The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Phillies (53‑37) vs Giants (49‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates (38‑53) vs Royals (43‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers (50‑40) vs Dodgers (56‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds (45‑44) vs Marlins (40‑48) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Red Sox (46‑45) vs Rockies (21‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑45) vs Padres (48‑41) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics (37‑55) vs Braves (39‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Rockies (21‑69) vs Red Sox (46‑45) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Phillies (53‑37) vs Giants (49‑42) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑45) vs Padres (48‑41) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Royals (43‑48) vs Pirates (38‑53) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Mets (52‑39) vs Orioles (40‑49) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Marlins (40‑48) vs Reds (45‑44) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Brewers (50‑40) vs Dodgers (56‑35) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||