The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (16‑19) vs Twins (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Mariners (17‑19) vs Braves (25‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Athletics (18‑16) vs Phillies (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Brewers (18‑16) vs Cardinals (21‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Pirates (19‑16) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Dodgers (22‑13) vs Astros (14‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Reds (20‑15) vs Cubs (23‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Mets (13‑22) vs Rockies (14‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Padres (20‑14) vs Giants (14‑21) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (16‑19) vs Twins (15‑20) |
4 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Astros (14‑22) vs Dodgers (22‑13) |
1 | Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Athletics (18‑16) vs Phillies (15‑20) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Pirates (19‑16) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑17) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Mets (13‑22) vs Rockies (14‑22) |
1 | Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Cubs (23‑12) vs Reds (20‑15) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Brewers (18‑16) vs Cardinals (21‑14) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Giants (14‑21) vs Padres (20‑14) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Mariners (17‑19) vs Braves (25‑11) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||