The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (89‑70) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (85‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
46 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | 21% | 79% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 21% | 29% | X | 50% | ||
| Phillies (87‑72) vs Rays (96‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
45 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 31% | 56% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | X | 61% | 39% | ||
| Red Sox (86‑74) vs Cubs (88‑72) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 8% | 41% | 43% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | 8% | 84% | 8% | ||
| Tigers (74‑85) vs Pirates (81‑78) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Nationals (75‑84) vs Mets (73‑86) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jays (77‑82) vs Reds (74‑85) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Braves (93‑66) vs Marlins (78‑81) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Brewers (100‑59) vs Cardinals (77‑82) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| White Sox (82‑77) vs Rockies (57‑102) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers (97‑62) vs Giants (65‑94) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (87‑72) vs Rays (96‑63) |
13 | Phillies Wins | X | X | X | 9% | 30% | 59% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Rays Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 78% | 13% | ||
| Padres (89‑70) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (85‑74) |
11 | Padres Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 19% | 77% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | 9% | 20% | 57% | 15% | ||
| Red Sox (86‑74) vs Cubs (88‑72) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | X | X | X | 6% | 28% | 58% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Cubs Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 80% | 8% | ||
| Tigers (74‑85) vs Pirates (81‑78) |
0 | Tigers Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Pirates Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Nationals (75‑84) vs Mets (73‑86) |
0 | Nationals Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Mets Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jays (77‑82) vs Reds (74‑85) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Reds Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Braves (93‑66) vs Marlins (78‑81) |
0 | Braves Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Marlins Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Brewers (100‑59) vs Cardinals (77‑82) |
0 | Brewers Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| White Sox (82‑77) vs Rockies (57‑102) |
0 | White Sox Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Rockies Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers (97‑62) vs Giants (65‑94) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 19% | 68% | 8% | ||