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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Marlins (28‑41)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 43 29 11% 11% 11% 17% 13% 11% 25%
Current Standings 42 29 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Lose Next Game 42 30 9% 11% 11% 16% 13% 11% 29%


Current Series - Marlins (28‑41) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 46 29 14% 13% 11% 19% 13% 10% 20%
Current Standings 42 29 10% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 27%
Marlins Sweeps 42 33 6% 8% 11% 14% 12% 12% 37%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
91 of 91 100% 133 29 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 91 99% 132 30 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 91 88% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
70 of 91 77% 112 50 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 91 73% 108 54 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 91 71% 107 55 90% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 91 70% 106 56 85% 11% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 91 69% 105 57 80% 14% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 91 68% 104 58 73% 18% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 91 67% 103 59 64% 23% 2% 11% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 91 66% 102 60 55% 26% 3% 15% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 91 65% 101 61 45% 31% 6% 19% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 91 64% 100 62 35% 33% 8% 24% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 91 63% 99 63 27% 34% 10% 28% 1% <1% <1%
56 of 91 62% 98 64 19% 33% 13% 32% 2% <1% <1%
55 of 91 60% 97 65 12% 30% 18% 36% 4% <1% <1%
54 of 91 59% 96 66 8% 25% 19% 40% 8% <1% <1%
53 of 91 58% 95 67 4% 20% 23% 40% 12% 1% <1%
52 of 91 57% 94 68 2% 15% 23% 39% 18% 3% <1%
51 of 91 56% 93 69 1% 10% 24% 34% 24% 6% <1%
50 of 91 55% 92 70 <1% 6% 22% 28% 31% 11% 2%
49 of 91 54% 91 71 <1% 4% 19% 22% 33% 17% 4%
48 of 91 53% 90 72 <1% 1% 17% 15% 33% 25% 9%
47 of 91 52% 89 73 <1% 1% 13% 9% 30% 31% 17%
46 of 91 51% 88 74 <1% <1% 10% 5% 22% 35% 28%
45 of 91 49% 87 75 <1% <1% 7% 2% 15% 33% 43%
44 of 91 48% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 1% 8% 27% 58%
43 of 91 47% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 20% 71%
42 of 91 46% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 13% 83%
41 of 91 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
40 of 91 44% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 3% 96%
30 of 91 33% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 91 22% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 91 11% 52 110 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 91 0% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs