The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (9‑13) vs Orioles (9‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑14) vs Braves (9‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Rays (9‑13) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Brewers (12‑11) vs Giants (15‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Mets (16‑7) vs Phillies (13‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Angels (11‑10) vs Pirates (8‑15) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Marlins (10‑12) vs Reds (11‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Tigers (14‑9) vs Padres (16‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Rockies (4‑17) vs Royals (9‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑7) vs Cubs (14‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (9‑13) vs Orioles (9‑12) |
2 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Phillies (13‑10) vs Mets (16‑7) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Padres (16‑7) vs Tigers (14‑9) |
1 | Padres Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Angels (11‑10) vs Pirates (8‑15) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) vs Rays (9‑13) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑14) vs Braves (9‑13) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Brewers (12‑11) vs Giants (15‑8) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑7) vs Cubs (14‑10) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Royals (9‑14) vs Rockies (4‑17) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Reds (11‑12) vs Marlins (10‑12) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||