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Sun Aug 2 11:00 pm

MLB - Week 20 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Diamondbacks (59‑53)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 59 54 <1% <1% <1% 8% 16% 17% 59%
Current Standings 58 54 <1% <1% <1% 6% 13% 16% 65%
Lose Next Game 58 55 <1% <1% <1% 5% 11% 15% 70%


Current Series - Diamondbacks (59‑53) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 62 54 <1% <1% 1% 13% 23% 20% 42%
Current Standings 58 54 <1% <1% <1% 6% 13% 16% 65%
Diamondbacks Sweeps 58 58 <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 82%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
50 of 50 100% 108 54 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
47 of 50 94% 105 57 95% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% ^
46 of 50 92% 104 58 90% 5% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 50 90% 103 59 83% 8% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 50 88% 102 60 72% 13% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 50 86% 101 61 60% 19% 1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 50 84% 100 62 45% 24% 2% 29% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 50 82% 99 63 32% 27% 3% 38% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 50 80% 98 64 19% 27% 5% 48% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 50 78% 97 65 10% 24% 7% 58% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 50 76% 96 66 5% 18% 9% 65% 3% <1% <1%
37 of 50 74% 95 67 2% 13% 8% 71% 6% <1% <1%
36 of 50 72% 94 68 1% 7% 9% 72% 12% <1% <1%
35 of 50 70% 93 69 <1% 3% 7% 70% 20% <1% <1%
34 of 50 68% 92 70 <1% 2% 5% 62% 29% 1% <1%
33 of 50 66% 91 71 <1% 1% 3% 51% 41% 4% <1%
32 of 50 64% 90 72 <1% <1% 2% 40% 49% 9% <1%
31 of 50 62% 89 73 <1% <1% 1% 26% 53% 18% 2%
30 of 50 60% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 16% 49% 30% 5%
29 of 50 58% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 8% 39% 39% 14%
28 of 50 56% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 3% 26% 43% 28%
27 of 50 54% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 1% 14% 38% 48%
26 of 50 52% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 26% 69%
25 of 50 50% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 84%
24 of 50 48% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
20 of 50 40% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
15 of 50 30% 73 89 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 50 20% 68 94 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
5 of 50 10% 63 99 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 50 0% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs