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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Phillies Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Phillies Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(52‑37)
vs
Reds
(45‑43)
1 Game Remaining		 11 Phillies Sweeps 1 Game 15% 19% 23% 13% 10% 8% 13%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Reds Sweeps 1 Game 11% 16% 24% 12% 10% 9% 17%
Yankees
(48‑41)
vs
Mets
(52‑38)
1 Game Remaining		 4 Yankees Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 25% 11% 9% 8% 15%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Mets Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 22% 14% 10% 8% 15%
White Sox
(30‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑69)
1 Game Remaining		 2 White Sox Sweeps 1 Game 13% 19% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Rockies Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Rangers
(44‑45)
vs
Padres
(47‑41)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Rangers Sweeps 1 Game 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Padres Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Cubs
(53‑36)
vs
Cardinals
(48‑42)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Cubs Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Brewers
(49‑40)
vs
Marlins
(40‑47)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Brewers Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 25% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Marlins Sweeps 1 Game 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Braves
(39‑49)
vs
Orioles
(39‑49)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Braves Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Orioles Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Dodgers
(56‑34)
vs
Astros
(54‑35)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 13% 9% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Astros Sweeps 1 Game 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Pirates
(38‑52)
vs
Mariners
(47‑42)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Pirates Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Mariners Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Nationals
(37‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(45‑45)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 1 Game 14% 18% 24% 12% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Athletics
(37‑54)
vs
Giants
(48‑42)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Athletics Sweeps 1 Game 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Giants Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 12% 10% 8% 15%
Royals
(42‑48)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(44‑44)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Royals Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game 13% 18% 24% 12% 9% 8% 15%


Phillies Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(52‑37)
vs
Reds
(45‑43)		 11 Phillies Wins 15% 19% 23% 13% 10% 8% 13%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Reds Wins 11% 16% 24% 12% 10% 9% 17%
Yankees
(48‑41)
vs
Mets
(52‑38)		 4 Yankees Wins 13% 18% 25% 11% 9% 8% 15%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Mets Wins 13% 18% 22% 14% 10% 8% 15%
White Sox
(30‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑69)		 2 White Sox Wins 13% 19% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Rockies Wins 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Rangers
(44‑45)
vs
Padres
(47‑41)		 2 Rangers Wins 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Padres Wins 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Cubs
(53‑36)
vs
Cardinals
(48‑42)		 2 Cubs Wins 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Cardinals Wins 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Brewers
(49‑40)
vs
Marlins
(40‑47)		 2 Brewers Wins 13% 18% 25% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Marlins Wins 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Braves
(39‑49)
vs
Orioles
(39‑49)		 1 Braves Wins 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Orioles Wins 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Dodgers
(56‑34)
vs
Astros
(54‑35)		 1 Dodgers Wins 13% 18% 24% 13% 9% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Astros Wins 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Pirates
(38‑52)
vs
Mariners
(47‑42)		 1 Pirates Wins 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Mariners Wins 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Nationals
(37‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(45‑45)		 0 Nationals Wins 14% 18% 24% 12% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Red Sox Wins 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Athletics
(37‑54)
vs
Giants
(48‑42)		 0 Athletics Wins 14% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 15%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Giants Wins 13% 18% 24% 12% 10% 8% 15%
Royals
(42‑48)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(44‑44)		 0 Royals Wins 13% 18% 24% 13% 10% 8% 14%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 23% 13% 10% 8% 14%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 13% 18% 24% 12% 9% 8% 15%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs