The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (67‑74) vs Braves (82‑57) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds (66‑73) vs Padres (73‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies (79‑60) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (73‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Royals (62‑77) vs Marlins (70‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (69‑70) vs Dodgers (82‑56) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies (53‑86) vs Orioles (69‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants (57‑82) vs Pirates (68‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs (78‑61) vs Brewers (86‑53) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rays (83‑55) vs Mets (62‑77) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (67‑74) vs Braves (82‑57) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds (66‑73) vs Padres (73‑66) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies (79‑60) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (73‑67) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers (82‑56) vs Cardinals (69‑70) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants (57‑82) vs Pirates (68‑71) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies (53‑86) vs Orioles (69‑70) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers (86‑53) vs Cubs (78‑61) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Royals (62‑77) vs Marlins (70‑69) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rays (83‑55) vs Mets (62‑77) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||