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Fri Aug 29 2:30 am

MLB - Week 24 of 28

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Twins (60‑73)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 76 59 6% 24% 11% 23% 33% 3% <1%
Current Standings 75 59 5% 21% 11% 22% 37% 4% <1%
Lose Next Game 75 60 3% 18% 10% 22% 41% 5% 1%


Current Series - Twins (60‑73) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 78 59 9% 30% 10% 23% 26% 2% <1%
Current Standings 75 59 5% 21% 11% 22% 37% 4% <1%
Twins Sweeps 75 62 1% 11% 9% 19% 50% 9% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
28 of 28 100% 103 59 99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 101 61 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 100 62 86% 13% <1% 1% <1% <1% ^
24 of 28 86% 99 63 73% 24% <1% 3% <1% <1% ^
23 of 28 82% 98 64 53% 39% 1% 7% <1% <1% ^
22 of 28 79% 97 65 33% 51% 2% 13% <1% <1% ^
21 of 28 75% 96 66 18% 55% 6% 19% 2% <1% <1%
20 of 28 71% 95 67 7% 48% 10% 28% 6% <1% <1%
19 of 28 68% 94 68 2% 36% 16% 32% 15% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 93 69 <1% 21% 17% 33% 28% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 92 70 <1% 10% 16% 28% 46% <1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 91 71 <1% 4% 12% 21% 62% 1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 90 72 <1% 1% 8% 13% 74% 3% <1%
14 of 28 50% 89 73 <1% <1% 4% 7% 79% 9% <1%
13 of 28 46% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 3% 74% 20% <1%
12 of 28 43% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 1% 61% 35% 2%
11 of 28 39% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% <1% 43% 50% 6%
10 of 28 36% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 25% 57% 18%
9 of 28 32% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 52% 37%
8 of 28 29% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 36% 60%
7 of 28 25% 82 80 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 81%
6 of 28 21% 81 81 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
5 of 28 18% 80 82 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 28 0% 75 87 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs