The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (41‑39) vs Phillies (43‑36) 2 Games Remaining |
17 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Mets (34‑44) vs Cubs (41‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 62% | ||
| Brewers (48‑29) vs Reds (37‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Dodgers (51‑29) vs Twins (38‑43) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Marlins (41‑39) vs Rangers (38‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (32‑45) vs Rockies (31‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Padres (41‑37) vs Braves (48‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (40‑39) vs Cardinals (42‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Athletics (38‑41) vs Giants (32‑46) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Mariners (41‑39) vs Pirates (39‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (41‑39) vs Phillies (43‑36) |
8 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Brewers (48‑29) vs Reds (37‑41) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (40‑39) vs Cardinals (42‑35) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Dodgers (51‑29) vs Twins (38‑43) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Athletics (38‑41) vs Giants (32‑46) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 62% | ||
| Marlins (41‑39) vs Rangers (38‑41) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (32‑45) vs Rockies (31‑49) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Padres (41‑37) vs Braves (48‑30) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Mets (34‑44) vs Cubs (41‑37) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Mariners (41‑39) vs Pirates (39‑40) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 61% | ||