The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (69‑70) vs Rockies (53‑86) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑71) vs Guardians (70‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 83% | ||
| Astros (70‑69) vs White Sox (73‑65) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 82% | ||
| Athletics (53‑86) vs Rangers (69‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Mariners (65‑74) vs Red Sox (75‑64) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Royals (62‑77) vs Marlins (70‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Tigers (63‑75) vs Twins (67‑72) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Mets (62‑77) vs Rays (83‑55) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Yankees (79‑60) vs Angels (53‑86) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (69‑70) vs Rockies (53‑86) |
7 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑71) vs Guardians (70‑68) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 82% | ||
| Athletics (53‑86) vs Rangers (69‑70) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Astros (70‑69) vs White Sox (73‑65) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Mariners (65‑74) vs Red Sox (75‑64) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Royals (62‑77) vs Marlins (70‑69) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Tigers (63‑75) vs Twins (67‑72) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Mets (62‑77) vs Rays (83‑55) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Yankees (79‑60) vs Angels (53‑86) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% | ||