PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 8 of 28

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (19‑19)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 18 21 <1% 2% 3% 2% 4% 6% 82%
Current Standings 17 21 <1% 2% 3% 2% 4% 6% 83%
Lose Next Game 17 22 <1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 6% 84%


Current Series - Cardinals (19‑19) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 20 21 <1% 2% 4% 2% 5% 7% 80%
Current Standings 17 21 <1% 2% 3% 2% 4% 6% 83%
Cardinals Sweeps 17 24 <1% 1% 3% 1% 3% 5% 87%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
124 of 124 100% 141 21 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 124 97% 137 25 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 124 89% 127 35 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 124 81% 117 45 97% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
98 of 124 79% 115 47 94% 6% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
97 of 124 78% 114 48 91% 8% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
96 of 124 77% 113 49 88% 11% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
95 of 124 77% 112 50 84% 14% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
94 of 124 76% 111 51 80% 17% 1% 3% <1% ^ ^
93 of 124 75% 110 52 74% 22% 1% 4% <1% ^ ^
92 of 124 74% 109 53 68% 25% 1% 5% <1% ^ ^
91 of 124 73% 108 54 60% 30% 2% 8% <1% <1% ^
90 of 124 73% 107 55 53% 35% 2% 9% <1% ^ ^
89 of 124 72% 106 56 46% 38% 4% 11% 1% <1% ^
88 of 124 71% 105 57 38% 41% 5% 14% 1% <1% ^
87 of 124 70% 104 58 32% 42% 7% 18% 2% <1% ^
86 of 124 69% 103 59 25% 43% 9% 20% 3% <1% ^
85 of 124 69% 102 60 19% 43% 10% 23% 4% <1% <1%
84 of 124 68% 101 61 14% 41% 13% 25% 6% 1% <1%
83 of 124 67% 100 62 10% 39% 15% 26% 9% 1% <1%
82 of 124 66% 99 63 7% 33% 18% 27% 13% 2% <1%
81 of 124 65% 98 64 4% 30% 20% 27% 16% 3% <1%
80 of 124 65% 97 65 3% 25% 21% 27% 20% 5% <1%
79 of 124 64% 96 66 2% 20% 22% 24% 23% 8% 1%
78 of 124 63% 95 67 1% 16% 21% 22% 27% 11% 2%
77 of 124 62% 94 68 <1% 12% 21% 19% 29% 15% 3%
76 of 124 61% 93 69 <1% 9% 21% 16% 30% 19% 5%
75 of 124 60% 92 70 <1% 6% 19% 12% 29% 24% 9%
74 of 124 60% 91 71 <1% 4% 17% 9% 27% 28% 15%
73 of 124 59% 90 72 <1% 3% 15% 6% 24% 31% 21%
72 of 124 58% 89 73 <1% 2% 13% 4% 19% 33% 29%
71 of 124 57% 88 74 <1% 1% 10% 2% 15% 30% 41%
70 of 124 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 2% 12% 28% 51%
69 of 124 56% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 1% 7% 24% 62%
68 of 124 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% <1% 5% 18% 73%
67 of 124 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 13% 81%
66 of 124 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 9% 88%
65 of 124 52% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
60 of 124 48% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 124 40% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 124 32% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 124 24% 47 115 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 124 16% 37 125 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 124 8% 27 135 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 124 0% 17 145 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs