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Fri May 29 12:30 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (36‑20)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 27 1% 2% 3% 9% 9% 9% 67%
Current Standings 29 27 1% 2% 3% 8% 9% 9% 68%
Lose Next Game 29 28 1% 2% 3% 7% 8% 9% 70%


Current Series - Dodgers (36‑20) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 32 27 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 9% 62%
Current Standings 29 27 1% 2% 3% 8% 9% 9% 68%
Dodgers Sweeps 29 30 <1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 9% 73%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
106 of 106 100% 135 27 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 106 94% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 106 85% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 106 78% 112 50 95% 2% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 106 77% 111 51 92% 3% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 106 76% 110 52 89% 4% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 106 75% 109 53 84% 6% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 106 75% 108 54 79% 8% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 106 74% 107 55 72% 12% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 106 73% 106 56 67% 14% 1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 106 72% 105 57 59% 17% 1% 23% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 106 71% 104 58 51% 21% 1% 27% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 106 70% 103 59 43% 23% 2% 31% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 106 69% 102 60 36% 25% 3% 35% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 106 68% 101 61 28% 25% 6% 40% 1% <1% <1%
71 of 106 67% 100 62 21% 26% 7% 43% 2% <1% <1%
70 of 106 66% 99 63 15% 26% 9% 46% 3% <1% <1%
69 of 106 65% 98 64 11% 23% 12% 49% 6% <1% <1%
68 of 106 64% 97 65 7% 20% 13% 50% 10% 1% <1%
67 of 106 63% 96 66 4% 17% 15% 48% 15% 1% <1%
66 of 106 62% 95 67 2% 12% 15% 49% 19% 3% <1%
65 of 106 61% 94 68 1% 9% 15% 43% 26% 6% 1%
64 of 106 60% 93 69 1% 6% 15% 36% 32% 9% 1%
63 of 106 59% 92 70 <1% 3% 12% 31% 36% 15% 2%
62 of 106 58% 91 71 <1% 2% 11% 22% 37% 21% 6%
61 of 106 58% 90 72 <1% 1% 8% 15% 35% 28% 13%
60 of 106 57% 89 73 <1% <1% 7% 9% 31% 31% 21%
59 of 106 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 5% 6% 23% 35% 30%
58 of 106 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 3% 16% 34% 44%
57 of 106 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 10% 27% 60%
56 of 106 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 21% 71%
55 of 106 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 14% 83%
54 of 106 51% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
53 of 106 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 106 47% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 106 38% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 106 28% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 106 19% 49 113 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 106 9% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 106 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs