The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (34‑43) vs Cubs (40‑37) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Mets Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners (40‑39) vs Pirates (39‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rangers (38‑40) vs Marlins (40‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers (50‑29) vs Twins (38‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Braves (48‑29) vs Padres (40‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Athletics (38‑40) vs Giants (31‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals (42‑34) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Brewers (47‑29) vs Reds (37‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rockies (31‑48) vs Red Sox (31‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nationals (41‑38) vs Phillies (42‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (34‑43) vs Cubs (40‑37) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Athletics (38‑40) vs Giants (31‑46) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Mariners (40‑39) vs Pirates (39‑39) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑39) vs Cardinals (42‑34) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marlins (40‑39) vs Rangers (38‑40) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Reds (37‑40) vs Brewers (47‑29) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Braves (48‑29) vs Padres (40‑37) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers (50‑29) vs Twins (38‑42) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Phillies (42‑36) vs Nationals (41‑38) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Red Sox (31‑45) vs Rockies (31‑48) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||