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Tue May 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Phillies (27‑27)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 32 22 7% 9% 9% 14% 10% 9% 42%
Current Standings 31 22 6% 9% 9% 13% 10% 9% 43%
Lose Next Game 31 23 6% 8% 9% 13% 10% 9% 46%


Current Series - Phillies (27‑27) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 33 22 7% 10% 9% 14% 10% 10% 40%
Current Standings 31 22 6% 9% 9% 13% 10% 9% 43%
Phillies Sweeps 31 24 5% 8% 9% 12% 10% 9% 47%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 140 22 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 109 83% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 109 74% 112 50 95% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 111 51 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 110 52 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 109 53 86% 11% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 108 54 82% 14% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 107 55 77% 18% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 106 56 70% 23% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 105 57 64% 26% 2% 8% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 104 58 57% 30% 3% 10% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 103 59 48% 34% 5% 14% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 102 60 41% 35% 6% 18% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 101 61 32% 37% 9% 21% 1% <1% <1%
69 of 109 63% 100 62 25% 38% 11% 25% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 109 62% 99 63 20% 37% 14% 28% 2% <1% <1%
67 of 109 61% 98 64 14% 34% 16% 32% 3% <1% <1%
66 of 109 61% 97 65 9% 30% 19% 35% 6% <1% <1%
65 of 109 60% 96 66 6% 25% 21% 38% 9% 1% <1%
64 of 109 59% 95 67 3% 20% 24% 37% 14% 2% <1%
63 of 109 58% 94 68 2% 14% 24% 36% 20% 4% <1%
62 of 109 57% 93 69 1% 10% 23% 33% 24% 7% 1%
61 of 109 56% 92 70 <1% 7% 22% 28% 30% 11% 2%
60 of 109 55% 91 71 <1% 4% 21% 21% 31% 18% 5%
59 of 109 54% 90 72 <1% 2% 18% 16% 31% 24% 9%
58 of 109 53% 89 73 <1% 1% 14% 10% 28% 29% 17%
57 of 109 52% 88 74 <1% <1% 12% 5% 23% 32% 27%
56 of 109 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 3% 17% 31% 40%
55 of 109 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 1% 10% 28% 54%
54 of 109 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% <1% 6% 21% 68%
53 of 109 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 14% 80%
52 of 109 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 89%
51 of 109 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 4% 94%
50 of 109 46% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
40 of 109 37% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 51 111 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 109 9% 41 121 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 31 131 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs