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Thu Jul 3 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Tigers (54‑33)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 37 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 36 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 36 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Tigers (54‑33) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 37 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 36 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Tigers Sweeps 36 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
76 of 76 100% 112 50 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 76 96% 109 53 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 76 95% 108 54 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 76 93% 107 55 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 76 92% 106 56 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 76 91% 105 57 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 76 89% 104 58 74% 25% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 76 88% 103 59 67% 31% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 76 87% 102 60 59% 37% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 76 86% 101 61 51% 42% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 76 84% 100 62 42% 47% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 76 83% 99 63 34% 50% 10% 6% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 76 82% 98 64 27% 51% 14% 8% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 76 80% 97 65 19% 49% 19% 13% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 76 79% 96 66 12% 44% 25% 18% 1% <1% <1%
59 of 76 78% 95 67 7% 37% 30% 23% 3% <1% <1%
58 of 76 76% 94 68 4% 29% 33% 27% 7% <1% <1%
57 of 76 75% 93 69 2% 21% 34% 30% 12% 1% <1%
56 of 76 74% 92 70 1% 13% 33% 30% 19% 4% <1%
55 of 76 72% 91 71 <1% 7% 31% 26% 27% 8% 1%
54 of 76 71% 90 72 <1% 3% 25% 20% 32% 15% 4%
53 of 76 70% 89 73 <1% 1% 20% 13% 31% 26% 9%
52 of 76 68% 88 74 <1% 1% 15% 7% 26% 32% 20%
51 of 76 67% 87 75 <1% <1% 9% 3% 19% 33% 36%
50 of 76 66% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 1% 10% 28% 55%
49 of 76 64% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 19% 73%
48 of 76 63% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 10% 87%
47 of 76 62% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
40 of 76 53% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 76 39% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 76 26% 56 106 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 76 13% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 76 0% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs