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Mon Jun 30 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Padres (45‑38)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 50 35 15% 20% 29% 7% 7% 6% 16%
Current Standings 49 35 13% 19% 29% 7% 7% 7% 17%
Lose Next Game 49 36 12% 18% 30% 7% 7% 7% 19%


Current Series - Padres (45‑38) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 52 35 17% 22% 28% 9% 7% 6% 11%
Current Standings 49 35 13% 19% 29% 7% 7% 7% 17%
Padres Sweeps 49 38 8% 16% 30% 6% 7% 8% 24%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
78 of 78 100% 127 35 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 78 90% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
60 of 78 77% 109 53 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 78 74% 107 55 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 78 73% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 78 72% 105 57 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 78 71% 104 58 83% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 78 69% 103 59 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 78 68% 102 60 69% 28% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 78 67% 101 61 61% 34% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 78 65% 100 62 51% 40% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 78 64% 99 63 42% 45% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 78 63% 98 64 32% 48% 15% 5% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 78 62% 97 65 23% 49% 21% 7% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 78 60% 96 66 15% 45% 29% 11% 1% <1% <1%
46 of 78 59% 95 67 9% 40% 37% 13% 2% <1% <1%
45 of 78 58% 94 68 4% 32% 44% 15% 5% <1% <1%
44 of 78 56% 93 69 2% 23% 49% 16% 8% 1% <1%
43 of 78 55% 92 70 1% 15% 52% 16% 13% 4% <1%
42 of 78 54% 91 71 <1% 8% 52% 14% 17% 7% 1%
41 of 78 53% 90 72 <1% 4% 49% 10% 20% 13% 4%
40 of 78 51% 89 73 <1% 2% 45% 7% 19% 19% 8%
39 of 78 50% 88 74 <1% 1% 38% 3% 17% 24% 17%
38 of 78 49% 87 75 <1% <1% 30% 2% 12% 25% 30%
37 of 78 47% 86 76 <1% <1% 24% 1% 7% 21% 47%
36 of 78 46% 85 77 <1% <1% 18% <1% 3% 15% 64%
35 of 78 45% 84 78 <1% <1% 12% <1% 1% 9% 78%
34 of 78 44% 83 79 <1% <1% 8% <1% <1% 4% 87%
33 of 78 42% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 2% 93%
30 of 78 38% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
20 of 78 26% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 78 13% 59 103 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 78 0% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs