The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (23‑30) vs Rays (34‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
9 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Nationals (27‑27) vs Guardians (32‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Royals (22‑31) vs Yankees (31‑22) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Braves (36‑18) vs Red Sox (22‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Angels (20‑34) vs Tigers (21‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Marlins (25‑29) vs Blue Jays (25‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 83% | ||
| Astros (23‑31) vs Rangers (24‑28) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Twins (26‑27) vs White Sox (26‑26) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Mariners (25‑29) vs Athletics (27‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (23‑30) vs Rays (34‑16) |
3 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Nationals (27‑27) vs Guardians (32‑23) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Astros (23‑31) vs Rangers (24‑28) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Tigers (21‑33) vs Angels (20‑34) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑30) vs Braves (36‑18) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Yankees (31‑22) vs Royals (22‑31) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Mariners (25‑29) vs Athletics (27‑26) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 83% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑28) vs Marlins (25‑29) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% | ||
| White Sox (26‑26) vs Twins (26‑27) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 82% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 82% | ||