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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Tigers (46‑27)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Current Standings 29 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 29 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Tigers (46‑27) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 32 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
Current Standings 29 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Tigers Sweeps 29 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
89 of 89 100% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 89 90% 109 53 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 89 89% 108 54 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 89 88% 107 55 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 89 87% 106 56 87% 11% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 89 85% 105 57 82% 15% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 89 84% 104 58 75% 19% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 89 83% 103 59 66% 24% 2% 8% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 89 82% 102 60 56% 30% 4% 10% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 89 81% 101 61 46% 34% 6% 13% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 89 80% 100 62 36% 38% 8% 18% 1% <1% <1%
70 of 89 79% 99 63 27% 38% 12% 21% 2% <1% <1%
69 of 89 78% 98 64 19% 36% 16% 26% 3% <1% <1%
68 of 89 76% 97 65 12% 34% 19% 29% 5% <1% <1%
67 of 89 75% 96 66 7% 29% 23% 31% 9% 1% <1%
66 of 89 74% 95 67 4% 23% 26% 32% 14% 2% <1%
65 of 89 73% 94 68 2% 17% 27% 31% 20% 4% <1%
64 of 89 72% 93 69 1% 10% 27% 27% 26% 7% 1%
63 of 89 71% 92 70 <1% 7% 23% 22% 31% 13% 2%
62 of 89 70% 91 71 <1% 3% 20% 17% 32% 21% 6%
61 of 89 69% 90 72 <1% 2% 15% 11% 32% 28% 11%
60 of 89 67% 89 73 <1% 1% 11% 7% 28% 33% 21%
59 of 89 66% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% 3% 20% 34% 36%
58 of 89 65% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 1% 12% 31% 51%
57 of 89 64% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 7% 24% 67%
56 of 89 63% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 80%
55 of 89 62% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
54 of 89 61% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 89 56% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 89 45% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 89 34% 59 103 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 89 22% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 89 11% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 89 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs