The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
10 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 27% | 30% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 22% | 31% | 39% | ||
| Reds (62‑68) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 26% | 32% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 35% | ||
| Mariners (62‑68) vs Cubs (74‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 24% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 25% | 31% | 35% | ||
| Nationals (61‑70) vs Marlins (66‑64) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Pirates (63‑68) vs Dodgers (79‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 31% | 34% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑65) vs Phillies (72‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 26% | 28% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 32% | 34% | ||
| Brewers (81‑49) vs Braves (75‑55) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 31% | 35% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Guardians (64‑66) vs Rockies (50‑79) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 31% | 34% | ||
| Red Sox (70‑59) vs Giants (52‑77) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) |
10 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 27% | 30% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 22% | 31% | 39% | ||
| Reds (62‑68) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑62) |
3 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 26% | 32% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 35% | ||
| Mariners (62‑68) vs Cubs (74‑56) |
2 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 24% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 25% | 31% | 35% | ||
| Nationals (61‑70) vs Marlins (66‑64) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Pirates (63‑68) vs Dodgers (79‑51) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 31% | 34% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑65) vs Phillies (72‑58) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 26% | 28% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 32% | 34% | ||
| Brewers (81‑49) vs Braves (75‑55) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 31% | 35% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Guardians (64‑66) vs Rockies (50‑79) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 31% | 34% | ||
| Red Sox (70‑59) vs Giants (52‑77) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 25% | 30% | 34% | ||