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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Guardians (32‑23)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 28 27 1% 3% 5% 9% 9% 9% 64%
Current Standings 27 27 1% 3% 5% 8% 9% 9% 65%
Lose Next Game 27 28 1% 3% 5% 8% 8% 9% 67%


Current Series - Guardians (32‑23) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Nationals Sweeps 30 27 2% 4% 6% 10% 10% 9% 59%
Current Standings 27 27 1% 3% 5% 8% 9% 9% 65%
Guardians Sweeps 27 30 1% 2% 4% 7% 8% 9% 70%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
108 of 108 100% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 108 93% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 108 83% 117 45 99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 108 79% 112 50 94% 2% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 108 78% 111 51 92% 4% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 108 77% 110 52 88% 5% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 108 76% 109 53 84% 7% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 108 75% 108 54 78% 10% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 108 74% 107 55 73% 13% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 108 73% 106 56 66% 16% 1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 108 72% 105 57 58% 20% 1% 21% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 108 71% 104 58 51% 22% 2% 24% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 108 70% 103 59 43% 25% 3% 28% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 108 69% 102 60 36% 27% 4% 32% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 108 69% 101 61 29% 29% 6% 35% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 108 68% 100 62 21% 30% 8% 39% 2% <1% <1%
72 of 108 67% 99 63 16% 27% 11% 42% 3% <1% <1%
71 of 108 66% 98 64 11% 25% 13% 45% 5% <1% <1%
70 of 108 65% 97 65 8% 23% 16% 44% 9% 1% <1%
69 of 108 64% 96 66 5% 20% 17% 45% 12% 1% <1%
68 of 108 63% 95 67 3% 16% 19% 43% 17% 2% <1%
67 of 108 62% 94 68 2% 12% 19% 40% 23% 5% <1%
66 of 108 61% 93 69 1% 8% 19% 36% 28% 8% 1%
65 of 108 60% 92 70 <1% 6% 18% 29% 32% 13% 2%
64 of 108 59% 91 71 <1% 3% 16% 23% 35% 18% 5%
63 of 108 58% 90 72 <1% 2% 13% 17% 34% 24% 9%
62 of 108 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 11% 11% 30% 31% 17%
61 of 108 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 9% 6% 24% 33% 27%
60 of 108 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 3% 18% 33% 40%
59 of 108 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 2% 11% 29% 53%
58 of 108 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 1% 7% 22% 68%
57 of 108 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 16% 79%
56 of 108 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 9% 89%
55 of 108 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
50 of 108 46% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 108 37% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 108 28% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 108 19% 47 115 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 108 9% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 108 0% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs