The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (77‑73) vs Padres (82‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
53 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 73% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 29% | 71% | ||
| Cardinals (73‑77) vs Reds (74‑75) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 60% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 47% | 50% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (75‑75) vs Giants (75‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 53% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 46% | 52% | ||
| Braves (66‑83) vs Nationals (62‑87) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 4 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 57% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Phillies (89‑61) vs Dodgers (84‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 56% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Pirates (65‑85) vs Cubs (85‑64) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Marlins (70‑80) vs Rockies (41‑109) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Brewers (91‑59) vs Angels (69‑81) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (77‑73) vs Padres (82‑68) |
18 | Mets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 63% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Padres Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 48% | 51% | ||
| Cardinals (73‑77) vs Reds (74‑75) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 58% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Reds Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 54% | 44% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (75‑75) vs Giants (75‑74) |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 58% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Braves (66‑83) vs Nationals (62‑87) |
0 | Braves Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Nationals Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Dodgers (84‑65) vs Phillies (89‑61) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Phillies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Cubs (85‑64) vs Pirates (65‑85) |
0 | Cubs Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Pirates Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Rockies (41‑109) vs Marlins (70‑80) |
0 | Rockies Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 57% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Marlins Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Brewers (91‑59) vs Angels (69‑81) |
0 | Brewers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||
| Angels Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 56% | 42% | ||