The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (38‑35) vs Rangers (35‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
19 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 75% | ||
| Orioles (35‑41) vs Dodgers (48‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Rays (41‑30) vs Nationals (39‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays (37‑38) vs Cubs (39‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Giants (31‑43) vs Marlins (37‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Mets (34‑41) vs Phillies (40‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Yankees (45‑28) vs Reds (35‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Twins (36‑40) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (38‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Royals (31‑45) vs Cardinals (40‑33) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Rockies (28‑47) vs Pirates (38‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Brewers (45‑27) vs Braves (46‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (38‑35) vs Rangers (35‑39) |
6 | Padres Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 71% | ||
| Blue Jays (37‑38) vs Cubs (39‑36) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Orioles (35‑41) vs Dodgers (48‑27) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% | ||
| Rockies (28‑47) vs Pirates (38‑37) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Cardinals (40‑33) vs Royals (31‑45) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Rays (41‑30) vs Nationals (39‑36) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Giants (31‑43) vs Marlins (37‑38) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Twins (36‑40) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (38‑36) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Yankees (45‑28) vs Reds (35‑38) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Mets (34‑41) vs Phillies (40‑35) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Brewers (45‑27) vs Braves (46‑27) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||