The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (77‑57) vs Braves (61‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
22 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 34% | 54% | <1% | 1% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 14% | 68% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Marlins (63‑71) vs Mets (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 64% | <1% | 1% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 26% | 56% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 33% | 54% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 21% | 66% | <1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) vs Dodgers (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 34% | 52% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 22% | 65% | <1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 25% | 59% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 29% | 61% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 28% | 60% | <1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 59% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Giants (66‑68) vs Orioles (60‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 28% | 59% | <1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (77‑57) vs Braves (61‑73) |
7 | Phillies Wins | 5% | 29% | 59% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Braves Wins | 3% | 23% | 63% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Marlins (63‑71) vs Mets (72‑62) |
4 | Marlins Wins | 5% | 28% | 61% | <1% | 1% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Mets Wins | 5% | 27% | 59% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) vs Dodgers (77‑57) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 5% | 30% | 57% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 5% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 6% | 27% | 60% | <1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 4% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) |
1 | Twins Wins | 5% | 29% | 58% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Padres Wins | 5% | 25% | 62% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Reds Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | <1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Rays Wins | 5% | 27% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 6% | <1% | ||