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Sat Jul 4 1:45 am

MLB - Week 15 of 27

Phillies Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Phillies Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(49‑39)
vs
Royals
(35‑53)
3 Games Remaining		 32 Phillies Sweeps 3 Games 2% 7% 18% 18% 16% 13% 26%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Royals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 3% 12% 12% 15% 15% 41%
Mets
(36‑52)
vs
Braves
(51‑35)
3 Games Remaining		 11 Mets Sweeps 3 Games 1% 6% 20% 13% 15% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Braves Sweeps 3 Games 1% 5% 13% 17% 16% 14% 33%
Athletics
(41‑47)
vs
Marlins
(47‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 4 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 16% 16% 16% 14% 31%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Marlins Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Reds
(40‑47)
vs
Orioles
(41‑48)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Reds Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 16% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Orioles Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 13% 34%
Pirates
(44‑45)
vs
Nationals
(46‑43)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Pirates Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 16% 16% 16% 14% 32%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Nationals Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Brewers
(54‑32)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Brewers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 5% 16% 15% 16% 14% 32%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games 1% 7% 15% 15% 15% 13% 33%
Dodgers
(58‑31)
vs
Padres
(43‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 16% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Padres Sweeps 2 Games 2% 6% 15% 14% 16% 14% 34%
Cardinals
(46‑39)
vs
Cubs
(49‑39)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 16% 15% 13% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Cubs Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Rockies
(36‑53)
vs
Giants
(36‑51)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Rockies Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Giants Sweeps 2 Games 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%


Phillies Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(49‑39)
vs
Royals
(35‑53)		 12 Phillies Wins 1% 6% 17% 16% 16% 14% 30%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Royals Wins 1% 5% 14% 14% 16% 15% 35%
Mets
(36‑52)
vs
Braves
(51‑35)		 5 Mets Wins 1% 6% 16% 14% 16% 13% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Braves Wins 1% 6% 14% 15% 16% 14% 34%
Padres
(43‑44)
vs
Dodgers
(58‑31)		 2 Padres Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 15% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Dodgers Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Athletics
(41‑47)
vs
Marlins
(47‑42)		 1 Athletics Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 32%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Marlins Wins 1% 5% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑44)
vs
Brewers
(54‑32)		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 1% 6% 15% 16% 16% 13% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Brewers Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Pirates
(44‑45)
vs
Nationals
(46‑43)		 1 Pirates Wins 1% 6% 16% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Nationals Wins 1% 6% 15% 16% 17% 13% 33%
Reds
(40‑47)
vs
Orioles
(41‑48)		 0 Reds Wins 1% 6% 16% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Orioles Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Giants
(36‑51)
vs
Rockies
(36‑53)		 0 Giants Wins 1% 5% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Rockies Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Cubs
(49‑39)
vs
Cardinals
(46‑39)		 0 Cubs Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 34%
Current Probabilities 1% 6% 15% 15% 16% 14% 33%
Cardinals Wins 1% 6% 15% 15% 15% 14% 34%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs