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Sat Jul 18 8:00 am

MLB - Week 17 of 27

Orioles Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Orioles Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles
(47‑51)
vs
Astros
(47‑52)
2 Games Remaining		 11 Orioles Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 3% 8% 11% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Astros Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 88%
Pirates
(50‑47)
vs
Guardians
(51‑46)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Pirates Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 82%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 84%
Cubs
(54‑43)
vs
Twins
(49‑49)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Cubs Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 8% 82%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Twins Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 84%
Rays
(56‑40)
vs
Red Sox
(48‑48)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Rays Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 82%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 84%
Giants
(42‑55)
vs
Mariners
(48‑50)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Giants Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Mariners Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 84%
Dodgers
(62‑36)
vs
Yankees
(54‑43)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Yankees Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 84%
Blue Jays
(45‑52)
vs
White Sox
(51‑45)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
White Sox Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Braves
(56‑40)
vs
Rangers
(49‑48)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Braves Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Rangers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Tigers
(45‑52)
vs
Angels
(38‑60)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Tigers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Angels Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 83%
Athletics
(41‑56)
vs
Nationals
(49‑49)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Nationals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Royals
(39‑59)
vs
Padres
(48‑49)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Royals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Padres Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%


Orioles Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles
(47‑51)
vs
Astros
(47‑52)		 6 Orioles Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 9% 81%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Astros Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 86%
Dodgers
(62‑36)
vs
Yankees
(54‑43)		 1 Dodgers Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Yankees Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Blue Jays
(45‑52)
vs
White Sox
(51‑45)		 1 Blue Jays Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
White Sox Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Braves
(56‑40)
vs
Rangers
(49‑48)		 1 Braves Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Rangers Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 84%
Rays
(56‑40)
vs
Red Sox
(48‑48)		 1 Rays Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Red Sox Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Cubs
(54‑43)
vs
Twins
(49‑49)		 1 Cubs Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Twins Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 84%
Mariners
(48‑50)
vs
Giants
(42‑55)		 1 Mariners Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 82%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Giants Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Pirates
(50‑47)
vs
Guardians
(51‑46)		 1 Pirates Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Guardians Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Angels
(38‑60)
vs
Tigers
(45‑52)		 1 Angels Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Tigers Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 83%
Nationals
(49‑49)
vs
Athletics
(41‑56)		 0 Nationals Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Athletics Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Padres
(48‑49)
vs
Royals
(39‑59)		 0 Padres Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
Royals Wins <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 83%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs