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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Orioles Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Orioles Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles
(39‑49)
vs
Braves
(39‑49)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Orioles Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Braves Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Nationals
(37‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(45‑45)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
White Sox
(30‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑69)
1 Game Remaining		 0 White Sox Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rockies Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Royals
(42‑48)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(44‑44)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Royals Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Mets
(52‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑41)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Mets Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Yankees Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Mariners
(47‑42)
vs
Pirates
(38‑52)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Mariners Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Pirates Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Angels
(43‑45)
vs
Blue Jays
(51‑38)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Angels Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Padres
(47‑41)
vs
Rangers
(44‑45)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Padres Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rangers Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rays
(48‑41)
vs
Twins
(43‑46)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Rays Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Twins Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Guardians
(40‑47)
vs
Tigers
(56‑34)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Guardians Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Tigers Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Giants
(48‑42)
vs
Athletics
(37‑54)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Giants Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Athletics Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Dodgers
(56‑34)
vs
Astros
(54‑35)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Astros Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%


Orioles Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles
(39‑49)
vs
Braves
(39‑49)		 1 Orioles Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Braves Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Nationals
(37‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(45‑45)		 0 Nationals Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Red Sox Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
White Sox
(30‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑69)		 0 White Sox Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rockies Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Royals
(42‑48)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(44‑44)		 0 Royals Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Mets
(52‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑41)		 0 Mets Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Yankees Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Mariners
(47‑42)
vs
Pirates
(38‑52)		 0 Mariners Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Pirates Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Angels
(43‑45)
vs
Blue Jays
(51‑38)		 0 Angels Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Blue Jays Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Padres
(47‑41)
vs
Rangers
(44‑45)		 0 Padres Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rangers Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rays
(48‑41)
vs
Twins
(43‑46)		 0 Rays Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Twins Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Guardians
(40‑47)
vs
Tigers
(56‑34)		 0 Guardians Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Tigers Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Giants
(48‑42)
vs
Athletics
(37‑54)		 0 Giants Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Athletics Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Dodgers
(56‑34)
vs
Astros
(54‑35)		 0 Dodgers Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Astros Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs