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Fri Jun 27 3:30 am

MLB - Week 15 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Reds (41‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 36 5% 5% 3% 20% 15% 12% 39%
Current Standings 44 36 5% 5% 3% 18% 14% 13% 43%
Lose Next Game 44 37 4% 4% 3% 17% 14% 13% 45%


Current Series - Reds (41‑39) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 47 36 6% 6% 4% 22% 15% 13% 34%
Current Standings 44 36 5% 5% 3% 18% 14% 13% 43%
Reds Sweeps 44 39 3% 4% 3% 14% 13% 13% 50%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
82 of 82 100% 126 36 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 82 98% 124 38 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
70 of 82 85% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 82 77% 107 55 95% 2% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 82 76% 106 56 92% 3% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 82 74% 105 57 89% 5% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 82 73% 104 58 83% 7% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 82 72% 103 59 77% 10% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 82 71% 102 60 68% 13% <1% 18% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 82 70% 101 61 60% 16% 1% 24% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 82 68% 100 62 49% 20% 2% 30% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 82 67% 99 63 39% 22% 3% 36% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 82 66% 98 64 29% 23% 4% 42% 1% <1% <1%
53 of 82 65% 97 65 20% 22% 6% 49% 3% <1% <1%
52 of 82 63% 96 66 12% 21% 8% 53% 6% <1% <1%
51 of 82 62% 95 67 7% 18% 9% 54% 10% 1% <1%
50 of 82 61% 94 68 4% 13% 10% 54% 18% 2% <1%
49 of 82 60% 93 69 2% 8% 9% 51% 26% 4% <1%
48 of 82 59% 92 70 1% 5% 9% 41% 34% 9% 1%
47 of 82 57% 91 71 <1% 2% 7% 32% 40% 16% 3%
46 of 82 56% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 21% 39% 26% 8%
45 of 82 55% 89 73 <1% <1% 3% 12% 35% 33% 17%
44 of 82 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 6% 25% 37% 30%
43 of 82 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 2% 16% 34% 47%
42 of 82 51% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 65%
41 of 82 50% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 79%
40 of 82 49% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
30 of 82 37% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 82 24% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 82 12% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 82 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs