PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Apr 22 3:30 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Orioles (9‑12)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 10 13 1% 3% 5% 3% 5% 7% 77%
Current Standings 9 13 1% 3% 5% 3% 5% 6% 77%
Lose Next Game 9 14 <1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 78%


Current Series - Orioles (9‑12) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 12 13 1% 3% 5% 3% 6% 7% 76%
Current Standings 9 13 1% 3% 5% 3% 5% 6% 77%
Orioles Sweeps 9 16 <1% 2% 4% 2% 4% 6% 81%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
140 of 140 100% 149 13 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 140 93% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 140 86% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
112 of 140 80% 121 41 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 140 79% 120 42 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 140 79% 119 43 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 140 78% 118 44 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 140 77% 117 45 83% 15% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 140 76% 116 46 78% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 140 76% 115 47 73% 23% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 140 75% 114 48 68% 27% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 140 74% 113 49 62% 31% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 140 74% 112 50 55% 35% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 140 73% 111 51 48% 39% 4% 9% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 140 72% 110 52 43% 41% 5% 10% 1% <1% <1%
100 of 140 71% 109 53 36% 44% 7% 12% 1% <1% <1%
99 of 140 71% 108 54 30% 46% 8% 14% 2% <1% <1%
98 of 140 70% 107 55 25% 45% 11% 17% 2% <1% <1%
97 of 140 69% 106 56 20% 46% 12% 19% 3% <1% <1%
96 of 140 69% 105 57 16% 43% 15% 20% 5% <1% <1%
95 of 140 68% 104 58 12% 42% 16% 22% 6% 1% <1%
94 of 140 67% 103 59 10% 38% 18% 24% 9% 1% <1%
93 of 140 66% 102 60 7% 35% 21% 24% 11% 2% <1%
92 of 140 66% 101 61 5% 31% 22% 25% 14% 3% <1%
91 of 140 65% 100 62 3% 26% 24% 24% 18% 4% <1%
90 of 140 64% 99 63 2% 23% 25% 24% 20% 6% 1%
89 of 140 64% 98 64 1% 19% 24% 22% 23% 8% 1%
88 of 140 63% 97 65 1% 16% 25% 21% 25% 11% 2%
87 of 140 62% 96 66 1% 12% 24% 19% 27% 14% 3%
86 of 140 61% 95 67 <1% 10% 23% 15% 28% 18% 6%
85 of 140 61% 94 68 <1% 7% 22% 14% 28% 21% 8%
84 of 140 60% 93 69 <1% 5% 20% 11% 28% 25% 12%
83 of 140 59% 92 70 <1% 4% 17% 9% 25% 28% 18%
82 of 140 59% 91 71 <1% 2% 15% 7% 23% 30% 23%
81 of 140 58% 90 72 <1% 2% 14% 5% 20% 30% 30%
80 of 140 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 12% 3% 17% 29% 38%
79 of 140 56% 88 74 <1% 1% 10% 2% 12% 29% 46%
78 of 140 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 9% 1% 10% 25% 55%
77 of 140 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 7% 1% 6% 22% 64%
76 of 140 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% <1% 5% 17% 71%
75 of 140 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 14% 79%
74 of 140 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 10% 85%
73 of 140 52% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 7% 89%
72 of 140 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 4% 93%
71 of 140 51% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
70 of 140 50% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
60 of 140 43% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 140 36% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 140 29% 49 113 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
30 of 140 21% 39 123 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 140 14% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 140 7% 19 143 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 140 0% 9 153 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs