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Fri Aug 29 2:30 am

MLB - Week 24 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Marlins (63‑71)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 73 62 <1% 1% 8% 1% 8% 61% 20%
Current Standings 72 62 <1% 1% 7% 1% 7% 59% 23%
Lose Next Game 72 63 <1% <1% 6% 1% 6% 59% 28%


Current Series - Marlins (63‑71) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 75 62 <1% 2% 11% 2% 11% 61% 14%
Current Standings 72 62 <1% 1% 7% 1% 7% 59% 23%
Marlins Sweeps 72 65 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 53% 40%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
28 of 28 100% 100 62 62% 38% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
27 of 28 96% 99 63 47% 52% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
26 of 28 93% 98 64 34% 64% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
25 of 28 89% 97 65 20% 73% 6% 1% <1% <1% ^
24 of 28 86% 96 66 10% 73% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 28 82% 95 67 4% 63% 28% 4% 1% <1% <1%
22 of 28 79% 94 68 1% 46% 42% 8% 2% <1% <1%
21 of 28 75% 93 69 <1% 26% 52% 13% 8% 1% <1%
20 of 28 71% 92 70 <1% 11% 52% 14% 17% 5% <1%
19 of 28 68% 91 71 <1% 4% 45% 10% 25% 16% <1%
18 of 28 64% 90 72 <1% 1% 31% 5% 28% 35% <1%
17 of 28 61% 89 73 <1% <1% 20% 2% 22% 57% <1%
16 of 28 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 10% <1% 13% 76% 1%
15 of 28 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% <1% 6% 86% 4%
14 of 28 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 86% 9%
13 of 28 46% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 78% 21%
12 of 28 43% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 63% 37%
11 of 28 39% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 42% 57%
10 of 28 36% 82 80 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 23% 77%
9 of 28 32% 81 81 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
5 of 28 18% 77 85 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 72 90 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs