The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 81% | ||
| Dodgers (22‑13) vs Astros (14‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers (16‑18) vs Yankees (24‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rays (22‑12) vs Blue Jays (16‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Athletics (18‑16) vs Phillies (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Royals (16‑19) vs Guardians (18‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| White Sox (17‑18) vs Angels (13‑23) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Nationals (16‑19) vs Twins (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Red Sox (14‑21) vs Tigers (18‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Braves (25‑11) vs Mariners (17‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mariners (17‑19) vs Braves (25‑11) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Dodgers (22‑13) vs Astros (14‑22) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers (16‑18) vs Yankees (24‑11) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Tigers (18‑18) vs Red Sox (14‑21) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Angels (13‑23) vs White Sox (17‑18) |
0 | Angels Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Royals (16‑19) vs Guardians (18‑18) |
0 | Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rays (22‑12) vs Blue Jays (16‑19) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Athletics (18‑16) vs Phillies (15‑20) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 79% | ||