The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (31‑28) vs Twins (27‑32) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Braves (40‑19) vs Reds (29‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Mariners (30‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Nationals (30‑29) vs Padres (32‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Marlins (26‑33) vs Mets (25‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Phillies (30‑28) vs Dodgers (37‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Astros (27‑33) vs Brewers (34‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Giants (22‑36) vs Rockies (22‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Cubs (32‑27) vs Cardinals (30‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (31‑28) vs Twins (27‑32) |
4 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Braves (40‑19) vs Reds (29‑28) |
2 | Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Mariners (30‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑26) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Nationals (30‑29) vs Padres (32‑25) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Marlins (26‑33) vs Mets (25‑33) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Phillies (30‑28) vs Dodgers (37‑21) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Astros (27‑33) vs Brewers (34‑21) |
0 | Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Giants (22‑36) vs Rockies (22‑37) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Cubs (32‑27) vs Cardinals (30‑26) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 64% | ||