The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (8‑9) vs Pirates (10‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 64% | ||
| Giants (6‑11) vs Reds (10‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Blue Jays (7‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Dodgers (13‑4) vs Mets (7‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Guardians (10‑8) vs Cardinals (9‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Rockies (6‑11) vs Astros (7‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Marlins (9‑9) vs Braves (11‑7) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Mariners (8‑10) vs Padres (11‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Cubs (8‑9) vs Phillies (8‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (8‑9) vs Pirates (10‑7) |
3 | Nationals Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 63% | ||
| Padres (11‑6) vs Mariners (8‑10) |
1 | Padres Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Giants (6‑11) vs Reds (10‑7) |
1 | Giants Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Reds Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Dodgers (13‑4) vs Mets (7‑11) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Mets Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Guardians (10‑8) vs Cardinals (9‑8) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Astros (7‑11) vs Rockies (6‑11) |
1 | Astros Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays (7‑9) vs Brewers (8‑8) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Marlins (9‑9) vs Braves (11‑7) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Braves Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 62% | ||
| Cubs (8‑9) vs Phillies (8‑9) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||