The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
43 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 30% | 10% | 23% | 26% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 11% | 9% | 19% | 50% | 9% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) vs Dodgers (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
37 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 28% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 16% | 6% | 28% | 41% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 20% | 10% | 35% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 21% | 11% | 17% | 42% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 26% | 5% | 22% | 38% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 37% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 11% | 21% | 37% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 20% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 10% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 10% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 10% | 22% | 36% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Marlins (63‑71) vs Mets (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 10% | 23% | 39% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 35% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 19% | 10% | 23% | 36% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 23% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) |
15 | Padres Wins | 6% | 24% | 11% | 23% | 33% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Twins Wins | 3% | 18% | 10% | 22% | 41% | 5% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) vs Dodgers (77‑57) |
12 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 5% | 24% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 5% | 19% | 9% | 24% | 38% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) |
1 | Braves Wins | 5% | 23% | 9% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 5% | 20% | 11% | 23% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 23% | 36% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Rays Wins | 5% | 21% | 10% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Reds Wins | 5% | 21% | 10% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Marlins (63‑71) vs Mets (72‑62) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 38% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Mets Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 23% | 36% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 5% | 21% | 10% | 23% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 4% | 22% | 11% | 21% | 37% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 6% | 20% | 10% | 22% | 37% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 5% | 20% | 10% | 26% | 33% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 21% | 38% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 5% | 21% | 10% | 23% | 36% | 4% | <1% | ||