The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (46‑40) vs Rangers (43‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
25 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 4% | 3% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 53% | ||
| Phillies (51‑36) vs Reds (44‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 45% | ||
| Angels (42‑43) vs Braves (39‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 44% | ||
| Nationals (36‑50) vs Tigers (54‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Giants (46‑41) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (43‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers (55‑32) vs White Sox (28‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (19‑67) vs Astros (52‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 44% | ||
| Twins (41‑45) vs Marlins (38‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 44% | ||
| Brewers (48‑38) vs Mets (49‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Cubs (51‑35) vs Guardians (40‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 44% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (46‑40) vs Rangers (43‑44) |
9 | Padres Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Angels (42‑43) vs Braves (39‑46) |
1 | Angels Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Braves Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 44% | ||
| Nationals (36‑50) vs Tigers (54‑33) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Giants (46‑41) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (43‑42) |
1 | Giants Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers (55‑32) vs White Sox (28‑58) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (19‑67) vs Astros (52‑34) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Astros Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 44% | ||
| Twins (41‑45) vs Marlins (38‑46) |
0 | Twins Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 44% | ||
| Reds (44‑42) vs Phillies (51‑36) |
0 | Reds Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Brewers (48‑38) vs Mets (49‑38) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Mets Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Cubs (51‑35) vs Guardians (40‑44) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 44% | ||