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Wed Jun 24 1:15 am

MLB - Week 14 of 27

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Phillies (43‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 42 39 1% 2% 5% 11% 12% 12% 58%
Current Standings 41 39 <1% 2% 4% 10% 11% 12% 61%
Lose Next Game 41 40 <1% 1% 4% 9% 10% 12% 64%


Current Series - Phillies (43‑36) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 43 39 1% 2% 5% 12% 13% 12% 56%
Current Standings 41 39 <1% 2% 4% 10% 11% 12% 61%
Phillies Sweeps 41 41 <1% 1% 3% 7% 9% 11% 67%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
82 of 82 100% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 82 98% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 82 85% 111 51 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 82 84% 110 52 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 82 83% 109 53 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 82 82% 108 54 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 82 80% 107 55 83% 16% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 82 79% 106 56 77% 20% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 82 78% 105 57 69% 26% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 82 77% 104 58 61% 31% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 82 76% 103 59 53% 35% 4% 7% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 82 74% 102 60 44% 38% 7% 11% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 82 73% 101 61 35% 40% 10% 15% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 82 72% 100 62 27% 41% 13% 19% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 82 71% 99 63 19% 40% 16% 25% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 82 70% 98 64 13% 37% 19% 30% 1% <1% <1%
56 of 82 68% 97 65 10% 32% 22% 35% 1% <1% <1%
55 of 82 67% 96 66 6% 25% 25% 42% 3% <1% <1%
54 of 82 66% 95 67 3% 20% 26% 46% 5% <1% <1%
53 of 82 65% 94 68 2% 14% 25% 50% 10% 1% <1%
52 of 82 63% 93 69 1% 9% 24% 49% 16% 2% <1%
51 of 82 62% 92 70 <1% 5% 20% 46% 24% 4% <1%
50 of 82 61% 91 71 <1% 3% 16% 40% 32% 8% 1%
49 of 82 60% 90 72 <1% 1% 12% 31% 38% 15% 2%
48 of 82 59% 89 73 <1% <1% 9% 22% 39% 23% 6%
47 of 82 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 13% 36% 31% 13%
46 of 82 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 8% 29% 35% 24%
45 of 82 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 4% 19% 35% 40%
44 of 82 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11% 29% 57%
43 of 82 52% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 73%
42 of 82 51% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
41 of 82 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 82 49% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
30 of 82 37% 71 91 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 82 24% 61 101 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 82 12% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 82 0% 41 121 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs