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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Rays (34‑16)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 24 30 <1% <1% <1% 4% 7% 8% 81%
Current Standings 23 30 <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 7% 82%
Lose Next Game 23 31 <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 7% 84%


Current Series - Rays (34‑16) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 26 30 <1% <1% <1% 4% 8% 9% 78%
Current Standings 23 30 <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 7% 82%
Rays Sweeps 23 33 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 86%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 109 83% 113 49 96% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 109 82% 112 50 93% <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 109 81% 111 51 91% 1% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 109 80% 110 52 88% 1% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 109 79% 109 53 85% 1% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 109 78% 108 54 80% 2% <1% 18% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 109 77% 107 55 75% 3% <1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 109 76% 106 56 70% 3% <1% 27% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 109 75% 105 57 65% 4% <1% 31% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 109 74% 104 58 58% 6% <1% 35% 1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 103 59 51% 7% <1% 40% 2% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 102 60 46% 8% <1% 44% 2% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 101 61 39% 9% <1% 49% 3% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 100 62 33% 10% <1% 52% 4% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 99 63 27% 11% <1% 55% 7% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 98 64 21% 11% 1% 59% 8% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 97 65 16% 10% 1% 61% 12% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 96 66 11% 10% 1% 61% 16% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 95 67 8% 10% 1% 61% 19% <1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 94 68 6% 8% 1% 60% 24% 1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 93 69 3% 7% 2% 58% 29% 2% <1%
69 of 109 63% 92 70 2% 4% 1% 53% 36% 3% <1%
68 of 109 62% 91 71 1% 3% 2% 47% 41% 5% <1%
67 of 109 61% 90 72 1% 2% 1% 40% 46% 9% 1%
66 of 109 61% 89 73 <1% 1% 1% 33% 49% 14% 1%
65 of 109 60% 88 74 <1% 1% 1% 26% 49% 20% 3%
64 of 109 59% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 19% 47% 26% 7%
63 of 109 58% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 13% 43% 33% 11%
62 of 109 57% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 8% 35% 38% 19%
61 of 109 56% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 5% 28% 39% 28%
60 of 109 55% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 2% 20% 37% 41%
59 of 109 54% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 32% 55%
58 of 109 53% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 69%
57 of 109 52% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 80%
56 of 109 51% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
55 of 109 50% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
50 of 109 46% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 109 37% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 53 109 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 109 9% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 23 139 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs