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Sun Aug 23 12:30 am

MLB - Week 22 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Twins (63‑67)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 71 60 <1% <1% <1% 12% 27% 30% 30%
Current Standings 70 60 <1% <1% <1% 10% 25% 30% 34%
Lose Next Game 70 61 <1% <1% <1% 7% 22% 31% 39%


Current Series - Twins (63‑67) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 71 60 <1% <1% <1% 12% 27% 30% 30%
Current Standings 70 60 <1% <1% <1% 10% 25% 30% 34%
Twins Sweeps 70 61 <1% <1% <1% 7% 22% 31% 39%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
32 of 32 100% 102 60 78% 18% <1% 4% <1% <1% ^
31 of 32 97% 101 61 64% 27% <1% 9% <1% <1% ^
30 of 32 94% 100 62 48% 34% <1% 18% <1% <1% ^
29 of 32 91% 99 63 31% 39% <1% 30% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 32 88% 98 64 18% 38% 1% 42% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 32 84% 97 65 9% 32% 2% 56% 1% <1% <1%
26 of 32 81% 96 66 3% 23% 4% 67% 4% <1% <1%
25 of 32 78% 95 67 1% 13% 4% 72% 10% <1% <1%
24 of 32 75% 94 68 <1% 7% 4% 71% 18% <1% <1%
23 of 32 72% 93 69 <1% 3% 3% 64% 29% 1% <1%
22 of 32 69% 92 70 <1% 1% 2% 51% 43% 3% <1%
21 of 32 66% 91 71 <1% <1% 1% 36% 53% 9% <1%
20 of 32 63% 90 72 <1% <1% <1% 22% 56% 21% 1%
19 of 32 59% 89 73 <1% <1% <1% 11% 50% 36% 3%
18 of 32 56% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 4% 36% 50% 10%
17 of 32 53% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 55% 23%
16 of 32 50% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 48% 42%
15 of 32 47% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 33% 64%
14 of 32 44% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 81%
13 of 32 41% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
10 of 32 31% 80 82 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 32 16% 75 87 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 70 92 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs