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Sat Jul 4 1:45 am

MLB - Week 15 of 27

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Braves (51‑35)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 37 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 36 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 36 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Braves (51‑35) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 39 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 36 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Braves Sweeps 36 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
74 of 74 100% 110 52 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 74 99% 109 53 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 74 97% 108 54 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 74 96% 107 55 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 74 95% 106 56 78% 21% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 74 93% 105 57 70% 29% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 74 92% 104 58 63% 35% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 74 91% 103 59 55% 42% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 74 89% 102 60 45% 50% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 74 88% 101 61 37% 54% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 74 86% 100 62 29% 57% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 74 85% 99 63 21% 58% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 74 84% 98 64 14% 55% 26% 5% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 74 82% 97 65 9% 49% 34% 8% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 74 81% 96 66 5% 41% 42% 12% 1% <1% <1%
59 of 74 80% 95 67 3% 31% 47% 17% 2% <1% <1%
58 of 74 78% 94 68 1% 22% 50% 22% 5% <1% <1%
57 of 74 77% 93 69 <1% 14% 50% 26% 9% 1% <1%
56 of 74 76% 92 70 <1% 8% 45% 28% 16% 3% <1%
55 of 74 74% 91 71 <1% 4% 39% 27% 24% 6% 1%
54 of 74 73% 90 72 <1% 1% 30% 23% 32% 13% 2%
53 of 74 72% 89 73 <1% <1% 21% 17% 34% 22% 6%
52 of 74 70% 88 74 <1% <1% 14% 10% 32% 30% 14%
51 of 74 69% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 5% 25% 35% 28%
50 of 74 68% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 2% 16% 33% 46%
49 of 74 66% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 7% 26% 65%
48 of 74 65% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 82%
47 of 74 64% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 74 54% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 74 41% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 74 27% 56 106 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 74 14% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 74 0% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs