The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (38‑42) vs Angels (32‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Royals (33‑46) vs Rays (43‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Astros (37‑43) vs Blue Jays (39‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Dodgers (50‑29) vs Twins (38‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Giants (31‑46) vs Athletics (38‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Marlins (40‑39) vs Rangers (38‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Guardians (41‑38) vs White Sox (40‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Tigers (34‑44) vs Yankees (46‑31) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox (31‑45) vs Rockies (31‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Pirates (39‑39) vs Mariners (40‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (38‑42) vs Angels (32‑48) |
4 | Orioles Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 77% | ||
| Dodgers (50‑29) vs Twins (38‑42) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Tigers (34‑44) vs Yankees (46‑31) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Royals (33‑46) vs Rays (43‑32) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Astros (37‑43) vs Blue Jays (39‑39) |
1 | Astros Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Giants (31‑46) vs Athletics (38‑40) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Mariners (40‑39) vs Pirates (39‑39) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Marlins (40‑39) vs Rangers (38‑40) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Red Sox (31‑45) vs Rockies (31‑48) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Guardians (41‑38) vs White Sox (40‑37) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 75% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 75% | ||