The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (45‑27) vs Braves (31‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
25 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 33% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 21% | 19% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Marlins (28‑41) vs Phillies (42‑29) 4 Games Remaining |
17 | Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | 29% | 22% | 23% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | 27% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Guardians (35‑35) vs Giants (41‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 20% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 20% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Brewers (39‑34) vs Cubs (44‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 20% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 27% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Twins (36‑35) vs Reds (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Padres (39‑31) vs Dodgers (43‑29) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 4 Games | 29% | 20% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 4 Games | 27% | 21% | 19% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Tigers (46‑27) vs Pirates (29‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Rockies (14‑57) vs Nationals (30‑41) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | 27% | 21% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays (38‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 27% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 27% | 20% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (45‑27) vs Braves (31‑39) |
7 | Mets Wins | 29% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Braves Wins | 26% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Marlins (28‑41) vs Phillies (42‑29) |
5 | Marlins Wins | 28% | 21% | 20% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 27% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑35) vs White Sox (23‑49) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 28% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Nationals (30‑41) vs Rockies (14‑57) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 29% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Cubs (44‑28) vs Brewers (39‑34) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 29% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays (38‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 27% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Dodgers (43‑29) vs Padres (39‑31) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Padres Wins | 28% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) |
1 | Reds Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Twins Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Tigers (46‑27) vs Pirates (29‑44) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 27% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Guardians (35‑35) vs Giants (41‑31) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 29% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Giants Wins | 28% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 10% | ||