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Sun Jul 12 12:45 am

MLB - Week 16 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (45‑50)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 48 48 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 85%
Current Standings 47 48 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
Lose Next Game 47 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 89%


Current Series - Blue Jays (45‑50) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 48 48 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 85%
Current Standings 47 48 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 87%
Blue Jays Sweeps 47 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 89%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
67 of 67 100% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
61 of 67 91% 108 54 95% 1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 67 90% 107 55 91% 3% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 67 88% 106 56 86% 5% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 67 87% 105 57 80% 7% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 67 85% 104 58 72% 10% <1% 18% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 67 84% 103 59 62% 13% <1% 25% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 67 82% 102 60 51% 17% <1% 32% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 67 81% 101 61 43% 19% <1% 38% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 67 79% 100 62 31% 22% 1% 46% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 67 78% 99 63 23% 22% 1% 54% 1% <1% <1%
51 of 67 76% 98 64 15% 21% 2% 61% 1% <1% <1%
50 of 67 75% 97 65 9% 20% 2% 66% 3% <1% <1%
49 of 67 73% 96 66 5% 16% 4% 70% 6% <1% <1%
48 of 67 72% 95 67 2% 12% 5% 71% 10% <1% <1%
47 of 67 70% 94 68 1% 8% 5% 68% 17% 1% <1%
46 of 67 69% 93 69 <1% 5% 4% 63% 25% 2% <1%
45 of 67 67% 92 70 <1% 2% 4% 52% 35% 6% <1%
44 of 67 66% 91 71 <1% 1% 3% 39% 43% 12% 1%
43 of 67 64% 90 72 <1% 1% 2% 27% 46% 21% 4%
42 of 67 63% 89 73 <1% <1% 1% 17% 41% 31% 11%
41 of 67 61% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 8% 33% 38% 21%
40 of 67 60% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 3% 20% 38% 38%
39 of 67 58% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 31% 57%
38 of 67 57% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 75%
37 of 67 55% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 88%
36 of 67 54% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
30 of 67 45% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 67 30% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 67 15% 57 105 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 67 0% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs