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Sun Jul 12 12:45 am

MLB - Week 16 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Tigers (44‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 54 43 1% 6% 20% 12% 15% 14% 32%
Current Standings 53 43 1% 6% 19% 12% 15% 14% 34%
Lose Next Game 53 44 1% 5% 18% 11% 15% 14% 37%


Current Series - Tigers (44‑51) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 54 43 1% 6% 20% 12% 15% 14% 32%
Current Standings 53 43 1% 6% 19% 12% 15% 14% 34%
Tigers Sweeps 53 44 1% 5% 18% 11% 15% 14% 37%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 66 91% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
55 of 66 83% 108 54 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 66 82% 107 55 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 66 80% 106 56 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 66 79% 105 57 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 66 77% 104 58 71% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 66 76% 103 59 61% 35% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 66 74% 102 60 50% 43% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 66 73% 101 61 41% 47% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 66 71% 100 62 31% 50% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 66 70% 99 63 22% 51% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 66 68% 98 64 14% 48% 32% 7% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 66 67% 97 65 8% 41% 40% 10% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 66 65% 96 66 5% 33% 47% 14% 1% <1% <1%
42 of 66 64% 95 67 2% 23% 52% 20% 2% <1% <1%
41 of 66 62% 94 68 1% 16% 53% 25% 6% <1% <1%
40 of 66 61% 93 69 <1% 9% 52% 29% 10% 1% <1%
39 of 66 59% 92 70 <1% 5% 46% 30% 17% 2% <1%
38 of 66 58% 91 71 <1% 2% 37% 29% 25% 6% <1%
37 of 66 56% 90 72 <1% 1% 28% 24% 34% 12% 1%
36 of 66 55% 89 73 <1% <1% 21% 17% 37% 20% 4%
35 of 66 53% 88 74 <1% <1% 14% 11% 35% 30% 11%
34 of 66 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 6% 26% 36% 25%
33 of 66 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 2% 17% 35% 41%
32 of 66 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 9% 29% 60%
31 of 66 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 18% 77%
30 of 66 45% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
20 of 66 30% 73 89 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 66 15% 63 99 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 66 0% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs