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Mon Jun 2 3:30 am

MLB - Week 12 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Giants (33‑26)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 34 24 8% 9% 8% 13% 12% 11% 39%
Current Standings 33 24 7% 8% 7% 13% 12% 11% 41%
Lose Next Game 33 25 6% 7% 7% 13% 12% 11% 44%


Current Series - Giants (33‑26) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 37 24 11% 11% 9% 15% 12% 10% 31%
Current Standings 33 24 7% 8% 7% 13% 12% 11% 41%
Giants Sweeps 33 28 4% 6% 6% 12% 12% 11% 49%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
105 of 105 100% 138 24 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 105 95% 133 29 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 105 86% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 105 76% 113 49 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 105 73% 110 52 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 105 72% 109 53 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 105 71% 108 54 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 105 70% 107 55 84% 14% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 105 70% 106 56 79% 17% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 105 69% 105 57 71% 22% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 105 68% 104 58 65% 26% 3% 6% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 105 67% 103 59 56% 31% 4% 9% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 105 66% 102 60 47% 34% 6% 13% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 105 65% 101 61 38% 36% 9% 16% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 105 64% 100 62 30% 36% 12% 21% 1% <1% <1%
66 of 105 63% 99 63 23% 36% 14% 26% 2% <1% <1%
65 of 105 62% 98 64 16% 32% 17% 31% 4% <1% <1%
64 of 105 61% 97 65 10% 29% 20% 34% 7% <1% <1%
63 of 105 60% 96 66 6% 24% 22% 36% 11% 1% <1%
62 of 105 59% 95 67 4% 18% 22% 37% 17% 2% <1%
61 of 105 58% 94 68 2% 13% 22% 35% 23% 5% <1%
60 of 105 57% 93 69 1% 9% 20% 32% 30% 8% 1%
59 of 105 56% 92 70 <1% 5% 18% 26% 34% 13% 2%
58 of 105 55% 91 71 <1% 3% 15% 21% 35% 21% 5%
57 of 105 54% 90 72 <1% 1% 12% 14% 34% 28% 10%
56 of 105 53% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 9% 29% 33% 18%
55 of 105 52% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 5% 23% 36% 31%
54 of 105 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 3% 16% 33% 44%
53 of 105 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 10% 28% 59%
52 of 105 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 20% 73%
51 of 105 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 13% 84%
50 of 105 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 105 38% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 105 29% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 105 19% 53 109 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 105 10% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 105 0% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs