The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (22‑32) vs Reds (28‑25) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑30) vs Braves (36‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rockies (20‑35) vs Dodgers (34‑20) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑24) vs Giants (22‑32) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Brewers (31‑20) vs Cardinals (29‑23) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Padres (31‑22) vs Phillies (27‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marlins (26‑29) vs Blue Jays (25‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Guardians (32‑24) vs Nationals (28‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs (29‑25) vs Pirates (28‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (22‑32) vs Reds (28‑25) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rockies (20‑35) vs Dodgers (34‑20) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals (29‑23) vs Brewers (31‑20) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Pirates (28‑26) vs Cubs (29‑25) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marlins (26‑29) vs Blue Jays (25‑29) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Guardians (32‑24) vs Nationals (28‑27) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑30) vs Braves (36‑18) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Phillies (27‑27) vs Padres (31‑22) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Giants (22‑32) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑24) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||