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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Padres (31‑21)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 27 27 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 76%
Current Standings 26 27 <1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 78%
Lose Next Game 26 28 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 79%


Current Series - Padres (31‑21) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 29 27 1% 2% 3% 6% 7% 8% 73%
Current Standings 26 27 <1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 78%
Padres Sweeps 26 30 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 82%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 135 27 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 109 83% 116 46 99% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 109 78% 111 51 93% 2% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 109 77% 110 52 91% 2% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 109 76% 109 53 88% 4% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 109 75% 108 54 83% 5% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 109 74% 107 55 78% 8% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 106 56 72% 11% <1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 105 57 64% 14% 1% 21% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 104 58 57% 17% 1% 25% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 103 59 49% 21% 2% 28% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 102 60 40% 23% 3% 33% 1% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 101 61 32% 26% 5% 37% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 100 62 26% 26% 6% 41% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 99 63 19% 26% 8% 44% 3% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 98 64 13% 25% 10% 46% 5% <1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 97 65 9% 23% 13% 48% 8% <1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 96 66 5% 19% 15% 48% 12% 1% <1%
69 of 109 63% 95 67 3% 15% 16% 46% 17% 2% <1%
68 of 109 62% 94 68 2% 12% 16% 42% 23% 5% <1%
67 of 109 61% 93 69 1% 8% 16% 37% 29% 8% 1%
66 of 109 61% 92 70 <1% 5% 15% 30% 33% 13% 3%
65 of 109 60% 91 71 <1% 3% 14% 23% 35% 19% 5%
64 of 109 59% 90 72 <1% 2% 11% 17% 34% 26% 10%
63 of 109 58% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 10% 30% 31% 19%
62 of 109 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% 7% 25% 33% 28%
61 of 109 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 5% 3% 17% 33% 41%
60 of 109 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 1% 12% 28% 56%
59 of 109 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 6% 21% 70%
58 of 109 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
57 of 109 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 9% 89%
56 of 109 51% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
50 of 109 46% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 109 37% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 56 106 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 46 116 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 109 9% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs