The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (54‑40) vs Padres (51‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
24 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 19% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 16% | 26% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 21% | ||
| Royals (46‑49) vs Mets (54‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
14 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 19% | 27% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 16% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 18% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑39) vs Giants (52‑43) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Nationals (38‑56) vs Brewers (54‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Yankees (53‑41) vs Cubs (55‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 13% | 18% | 26% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Rockies (22‑72) vs Reds (47‑47) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 18% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) vs Angels (46‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 18% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Braves (41‑52) vs Cardinals (50‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Orioles (43‑50) vs Marlins (42‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Pirates (38‑57) vs Twins (46‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (54‑40) vs Padres (51‑43) |
13 | Phillies Wins | 16% | 19% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Padres Wins | 13% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 19% | ||
| Royals (46‑49) vs Mets (54‑41) |
8 | Royals Wins | 15% | 18% | 26% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Mets Wins | 14% | 16% | 23% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Pirates (38‑57) vs Twins (46‑48) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Twins Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Orioles (43‑50) vs Marlins (42‑51) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 15% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Braves (41‑52) vs Cardinals (50‑45) |
1 | Braves Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 14% | 18% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Giants (52‑43) vs Dodgers (56‑39) |
1 | Giants Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Nationals (38‑56) vs Brewers (54‑40) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Rockies (22‑72) vs Reds (47‑47) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Reds Wins | 14% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) vs Angels (46‑48) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 15% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Angels Wins | 14% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Cubs (55‑39) vs Yankees (53‑41) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 14% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 15% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||