The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (47‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Tigers (44‑51) vs Phillies (53‑43) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Reds (43‑51) vs Cubs (53‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Brewers (59‑36) vs Pirates (49‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Braves (54‑40) vs Cardinals (50‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Guardians (50‑46) vs Marlins (52‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Rockies (39‑58) vs Giants (40‑55) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (48‑47) vs Dodgers (61‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Yankees (53‑42) vs Nationals (48‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (47‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑50) |
4 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Tigers (44‑51) vs Phillies (53‑43) |
1 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Reds (43‑51) vs Cubs (53‑42) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Brewers (59‑36) vs Pirates (49‑47) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Braves (54‑40) vs Cardinals (50‑44) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Guardians (50‑46) vs Marlins (52‑44) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Rockies (39‑58) vs Giants (40‑55) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (48‑47) vs Dodgers (61‑35) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Yankees (53‑42) vs Nationals (48‑48) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||