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Tue Apr 22 3:30 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Phillies (13‑10)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 17 7 17% 18% 14% 5% 6% 7% 34%
Current Standings 16 7 17% 17% 13% 5% 6% 7% 35%
Lose Next Game 16 8 16% 17% 13% 5% 6% 7% 36%


Current Series - Phillies (13‑10) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 18 7 18% 18% 14% 5% 6% 7% 33%
Current Standings 16 7 17% 17% 13% 5% 6% 7% 35%
Phillies Sweeps 16 9 14% 16% 13% 5% 7% 7% 38%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
139 of 139 100% 155 7 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 139 94% 146 16 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
120 of 139 86% 136 26 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 139 79% 126 36 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 139 76% 121 41 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 139 75% 120 42 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 139 74% 119 43 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 139 73% 118 44 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 139 73% 117 45 83% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 139 72% 116 46 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 139 71% 115 47 73% 26% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 139 71% 114 48 69% 29% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 139 70% 113 49 62% 34% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 139 69% 112 50 57% 38% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 139 68% 111 51 51% 43% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 139 68% 110 52 45% 47% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 139 67% 109 53 38% 50% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 139 66% 108 54 33% 51% 11% 4% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 139 65% 107 55 27% 53% 13% 6% 1% <1% <1%
90 of 139 65% 106 56 22% 54% 17% 6% 1% <1% <1%
89 of 139 64% 105 57 18% 53% 19% 9% 2% <1% <1%
88 of 139 63% 104 58 14% 50% 23% 9% 3% <1% <1%
87 of 139 63% 103 59 11% 48% 25% 11% 4% <1% <1%
86 of 139 62% 102 60 8% 44% 29% 13% 6% 1% <1%
85 of 139 61% 101 61 6% 40% 31% 14% 8% 2% <1%
84 of 139 60% 100 62 4% 36% 34% 15% 9% 2% <1%
83 of 139 60% 99 63 3% 31% 35% 15% 13% 3% <1%
82 of 139 59% 98 64 2% 26% 36% 15% 14% 5% 1%
81 of 139 58% 97 65 1% 21% 37% 15% 18% 7% 1%
80 of 139 58% 96 66 1% 17% 36% 14% 20% 10% 3%
79 of 139 57% 95 67 <1% 13% 35% 13% 21% 12% 4%
78 of 139 56% 94 68 <1% 10% 34% 11% 22% 17% 6%
77 of 139 55% 93 69 <1% 7% 32% 10% 22% 20% 9%
76 of 139 55% 92 70 <1% 6% 29% 8% 22% 23% 12%
75 of 139 54% 91 71 <1% 3% 27% 6% 21% 26% 18%
74 of 139 53% 90 72 <1% 2% 24% 5% 18% 26% 25%
73 of 139 53% 89 73 <1% 2% 22% 3% 15% 27% 31%
72 of 139 52% 88 74 <1% 1% 19% 2% 12% 26% 40%
71 of 139 51% 87 75 <1% 1% 17% 1% 10% 24% 47%
70 of 139 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 14% 1% 6% 21% 57%
69 of 139 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 12% <1% 5% 18% 65%
68 of 139 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 10% <1% 4% 15% 72%
67 of 139 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 8% <1% 2% 10% 79%
66 of 139 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 7% 85%
65 of 139 47% 81 81 <1% <1% 6% <1% 1% 5% 89%
64 of 139 46% 80 82 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 4% 92%
63 of 139 45% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 2% 95%
60 of 139 43% 76 86 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
50 of 139 36% 66 96 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 139 29% 56 106 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 139 22% 46 116 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 139 14% 36 126 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 139 7% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 139 0% 16 146 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs