The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (33‑24) vs Giants (33‑26) 4 Games Remaining |
41 | Padres Sweeps 4 Games | 11% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Mets (37‑22) vs Dodgers (36‑23) 4 Games Remaining |
7 | Mets Sweeps 4 Games | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 4 Games | 7% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Royals (31‑29) vs Cardinals (33‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays (31‑28) vs Phillies (36‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Nationals (28‑31) vs Cubs (37‑22) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Reds (29‑31) vs Brewers (32‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Rockies (9‑50) vs Marlins (23‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Astros (32‑27) vs Pirates (22‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Braves (27‑31) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (28‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (33‑24) vs Giants (33‑26) |
11 | Padres Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Giants Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 44% | ||
| Mets (37‑22) vs Dodgers (36‑23) |
2 | Mets Wins | 7% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 42% | ||
| Cubs (37‑22) vs Nationals (28‑31) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 7% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Blue Jays (31‑28) vs Phillies (36‑23) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 42% | ||
| Royals (31‑29) vs Cardinals (33‑26) |
1 | Royals Wins | 7% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 7% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Pirates (22‑38) vs Astros (32‑27) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Astros Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 42% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (28‑31) vs Braves (27‑31) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 7% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Braves Wins | 7% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Marlins (23‑34) vs Rockies (9‑50) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 7% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Reds (29‑31) vs Brewers (32‑28) |
0 | Reds Wins | 7% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 41% | ||