The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Angels (9‑9) vs Yankees (9‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rockies (6‑11) vs Astros (7‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 56% | ||
| White Sox (6‑11) vs Rays (9‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Red Sox (6‑11) vs Twins (11‑7) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Athletics (9‑8) vs Rangers (9‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Blue Jays (7‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Padres (11‑6) vs Mariners (8‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Tigers (8‑9) vs Royals (7‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑8) vs Guardians (10‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) |
4 | Orioles Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rockies (6‑11) vs Astros (7‑11) |
2 | Rockies Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Astros Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rangers (9‑8) vs Athletics (9‑8) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Mariners (8‑10) vs Padres (11‑6) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Padres Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Red Sox (6‑11) vs Twins (11‑7) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Twins Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Royals (7‑10) vs Tigers (8‑9) |
1 | Royals Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Angels (9‑9) vs Yankees (9‑8) |
0 | Angels Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| White Sox (6‑11) vs Rays (9‑7) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rays Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑8) vs Guardians (10‑8) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Blue Jays (7‑9) vs Brewers (8‑8) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||