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Wed Jul 30 3:30 am

MLB - Week 20 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (63‑46)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 51 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Current Standings 50 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
Lose Next Game 50 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%


Current Series - Blue Jays (63‑46) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 51 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Current Standings 50 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
Blue Jays Sweeps 50 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
54 of 54 100% 104 58 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 54 93% 100 62 93% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 54 91% 99 63 88% 10% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 54 89% 98 64 82% 15% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 54 87% 97 65 73% 21% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 54 85% 96 66 62% 27% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 54 83% 95 67 50% 32% 1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 54 81% 94 68 37% 36% 2% 25% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 54 80% 93 69 24% 36% 5% 33% 1% <1% <1%
42 of 54 78% 92 70 15% 32% 8% 42% 3% <1% <1%
41 of 54 76% 91 71 7% 25% 11% 49% 8% <1% <1%
40 of 54 74% 90 72 3% 16% 12% 52% 16% 1% <1%
39 of 54 72% 89 73 1% 7% 11% 49% 27% 4% <1%
38 of 54 70% 88 74 <1% 3% 8% 37% 38% 12% 2%
37 of 54 69% 87 75 <1% 1% 5% 23% 41% 24% 6%
36 of 54 67% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 10% 33% 34% 21%
35 of 54 65% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 3% 19% 36% 41%
34 of 54 63% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 68%
33 of 54 61% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 87%
30 of 54 56% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 54 37% 70 92 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 54 19% 60 102 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 54 0% 50 112 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs