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Tue Jun 23 5:15 am

MLB - Week 14 of 27

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Angels (32‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 42 1% <1% <1% 5% 10% 11% 73%
Current Standings 38 42 1% <1% <1% 4% 9% 10% 75%
Lose Next Game 38 43 <1% <1% <1% 4% 9% 10% 77%


Current Series - Angels (32‑48) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 40 42 1% 1% <1% 6% 11% 11% 70%
Current Standings 38 42 1% <1% <1% 4% 9% 10% 75%
Angels Sweeps 38 44 <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 9% 79%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
82 of 82 100% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 82 98% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 82 85% 108 54 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 82 79% 103 59 95% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 82 78% 102 60 93% <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 82 77% 101 61 89% 1% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 82 76% 100 62 84% 1% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 82 74% 99 63 78% 2% <1% 19% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 82 73% 98 64 71% 3% <1% 25% 1% <1% <1%
59 of 82 72% 97 65 63% 4% <1% 31% 2% <1% <1%
58 of 82 71% 96 66 52% 6% <1% 38% 4% <1% <1%
57 of 82 70% 95 67 42% 7% <1% 44% 6% <1% <1%
56 of 82 68% 94 68 32% 8% <1% 49% 10% <1% <1%
55 of 82 67% 93 69 23% 9% 1% 52% 14% <1% <1%
54 of 82 66% 92 70 16% 9% 1% 53% 20% 1% <1%
53 of 82 65% 91 71 9% 8% 1% 52% 27% 1% <1%
52 of 82 63% 90 72 6% 7% 1% 49% 35% 3% <1%
51 of 82 62% 89 73 3% 5% 2% 41% 43% 6% <1%
50 of 82 61% 88 74 1% 3% 2% 35% 48% 11% 1%
49 of 82 60% 87 75 <1% 2% 1% 26% 50% 18% 2%
48 of 82 59% 86 76 <1% 1% 1% 17% 49% 27% 5%
47 of 82 57% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 10% 43% 35% 11%
46 of 82 56% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 5% 32% 40% 22%
45 of 82 55% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 2% 21% 40% 36%
44 of 82 54% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 33% 54%
43 of 82 52% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 71%
42 of 82 51% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
41 of 82 50% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 82 49% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
30 of 82 37% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 82 24% 58 104 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 82 12% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 82 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs