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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Phillies Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Phillies Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(42‑29)
vs
Marlins
(28‑41)
4 Games Remaining		 37 Phillies Sweeps 4 Games 14% 13% 11% 19% 13% 10% 20%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Marlins Sweeps 4 Games 6% 8% 11% 14% 12% 12% 37%
Braves
(31‑39)
vs
Mets
(45‑27)
3 Games Remaining		 14 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 12% 12% 14% 14% 11% 10% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Mets Sweeps 3 Games 10% 10% 9% 20% 14% 11% 27%
Guardians
(35‑35)
vs
Giants
(41‑31)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 11% 11% 11% 18% 13% 10% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Giants Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 28%
Blue Jays
(38‑33)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(36‑34)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 12% 16% 12% 11% 28%
White Sox
(23‑49)
vs
Cardinals
(37‑35)
3 Games Remaining		 2 White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 11% 18% 13% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games 10% 10% 12% 17% 12% 11% 28%
Cubs
(44‑28)
vs
Brewers
(39‑34)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Brewers Sweeps 3 Games 11% 11% 10% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Twins
(36‑35)
vs
Reds
(36‑35)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Twins Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 11% 18% 12% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Reds Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 10% 28%
Dodgers
(43‑29)
vs
Padres
(39‑31)
4 Games Remaining		 1 Dodgers Sweeps 4 Games 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Padres Sweeps 4 Games 11% 11% 11% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Pirates
(29‑44)
vs
Tigers
(46‑27)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 11% 17% 13% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 10% 11% 11% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Nationals
(30‑41)
vs
Rockies
(14‑57)
4 Games Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 4 Games 11% 11% 11% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Rockies Sweeps 4 Games 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%


Phillies Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(42‑29)
vs
Marlins
(28‑41)		 9 Phillies Wins 11% 11% 11% 17% 13% 11% 25%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Marlins Wins 9% 11% 11% 16% 13% 11% 29%
Braves
(31‑39)
vs
Mets
(45‑27)		 4 Braves Wins 11% 12% 12% 16% 12% 10% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Mets Wins 10% 11% 11% 18% 13% 11% 27%
White Sox
(23‑49)
vs
Cardinals
(37‑35)		 2 White Sox Wins 11% 11% 12% 18% 12% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Cardinals Wins 10% 11% 11% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Twins
(36‑35)
vs
Reds
(36‑35)		 2 Twins Wins 10% 11% 12% 18% 12% 11% 26%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Reds Wins 10% 11% 11% 17% 13% 10% 27%
Padres
(39‑31)
vs
Dodgers
(43‑29)		 1 Padres Wins 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Dodgers Wins 10% 11% 11% 17% 13% 11% 27%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(36‑34)
vs
Blue Jays
(38‑33)		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 11% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Blue Jays Wins 10% 11% 11% 17% 13% 11% 27%
Rockies
(14‑57)
vs
Nationals
(30‑41)		 1 Rockies Wins 10% 11% 12% 17% 13% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Nationals Wins 10% 11% 11% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Pirates
(29‑44)
vs
Tigers
(46‑27)		 0 Pirates Wins 11% 11% 11% 16% 13% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Tigers Wins 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Guardians
(35‑35)
vs
Giants
(41‑31)		 0 Guardians Wins 11% 11% 12% 18% 12% 10% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Giants Wins 11% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Brewers
(39‑34)
vs
Cubs
(44‑28)		 0 Brewers Wins 10% 11% 11% 17% 13% 11% 27%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Cubs Wins 10% 11% 11% 18% 13% 11% 27%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs