The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (79‑62) vs Braves (84‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
34 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 17% | 39% | 38% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 56% | 19% | 6% | ||
| Marlins (71‑71) vs Cubs (80‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 42% | 40% | 9% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 58% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Astros (73‑69) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (74‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 52% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 47% | 12% | 3% | ||
| Yankees (80‑61) vs Padres (74‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 33% | 52% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 47% | 12% | 3% | ||
| Reds (67‑74) vs Brewers (88‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Nationals (67‑76) vs Dodgers (84‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Giants (58‑84) vs Mets (64‑77) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 49% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Rockies (54‑87) vs Cardinals (71‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (70‑72) vs Angels (53‑88) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (79‑62) vs Braves (84‑57) |
11 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 35% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 29% | 52% | 13% | 3% | ||
| Marlins (71‑71) vs Cubs (80‑62) |
2 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 37% | 45% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 27% | 54% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Yankees (80‑61) vs Padres (74‑67) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 51% | 9% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Astros (73‑69) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (74‑68) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 51% | 9% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 32% | 48% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals (71‑71) vs Rockies (54‑87) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Reds (67‑74) vs Brewers (88‑54) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Mets (64‑77) vs Giants (58‑84) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (70‑72) vs Angels (53‑88) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers (84‑57) vs Nationals (67‑76) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 32% | 50% | 10% | 2% | ||