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Sat Jul 18 8:00 am

MLB - Week 17 of 27

Nationals Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Nationals Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals
(49‑49)
vs
Athletics
(41‑56)
2 Games Remaining		 12 Nationals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 4% 4% 7% 9% 76%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Athletics Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 2% 2% 4% 7% 85%
Mets
(41‑57)
vs
Phillies
(54‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 3 Mets Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 79%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Phillies Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Twins
(49‑49)
vs
Cubs
(54‑43)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Twins Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 79%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Cubs Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 5% 9% 81%
Rangers
(49‑48)
vs
Braves
(56‑40)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Rangers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Braves Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Brewers
(60‑37)
vs
Marlins
(52‑46)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Brewers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Marlins Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Guardians
(51‑46)
vs
Pirates
(50‑47)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Guardians Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 79%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Pirates Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Yankees
(54‑43)
vs
Dodgers
(62‑36)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Yankees Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 80%
Royals
(39‑59)
vs
Padres
(48‑49)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Royals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Padres Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Rockies
(39‑60)
vs
Reds
(44‑52)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Rockies Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Reds Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Giants
(42‑55)
vs
Mariners
(48‑50)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Giants Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Mariners Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 5% 9% 80%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(49‑48)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑45)
2 Games Remaining		 0 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 80%


Nationals Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals
(49‑49)
vs
Athletics
(41‑56)		 6 Nationals Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Athletics Wins <1% <1% 2% 2% 5% 8% 82%
Guardians
(51‑46)
vs
Pirates
(50‑47)		 2 Guardians Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Pirates Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 5% 8% 81%
Rockies
(39‑60)
vs
Reds
(44‑52)		 1 Rockies Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 79%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Reds Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Mariners
(48‑50)
vs
Giants
(42‑55)		 1 Mariners Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Giants Wins <1% <1% 3% 2% 6% 9% 80%
Twins
(49‑49)
vs
Cubs
(54‑43)		 1 Twins Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 79%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Cubs Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 5% 8% 80%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(49‑48)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑45)		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Cardinals Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 5% 8% 81%
Rangers
(49‑48)
vs
Braves
(56‑40)		 1 Rangers Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Braves Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Mets
(41‑57)
vs
Phillies
(54‑44)		 1 Mets Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Phillies Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Royals
(39‑59)
vs
Padres
(48‑49)		 1 Royals Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Padres Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Brewers
(60‑37)
vs
Marlins
(52‑46)		 0 Brewers Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Marlins Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Yankees
(54‑43)
vs
Dodgers
(62‑36)		 0 Yankees Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 8% 80%
Dodgers Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% 6% 9% 79%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs