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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Rays (39‑32)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 30 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Lose Next Game 30 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%


Current Series - Rays (39‑32) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 34 40 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 94%
Current Standings 30 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Rays Sweeps 30 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
92 of 92 100% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 92 98% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 92 87% 110 52 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
79 of 92 86% 109 53 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
78 of 92 85% 108 54 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
77 of 92 84% 107 55 85% 14% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
76 of 92 83% 106 56 81% 18% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
75 of 92 82% 105 57 77% 22% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
74 of 92 80% 104 58 72% 26% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
73 of 92 79% 103 59 65% 32% <1% 3% <1% ^ ^
72 of 92 78% 102 60 59% 36% 1% 4% <1% ^ ^
71 of 92 77% 101 61 52% 40% 2% 6% <1% ^ ^
70 of 92 76% 100 62 46% 43% 2% 9% <1% ^ ^
69 of 92 75% 99 63 38% 46% 4% 12% <1% ^ ^
68 of 92 74% 98 64 30% 47% 6% 17% <1% ^ ^
67 of 92 73% 97 65 23% 46% 8% 22% 1% ^ ^
66 of 92 72% 96 66 17% 44% 10% 27% 2% <1% ^
65 of 92 71% 95 67 11% 39% 13% 34% 3% <1% ^
64 of 92 70% 94 68 7% 34% 15% 39% 6% <1% ^
63 of 92 68% 93 69 4% 25% 17% 42% 11% 1% <1%
62 of 92 67% 92 70 2% 19% 16% 43% 17% 2% <1%
61 of 92 66% 91 71 1% 13% 16% 41% 24% 5% <1%
60 of 92 65% 90 72 <1% 8% 14% 36% 31% 10% 1%
59 of 92 64% 89 73 <1% 4% 11% 28% 37% 16% 4%
58 of 92 63% 88 74 <1% 2% 8% 20% 37% 25% 9%
57 of 92 62% 87 75 <1% 1% 5% 13% 32% 32% 17%
56 of 92 61% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 6% 25% 35% 30%
55 of 92 60% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 3% 16% 31% 48%
54 of 92 59% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 8% 25% 65%
53 of 92 58% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 79%
52 of 92 57% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 89%
51 of 92 55% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
50 of 92 54% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
40 of 92 43% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 92 33% 60 102 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 92 22% 50 112 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 92 11% 40 122 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 92 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs