The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (46‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Guardians (49‑46) vs Marlins (52‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Tigers (44‑50) vs Phillies (52‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Dodgers (61‑34) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (47‑47) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Yankees (52‑42) vs Nationals (48‑47) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Reds (43‑50) vs Cubs (52‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Red Sox (44‑48) vs Mets (40‑55) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rockies (39‑57) vs Giants (39‑55) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Brewers (59‑34) vs Pirates (47‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Braves (54‑39) vs Cardinals (49‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (46‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑49) |
3 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Yankees (52‑42) vs Nationals (48‑47) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Guardians (49‑46) vs Marlins (52‑43) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Brewers (59‑34) vs Pirates (47‑47) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Tigers (44‑50) vs Phillies (52‑43) |
1 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Giants (39‑55) vs Rockies (39‑57) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Reds (43‑50) vs Cubs (52‑42) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 88% | ||
| Braves (54‑39) vs Cardinals (49‑44) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Dodgers (61‑34) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (47‑47) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mets (40‑55) vs Red Sox (44‑48) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||