The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (31‑24) vs Nationals (29‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
24 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (29‑27) vs Dodgers (36‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Mariners (28‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Braves (38‑19) vs Reds (29‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Marlins (26‑31) vs Mets (23‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Cardinals (29‑25) vs Cubs (31‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Brewers (33‑20) vs Astros (26‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Giants (22‑34) vs Rockies (20‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Twins (27‑30) vs Pirates (29‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (31‑24) vs Nationals (29‑28) |
8 | Padres Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 56% | ||
| Phillies (29‑27) vs Dodgers (36‑20) |
3 | Phillies Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Cubs (31‑26) vs Cardinals (29‑25) |
2 | Cubs Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Rockies (20‑37) vs Giants (22‑34) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Giants Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Mariners (28‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑24) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Mets (23‑33) vs Marlins (26‑31) |
1 | Mets Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Twins (27‑30) vs Pirates (29‑28) |
1 | Twins Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Brewers (33‑20) vs Astros (26‑32) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Astros Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||
| Braves (38‑19) vs Reds (29‑26) |
0 | Braves Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 53% | ||
| Reds Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 54% | ||