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Tue Jul 1 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Brewers (47‑37)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 49 37 6% 12% 18% 13% 11% 11% 29%
Current Standings 48 37 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Lose Next Game 48 38 5% 10% 17% 11% 11% 11% 35%


Current Series - Brewers (47‑37) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 51 37 8% 14% 18% 14% 12% 10% 23%
Current Standings 48 37 6% 11% 18% 13% 11% 11% 31%
Brewers Sweeps 48 40 3% 8% 17% 9% 11% 11% 42%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
77 of 77 100% 125 37 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 77 91% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 77 78% 108 54 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 77 77% 107 55 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 77 75% 106 56 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 77 74% 105 57 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 77 73% 104 58 82% 17% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 77 71% 103 59 75% 22% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 77 70% 102 60 68% 28% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 77 69% 101 61 59% 33% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 77 68% 100 62 50% 38% 5% 7% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 77 66% 99 63 40% 43% 8% 9% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 77 65% 98 64 31% 44% 11% 13% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 77 64% 97 65 23% 43% 16% 18% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 77 62% 96 66 15% 40% 21% 23% 2% <1% <1%
47 of 77 61% 95 67 9% 34% 27% 27% 3% <1% <1%
46 of 77 60% 94 68 5% 29% 30% 30% 7% <1% <1%
45 of 77 58% 93 69 2% 21% 34% 31% 11% 1% <1%
44 of 77 57% 92 70 1% 13% 35% 29% 18% 4% <1%
43 of 77 56% 91 71 <1% 8% 34% 25% 25% 7% 1%
42 of 77 55% 90 72 <1% 4% 30% 19% 29% 15% 3%
41 of 77 53% 89 73 <1% 2% 26% 12% 29% 23% 8%
40 of 77 52% 88 74 <1% 1% 22% 7% 25% 29% 16%
39 of 77 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 16% 3% 17% 32% 31%
38 of 77 49% 86 76 <1% <1% 11% 1% 10% 29% 48%
37 of 77 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 8% <1% 5% 21% 65%
36 of 77 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 2% 12% 80%
35 of 77 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 91%
30 of 77 39% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 77 26% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 77 13% 58 104 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 77 0% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs