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Sun May 31 1:45 am

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Mets (25‑33)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 27 33 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 92%
Current Standings 26 33 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 93%
Lose Next Game 26 34 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 94%


Current Series - Mets (25‑33) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 27 33 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 92%
Current Standings 26 33 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 93%
Mets Sweeps 26 34 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 94%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
103 of 103 100% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 103 97% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 103 87% 116 46 99% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 103 83% 112 50 93% 2% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 103 83% 111 51 91% 3% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 103 82% 110 52 86% 5% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 103 81% 109 53 81% 7% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 103 80% 108 54 76% 9% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 103 79% 107 55 70% 11% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 103 78% 106 56 64% 13% 1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 103 77% 105 57 56% 16% 1% 27% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 103 76% 104 58 49% 18% 2% 31% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 103 75% 103 59 42% 21% 2% 35% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 103 74% 102 60 35% 22% 3% 40% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 103 73% 101 61 28% 23% 4% 45% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 103 72% 100 62 22% 23% 5% 49% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 103 71% 99 63 16% 22% 7% 53% 2% <1% <1%
72 of 103 70% 98 64 11% 21% 8% 56% 4% <1% <1%
71 of 103 69% 97 65 7% 18% 10% 59% 6% <1% <1%
70 of 103 68% 96 66 4% 15% 10% 59% 10% 1% <1%
69 of 103 67% 95 67 3% 12% 11% 56% 16% 2% <1%
68 of 103 66% 94 68 1% 9% 11% 53% 23% 3% <1%
67 of 103 65% 93 69 1% 6% 10% 46% 30% 6% 1%
66 of 103 64% 92 70 <1% 3% 9% 38% 36% 11% 2%
65 of 103 63% 91 71 <1% 2% 8% 28% 39% 19% 4%
64 of 103 62% 90 72 <1% 1% 6% 20% 38% 25% 9%
63 of 103 61% 89 73 <1% <1% 4% 13% 35% 31% 17%
62 of 103 60% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 8% 27% 35% 27%
61 of 103 59% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 4% 19% 34% 41%
60 of 103 58% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13% 29% 55%
59 of 103 57% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 7% 23% 69%
58 of 103 56% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 82%
57 of 103 55% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
56 of 103 54% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
50 of 103 49% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 103 39% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 103 29% 56 106 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 103 19% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 103 10% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 103 0% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs