The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (54‑41) vs Royals (46‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
24 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 12% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 29% | ||
| Padres (51‑43) vs Phillies (54‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
10 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 15% | 23% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Angels (46‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Braves (41‑52) vs Cardinals (50‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Nationals (38‑56) vs Brewers (54‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 13% | 19% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 14% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Twins (46‑48) vs Pirates (38‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Orioles (43‑50) vs Marlins (42‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Giants (52‑43) vs Dodgers (56‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Yankees (53‑41) vs Cubs (55‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 19% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 13% | 21% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Reds (47‑47) vs Rockies (22‑72) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (54‑41) vs Royals (46‑49) |
13 | Mets Wins | 12% | 15% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Royals Wins | 8% | 12% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 27% | ||
| Padres (51‑43) vs Phillies (54‑40) |
6 | Padres Wins | 10% | 13% | 22% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 10% | 13% | 18% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Twins (46‑48) vs Pirates (38‑57) |
1 | Twins Wins | 10% | 14% | 21% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 10% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑39) vs Giants (52‑43) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 10% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Giants Wins | 10% | 14% | 19% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Yankees (53‑41) vs Cubs (55‑39) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 11% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 9% | 14% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Rockies (22‑72) vs Reds (47‑47) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Reds Wins | 10% | 13% | 21% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Braves (41‑52) vs Cardinals (50‑45) |
1 | Braves Wins | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 10% | 14% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Marlins (42‑51) vs Orioles (43‑50) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 25% | ||
| Brewers (54‑40) vs Nationals (38‑56) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 10% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| Angels (46‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) |
0 | Angels Wins | 10% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 10% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 24% | ||