The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (56‑48) vs Yankees (58‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
22 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 47% | ||
| Orioles (50‑54) vs Braves (61‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Padres (51‑53) vs Marlins (52‑52) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Reds (48‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Rockies (42‑63) vs Brewers (64‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 40% | ||
| Pirates (53‑51) vs Cubs (58‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 20% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Giants (43‑60) vs Angels (41‑63) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Dodgers (66‑38) vs Mets (43‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 39% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑49) vs Nationals (52‑52) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (56‑48) vs Yankees (58‑45) |
11 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 2% | 12% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 43% | ||
| Orioles (50‑54) vs Braves (61‑42) |
4 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 40% | ||
| Mets (43‑61) vs Dodgers (66‑38) |
2 | Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 40% | ||
| Cubs (58‑45) vs Pirates (53‑51) |
1 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Nationals (52‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑49) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 40% | ||
| Rockies (42‑63) vs Brewers (64‑39) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Angels (41‑63) vs Giants (43‑60) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Padres (51‑53) vs Marlins (52‑52) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Reds (48‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑51) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 39% | ||