The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (60‑65) vs Red Sox (66‑57) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves (73‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Twins (60‑64) vs Phillies (66‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Guardians (60‑64) vs Padres (66‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers (74‑50) vs Brewers (76‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rockies (49‑74) vs Giants (51‑72) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Reds (59‑63) vs Marlins (63‑61) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals (62‑61) vs Cubs (72‑52) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nationals (60‑65) vs Mets (55‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (60‑65) vs Red Sox (66‑57) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves (73‑50) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑58) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Twins (60‑64) vs Phillies (66‑58) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Guardians (60‑64) vs Padres (66‑58) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers (74‑50) vs Brewers (76‑48) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Rockies (49‑74) vs Giants (51‑72) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Reds (59‑63) vs Marlins (63‑61) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals (62‑61) vs Cubs (72‑52) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nationals (60‑65) vs Mets (55‑69) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||