The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Phillies (52‑37) vs Reds (45‑43) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 15% | 19% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 16% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
Yankees (48‑41) vs Mets (52‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 25% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 15% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Rangers (44‑45) vs Padres (47‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Cubs (53‑36) vs Cardinals (48‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Brewers (49‑40) vs Marlins (40‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Braves (39‑49) vs Orioles (39‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Dodgers (56‑34) vs Astros (54‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Pirates (38‑52) vs Mariners (47‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Athletics (37‑54) vs Giants (48‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Royals (42‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 13% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 15% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
Phillies (52‑37) vs Reds (45‑43) |
11 | Phillies Wins | 15% | 19% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Reds Wins | 11% | 16% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
Yankees (48‑41) vs Mets (52‑38) |
4 | Yankees Wins | 13% | 18% | 25% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 15% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Mets Wins | 13% | 18% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 13% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Rockies Wins | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Rangers (44‑45) vs Padres (47‑41) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Padres Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Cubs (53‑36) vs Cardinals (48‑42) |
2 | Cubs Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Cardinals Wins | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Brewers (49‑40) vs Marlins (40‑47) |
2 | Brewers Wins | 13% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Marlins Wins | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Braves (39‑49) vs Orioles (39‑49) |
1 | Braves Wins | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Orioles Wins | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Dodgers (56‑34) vs Astros (54‑35) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Astros Wins | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Pirates (38‑52) vs Mariners (47‑42) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Mariners Wins | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 14% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Red Sox Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Athletics (37‑54) vs Giants (48‑42) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 15% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
Giants Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 15% | ||
Royals (42‑48) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) |
0 | Royals Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 13% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 15% | ||