The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (44‑36) vs Reds (41‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
28 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 4% | 22% | 15% | 13% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Royals (38‑43) vs Dodgers (51‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Marlins (34‑45) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| White Sox (26‑55) vs Giants (44‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Guardians (40‑39) vs Cardinals (44‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 44% | ||
| Pirates (32‑50) vs Mets (48‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (18‑63) vs Brewers (45‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Astros (48‑33) vs Cubs (48‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Nationals (33‑48) vs Angels (40‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Braves (37‑43) vs Phillies (47‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (44‑36) vs Reds (41‑39) |
10 | Padres Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Reds Wins | 4% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 45% | ||
| Pirates (32‑50) vs Mets (48‑34) |
3 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Mets Wins | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Royals (38‑43) vs Dodgers (51‑31) |
3 | Royals Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Guardians (40‑39) vs Cardinals (44‑38) |
2 | Guardians Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 5% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| White Sox (26‑55) vs Giants (44‑37) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Giants Wins | 5% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Astros (48‑33) vs Cubs (48‑33) |
2 | Astros Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 4% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Marlins (34‑45) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑38) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 5% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 43% | ||
| Angels (40‑40) vs Nationals (33‑48) |
1 | Angels Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Brewers (45‑36) vs Rockies (18‑63) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Phillies (47‑34) vs Braves (37‑43) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 5% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Braves Wins | 4% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 43% | ||