The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (16‑7) vs Tigers (14‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 8% | 4% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Brewers (12‑11) vs Giants (15‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Royals (9‑14) vs Rockies (4‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Cubs (14‑10) vs Dodgers (16‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 7% | 3% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Rays (9‑13) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Pirates (8‑15) vs Angels (11‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑14) vs Braves (9‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Phillies (13‑10) vs Mets (16‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Nationals (9‑13) vs Orioles (9‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Marlins (10‑12) vs Reds (11‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (16‑7) vs Tigers (14‑9) |
3 | Padres Wins | 18% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 16% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Marlins (10‑12) vs Reds (11‑12) |
3 | Marlins Wins | 18% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Reds Wins | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Braves (9‑13) vs Cardinals (9‑14) |
2 | Braves Wins | 18% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Brewers (12‑11) vs Giants (15‑8) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Giants Wins | 17% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Rockies (4‑17) vs Royals (9‑14) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Royals Wins | 17% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Angels (11‑10) vs Pirates (8‑15) |
1 | Angels Wins | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 17% | 8% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Mets (16‑7) vs Phillies (13‑10) |
0 | Mets Wins | 17% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 17% | 8% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Rays (9‑13) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) |
0 | Rays Wins | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 17% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑7) vs Cubs (14‑10) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 17% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 17% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Nationals (9‑13) vs Orioles (9‑12) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 17% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 36% | ||