The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (53‑51) vs Cubs (58‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
17 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 79% | ||
| Yankees (58‑45) vs Phillies (56‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Reds (48‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Rockies (42‑63) vs Brewers (64‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Nationals (52‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Angels (41‑63) vs Giants (43‑60) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% | ||
| Orioles (50‑54) vs Braves (61‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Dodgers (66‑38) vs Mets (43‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Marlins (52‑52) vs Padres (51‑53) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (53‑51) vs Cubs (58‑45) |
9 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Yankees (58‑45) vs Phillies (56‑48) |
3 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Reds (48‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑51) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑49) vs Nationals (52‑52) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Giants (43‑60) vs Angels (41‑63) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Braves (61‑42) vs Orioles (50‑54) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% | ||
| Padres (51‑53) vs Marlins (52‑52) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Mets (43‑61) vs Dodgers (66‑38) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Rockies (42‑63) vs Brewers (64‑39) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 71% | ||