The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (29‑27) vs Guardians (32‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑31) vs Braves (37‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Brewers (32‑20) vs Cardinals (29‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Dodgers (35‑20) vs Rockies (20‑36) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Reds (29‑25) vs Mets (22‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Marlins (26‑30) vs Blue Jays (26‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Phillies (28‑27) vs Padres (31‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Giants (22‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (30‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Cubs (29‑26) vs Pirates (29‑26) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (29‑27) vs Guardians (32‑25) |
7 | Nationals Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Brewers (32‑20) vs Cardinals (29‑24) |
2 | Brewers Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Cubs (29‑26) vs Pirates (29‑26) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑31) vs Braves (37‑18) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Braves Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Dodgers (35‑20) vs Rockies (20‑36) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Reds (29‑25) vs Mets (22‑33) |
1 | Reds Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Mets Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Marlins (26‑30) vs Blue Jays (26‑29) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Phillies (28‑27) vs Padres (31‑23) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Padres Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Giants (22‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (30‑24) |
0 | Giants Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 57% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 58% | ||