 of 126 76% 110 52 69% 26% 1% 5% <1% ^ ^
95 of 126 75% 109 53 63% 30% 1% 5% <1% ^ ^
94 of 126 75% 108 54 56% 35% 2% 7% <1% ^ ^
93 of 126 74% 107 55 49% 38% 3% 10% <1% ^ ^
92 of 126 73% 106 56 43% 40% 4% 12% 1% <1% ^
91 of 126 72% 105 57 35% 44% 5% 15% 1% <1% ^
90 of 126 71% 104 58 29% 44% 7% 17% 2% <1% ^
89 of 126 71% 103 59 23% 45% 8% 20% 3% <1% ^
88 of 126 70% 102 60 18% 44% 11% 22% 4% <1% ^
87 of 126 69% 101 61 13% 43% 13% 24% 6% 1% ^
86 of 126 68% 100 62 10% 39% 15% 26% 9% 1% <1%
85 of 126 67% 99 63 7% 34% 17% 28% 12% 2% <1%
84 of 126 67% 98 64 4% 32% 18% 26% 16% 3% <1%
83 of 126 66% 97 65 3% 26% 20% 25% 21% 5% <1%
82 of 126 65% 96 66 2% 21% 21% 24% 24% 8% 1%
81 of 126 64% 95 67 1% 16% 21% 23% 26% 12% 2%
80 of 126 63% 94 68 1% 13% 21% 19% 28% 15% 3%
79 of 126 63% 93 69 <1% 9% 19% 16% 30% 20% 6%
78 of 126 62% 92 70 <1% 6% 18% 12% 30% 24% 10%
77 of 126 61% 91 71 <1% 4% 16% 9% 28% 28% 15%
76 of 126 60% 90 72 <1% 3% 15% 6% 23% 31% 22%
75 of 126 60% 89 73 <1% 2% 12% 4% 20% 32% 31%
74 of 126 59% 88 74 <1% 1% 10% 2% 15% 30% 42%
73 of 126 58% 87 75 <1% 1% 8% 1% 11% 27% 53%
72 of 126 57% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 1% 7% 23% 63%
71 of 126 56% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% <1% 4% 18% 74%
70 of 126 56% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 12% 82%
69 of 126 55% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 8% 89%
68 of 126 54% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
60 of 126 48% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 126 40% 64 98 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 126 32% 54 108 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 126 24% 44 118 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 126 16% 34 128 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 126 8% 24 138 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 126 0% 14 148 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs