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Sat Jul 12 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Phillies (54‑40)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 52 43 5% 7% 6% 14% 15% 15% 38%
Current Standings 51 43 4% 7% 6% 14% 14% 14% 41%
Lose Next Game 51 44 3% 6% 6% 12% 14% 15% 45%


Current Series - Phillies (54‑40) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 53 43 6% 8% 6% 15% 15% 14% 35%
Current Standings 51 43 4% 7% 6% 14% 14% 14% 41%
Phillies Sweeps 51 45 2% 5% 7% 10% 13% 14% 48%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
53 of 68 78% 104 58 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 68 76% 103 59 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 68 75% 102 60 88% 10% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 68 74% 101 61 81% 14% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 68 72% 100 62 72% 20% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 99 63 62% 25% 2% 11% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 98 64 50% 31% 4% 16% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 97 65 37% 34% 6% 22% 1% <1% <1%
45 of 68 66% 96 66 26% 36% 9% 28% 2% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 95 67 16% 33% 13% 34% 4% <1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 94 68 9% 28% 16% 38% 9% <1% <1%
42 of 68 62% 93 69 4% 20% 18% 41% 16% 1% <1%
41 of 68 60% 92 70 2% 12% 17% 38% 25% 5% <1%
40 of 68 59% 91 71 1% 6% 16% 32% 33% 11% 1%
39 of 68 57% 90 72 <1% 3% 13% 22% 38% 20% 4%
38 of 68 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 14% 37% 29% 10%
37 of 68 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 5% 6% 29% 37% 22%
36 of 68 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 2% 18% 39% 38%
35 of 68 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 31% 58%
34 of 68 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 20% 75%
33 of 68 49% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
32 of 68 47% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
30 of 68 44% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 68 29% 71 91 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 61 101 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs