The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (19‑11) vs White Sox (14‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
15 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals (18‑13) vs Dodgers (20‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% | ||
| Braves (22‑10) vs Rockies (14‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Rays (18‑12) vs Giants (13‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Cubs (19‑12) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Marlins (15‑16) vs Phillies (12‑19) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Pirates (16‑16) vs Reds (20‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Nationals (15‑17) vs Brewers (16‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Mets (10‑21) vs Angels (12‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (19‑11) vs White Sox (14‑17) |
6 | Padres Wins | 14% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Angels (12‑20) vs Mets (10‑21) |
2 | Angels Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Mets Wins | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Cardinals (18‑13) vs Dodgers (20‑11) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Giants (13‑18) vs Rays (18‑12) |
1 | Giants Wins | 13% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Rays Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑14) vs Cubs (19‑12) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 13% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Rockies (14‑18) vs Braves (22‑10) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Braves Wins | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Brewers (16‑14) vs Nationals (15‑17) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Pirates (16‑16) vs Reds (20‑11) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Reds Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Marlins (15‑16) vs Phillies (12‑19) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% | ||