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Tue Jun 9 7:15 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (35‑28)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 29 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Lose Next Game 29 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%


Current Series - Cardinals (35‑28) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 32 36 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 95%
Current Standings 29 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Cardinals Sweeps 29 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
97 of 97 100% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 97 93% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 97 84% 110 52 94% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 97 82% 109 53 91% 6% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 97 81% 108 54 87% 9% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 97 80% 107 55 81% 12% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 97 79% 106 56 74% 16% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 97 78% 105 57 67% 19% 1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 97 77% 104 58 58% 22% 2% 17% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 97 76% 103 59 51% 25% 3% 21% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 97 75% 102 60 41% 28% 4% 27% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 97 74% 101 61 33% 29% 6% 32% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 97 73% 100 62 25% 30% 7% 38% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 97 72% 99 63 19% 28% 9% 43% 1% <1% <1%
69 of 97 71% 98 64 13% 26% 10% 49% 2% <1% <1%
68 of 97 70% 97 65 8% 22% 12% 53% 4% <1% <1%
67 of 97 69% 96 66 5% 18% 13% 56% 8% <1% <1%
66 of 97 68% 95 67 3% 13% 14% 57% 13% 1% <1%
65 of 97 67% 94 68 1% 9% 13% 56% 19% 2% <1%
64 of 97 66% 93 69 1% 6% 12% 50% 27% 5% <1%
63 of 97 65% 92 70 <1% 3% 9% 43% 34% 9% 1%
62 of 97 64% 91 71 <1% 2% 7% 34% 39% 15% 3%
61 of 97 63% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 24% 40% 24% 7%
60 of 97 62% 89 73 <1% <1% 3% 16% 36% 31% 14%
59 of 97 61% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 9% 30% 35% 24%
58 of 97 60% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 36% 37%
57 of 97 59% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 2% 14% 31% 52%
56 of 97 58% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 68%
55 of 97 57% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 79%
54 of 97 56% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 89%
53 of 97 55% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
50 of 97 52% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 97 41% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 97 31% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 97 21% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 97 10% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 97 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs