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Thu Apr 30 11:30 pm

MLB - Week 6 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - White Sox (14‑17)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 20 11 14% 13% 9% 10% 9% 7% 38%
Current Standings 19 11 13% 12% 10% 10% 8% 7% 40%
Lose Next Game 19 12 12% 12% 10% 10% 8% 7% 41%


Current Series - White Sox (14‑17) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 22 11 15% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 37%
Current Standings 19 11 13% 12% 10% 10% 8% 7% 40%
White Sox Sweeps 19 14 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 8% 43%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
132 of 132 100% 151 11 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 132 98% 149 13 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 132 91% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
110 of 132 83% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 132 76% 119 43 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 132 73% 116 46 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 132 73% 115 47 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 132 72% 114 48 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 132 71% 113 49 88% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 132 70% 112 50 84% 14% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 132 70% 111 51 80% 17% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 132 69% 110 52 74% 21% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 132 68% 109 53 69% 25% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 132 67% 108 54 63% 28% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 132 67% 107 55 57% 31% 4% 8% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 132 66% 106 56 49% 35% 5% 11% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 132 65% 105 57 42% 38% 7% 13% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 132 64% 104 58 35% 39% 9% 16% 1% <1% <1%
84 of 132 64% 103 59 30% 39% 11% 19% 1% <1% <1%
83 of 132 63% 102 60 22% 40% 14% 22% 2% <1% <1%
82 of 132 62% 101 61 17% 38% 17% 24% 4% <1% <1%
81 of 132 61% 100 62 12% 37% 19% 26% 5% <1% <1%
80 of 132 61% 99 63 9% 32% 22% 28% 8% 1% <1%
79 of 132 60% 98 64 6% 29% 23% 29% 11% 1% <1%
78 of 132 59% 97 65 4% 25% 26% 28% 14% 3% <1%
77 of 132 58% 96 66 3% 20% 26% 27% 19% 4% <1%
76 of 132 58% 95 67 1% 16% 26% 26% 23% 7% 1%
75 of 132 57% 94 68 1% 13% 25% 23% 26% 11% 2%
74 of 132 56% 93 69 <1% 9% 24% 20% 29% 14% 4%
73 of 132 55% 92 70 <1% 7% 23% 16% 29% 19% 7%
72 of 132 55% 91 71 <1% 4% 20% 12% 29% 24% 11%
71 of 132 54% 90 72 <1% 3% 19% 9% 26% 28% 16%
70 of 132 53% 89 73 <1% 2% 15% 6% 22% 30% 25%
69 of 132 52% 88 74 <1% 1% 13% 4% 18% 30% 34%
68 of 132 52% 87 75 <1% 1% 10% 2% 13% 29% 44%
67 of 132 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 9% 1% 9% 26% 55%
66 of 132 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% 1% 7% 21% 66%
65 of 132 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 4% 15% 76%
64 of 132 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 10% 83%
63 of 132 48% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 7% 89%
62 of 132 47% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 4% 94%
60 of 132 45% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
50 of 132 38% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 132 30% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 132 23% 49 113 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 132 15% 39 123 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 132 8% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 132 0% 19 143 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs