The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (58‑54) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (59‑53) 4 Games Remaining |
43 | Padres Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 23% | 20% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 82% | ||
| Brewers (69‑42) vs Pirates (56‑57) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Brewers Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 68% | ||
| Braves (67‑45) vs Marlins (58‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 67% | ||
| Nationals (55‑58) vs Phillies (59‑53) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 15% | 16% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 66% | ||
| Yankees (63‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 66% | ||
| Dodgers (69‑43) vs Cubs (63‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 16% | 66% | ||
| Rangers (55‑57) vs Giants (47‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 64% | ||
| Athletics (45‑67) vs Reds (53‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Rays (65‑46) vs Rockies (45‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Guardians (57‑56) vs Mets (47‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 64% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (58‑54) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (59‑53) |
12 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 16% | 17% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 70% | ||
| Nationals (55‑58) vs Phillies (59‑53) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 15% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Mets (47‑66) vs Guardians (57‑56) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Braves (67‑45) vs Marlins (58‑55) |
1 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Reds (53‑58) vs Athletics (45‑67) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 66% | ||
| Rockies (45‑67) vs Rays (65‑46) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Dodgers (69‑43) vs Cubs (63‑49) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 66% | ||
| Yankees (63‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑57) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Brewers (69‑42) vs Pirates (56‑57) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 65% | ||