The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (9‑6) vs Nationals (7‑8) 4 Games Remaining |
16 | Pirates Sweeps 4 Games | 13% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Blue Jays (6‑9) vs Brewers (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Giants (6‑10) vs Reds (9‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Guardians (9‑7) vs Cardinals (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Orioles (8‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Phillies (7‑8) vs Cubs (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Braves (10‑6) vs Marlins (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Mets (7‑9) vs Dodgers (11‑4) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (9‑6) vs Nationals (7‑8) |
4 | Pirates Wins | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Guardians (9‑7) vs Cardinals (8‑7) |
2 | Guardians Wins | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Phillies (7‑8) vs Cubs (7‑8) |
2 | Phillies Wins | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) vs Orioles (8‑7) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Mets (7‑9) vs Dodgers (11‑4) |
1 | Mets Wins | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Blue Jays (6‑9) vs Brewers (8‑7) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Giants (6‑10) vs Reds (9‑7) |
0 | Giants Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Reds Wins | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Braves (10‑6) vs Marlins (8‑8) |
0 | Braves Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||