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Thu Jul 31 3:30 am

MLB - Week 20 of 28

Mets What If?

The Mets What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mets play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mets What If?

Next Game - Giants (54‑55)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 63 47 10% 17% 27% 8% 13% 14% 10%
Current Standings 62 47 9% 16% 26% 7% 14% 15% 12%
Lose Next Game 62 48 7% 15% 26% 7% 13% 16% 14%


Current Series - Giants (54‑55) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets Sweeps 65 47 13% 20% 26% 8% 13% 13% 7%
Current Standings 62 47 9% 16% 26% 7% 14% 15% 12%
Giants Sweeps 62 50 5% 11% 26% 6% 13% 18% 21%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
53 of 53 100% 115 47 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 53 94% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 53 75% 102 60 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 53 74% 101 61 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 53 72% 100 62 83% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 53 70% 99 63 73% 24% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 53 68% 98 64 59% 34% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 53 66% 97 65 44% 43% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 53 64% 96 66 31% 48% 16% 5% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 53 62% 95 67 18% 47% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1%
32 of 53 60% 94 68 9% 40% 35% 11% 3% <1% <1%
31 of 53 58% 93 69 4% 30% 43% 14% 8% 1% <1%
30 of 53 57% 92 70 2% 19% 48% 15% 14% 2% <1%
29 of 53 55% 91 71 <1% 11% 47% 13% 21% 7% <1%
28 of 53 53% 90 72 <1% 5% 43% 10% 27% 14% 1%
27 of 53 51% 89 73 <1% 2% 35% 6% 29% 25% 3%
26 of 53 49% 88 74 <1% 1% 27% 3% 25% 37% 7%
25 of 53 47% 87 75 <1% <1% 19% 1% 18% 46% 16%
24 of 53 45% 86 76 <1% <1% 12% 1% 10% 47% 30%
23 of 53 43% 85 77 <1% <1% 7% <1% 5% 39% 49%
22 of 53 42% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 28% 66%
21 of 53 40% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 16% 82%
20 of 53 38% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 8% 91%
10 of 53 19% 72 90 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 53 0% 62 100 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs