The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (19‑16) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
15 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 59% | ||
| Reds (20‑14) vs Cubs (22‑12) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Brewers (18‑15) vs Cardinals (20‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mets (12‑22) vs Rockies (14‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Giants (13‑21) vs Padres (20‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Braves (25‑10) vs Mariners (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Astros (14‑21) vs Dodgers (21‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Phillies (14‑20) vs Marlins (16‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (19‑16) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (16‑17) |
5 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Padres (20‑13) vs Giants (13‑21) |
1 | Padres Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Giants Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals (20‑14) vs Brewers (18‑15) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mariners (16‑19) vs Braves (25‑10) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Braves Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Reds (20‑14) vs Cubs (22‑12) |
1 | Reds Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 56% | ||
| Mets (12‑22) vs Rockies (14‑21) |
0 | Mets Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 56% | ||
| Dodgers (21‑13) vs Astros (14‑21) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Phillies (14‑20) vs Marlins (16‑18) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) |
0 | Twins Wins | 5% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 5% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||