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Wed May 20 1:15 am

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Braves (33‑16)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 27 <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 85%
Current Standings 22 27 <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 86%
Lose Next Game 22 28 <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 88%


Current Series - Braves (33‑16) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 24 27 <1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 6% 84%
Current Standings 22 27 <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 86%
Braves Sweeps 22 29 <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 89%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
113 of 113 100% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
110 of 113 97% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
100 of 113 88% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 113 80% 112 50 95% 2% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 113 79% 111 51 93% 3% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 113 78% 110 52 90% 4% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 113 77% 109 53 85% 6% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 113 76% 108 54 80% 10% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 113 75% 107 55 74% 13% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 113 74% 106 56 67% 16% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 113 73% 105 57 59% 20% 1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 113 73% 104 58 51% 24% 2% 22% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 113 72% 103 59 43% 27% 3% 26% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 113 71% 102 60 36% 29% 5% 29% 1% <1% <1%
79 of 113 70% 101 61 27% 31% 7% 33% 1% <1% <1%
78 of 113 69% 100 62 21% 31% 9% 36% 3% <1% <1%
77 of 113 68% 99 63 15% 29% 12% 40% 4% <1% <1%
76 of 113 67% 98 64 10% 28% 14% 40% 7% <1% <1%
75 of 113 66% 97 65 7% 25% 16% 41% 11% 1% <1%
74 of 113 65% 96 66 4% 21% 18% 39% 15% 2% <1%
73 of 113 65% 95 67 2% 16% 19% 39% 20% 4% <1%
72 of 113 64% 94 68 1% 12% 19% 34% 26% 6% 1%
71 of 113 63% 93 69 1% 9% 18% 31% 30% 10% 2%
70 of 113 62% 92 70 <1% 6% 17% 24% 33% 16% 4%
69 of 113 61% 91 71 <1% 4% 15% 18% 35% 21% 7%
68 of 113 60% 90 72 <1% 2% 13% 13% 32% 28% 12%
67 of 113 59% 89 73 <1% 1% 10% 8% 28% 31% 21%
66 of 113 58% 88 74 <1% 1% 8% 5% 22% 33% 32%
65 of 113 58% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 2% 16% 32% 44%
64 of 113 57% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 1% 10% 26% 60%
63 of 113 56% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 1% 5% 20% 72%
62 of 113 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 12% 83%
61 of 113 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
60 of 113 53% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 113 44% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 113 35% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 113 27% 52 110 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 113 18% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 113 9% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 113 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs