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Sat Sep 13 2:30 am

MLB - Week 26 of 28

Padres Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Padres Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres
(80‑68)
vs
Rockies
(41‑107)
2 Games Remaining		 26 Padres Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 25% 4% 68% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Rockies Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 8% 1% 75% 12% 5%
Giants
(75‑72)
vs
Dodgers
(82‑65)
2 Games Remaining		 26 Giants Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 32% 2% 59% 6% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 11% 4% 79% 4% 1%
Rays
(72‑75)
vs
Cubs
(84‑63)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Rays Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 7% 66% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Cubs Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 1% 71% 5% 1%
Athletics
(68‑80)
vs
Reds
(74‑73)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Reds Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 69% 5% 2%
Royals
(74‑74)
vs
Phillies
(88‑60)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Royals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Phillies Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Marlins
(69‑79)
vs
Tigers
(84‑64)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Marlins Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 69% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Tigers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Brewers
(90‑58)
vs
Cardinals
(72‑76)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Brewers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 71% 5% 1%
Astros
(80‑68)
vs
Braves
(65‑82)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Astros Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Braves Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Rangers
(78‑70)
vs
Mets
(76‑72)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Rangers Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 72% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Mets Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 22% 3% 66% 7% 2%
Twins
(65‑82)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(73‑75)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Twins Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 69% 5% 2%
Nationals
(61‑86)
vs
Pirates
(64‑84)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Pirates Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%


Padres Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres
(80‑68)
vs
Rockies
(41‑107)		 15 Padres Wins <1% <1% 23% 3% 68% 4% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Rockies Wins <1% <1% 14% 2% 74% 8% 2%
Giants
(75‑72)
vs
Dodgers
(82‑65)		 12 Giants Wins <1% <1% 26% 3% 64% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Dodgers Wins <1% <1% 16% 4% 75% 5% 1%
Rangers
(78‑70)
vs
Mets
(76‑72)		 2 Rangers Wins <1% <1% 22% 3% 71% 4% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Mets Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 69% 6% 1%
Braves
(65‑82)
vs
Astros
(80‑68)		 1 Braves Wins <1% <1% 22% 3% 69% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Astros Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Rays
(72‑75)
vs
Cubs
(84‑63)		 1 Rays Wins <1% <1% 21% 4% 68% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Cubs Wins <1% <1% 21% 2% 70% 5% 1%
Tigers
(84‑64)
vs
Marlins
(69‑79)		 1 Tigers Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 69% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Marlins Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Brewers
(90‑58)
vs
Cardinals
(72‑76)		 1 Brewers Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Cardinals Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Reds
(74‑73)
vs
Athletics
(68‑80)		 0 Reds Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 69% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Athletics Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(73‑75)
vs
Twins
(65‑82)		 0 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins <1% <1% 22% 3% 69% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Twins Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Royals
(74‑74)
vs
Phillies
(88‑60)		 0 Royals Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Phillies Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Nationals
(61‑86)
vs
Pirates
(64‑84)		 0 Nationals Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
Pirates Wins <1% <1% 21% 3% 70% 5% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs