The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (27‑27) vs Guardians (32‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
17 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑30) vs Braves (36‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Rockies (20‑34) vs Dodgers (33‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Brewers (30‑20) vs Cardinals (29‑22) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑28) vs Marlins (25‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Giants (22‑31) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (28‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Padres (31‑21) vs Phillies (26‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Mets (22‑31) vs Reds (27‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Cubs (29‑24) vs Pirates (27‑26) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (27‑27) vs Guardians (32‑23) |
5 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 67% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑30) vs Braves (36‑18) |
3 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑28) vs Marlins (25‑29) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Rockies (20‑34) vs Dodgers (33‑20) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Giants (22‑31) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (28‑24) |
1 | Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Cardinals (29‑22) vs Brewers (30‑20) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Padres (31‑21) vs Phillies (26‑27) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 66% | ||
| Cubs (29‑24) vs Pirates (27‑26) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Mets (22‑31) vs Reds (27‑25) |
0 | Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 65% | ||