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Sat Jul 25 1:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Cubs (58‑45)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 54 51 <1% <1% 1% 7% 11% 13% 68%
Current Standings 53 51 <1% <1% 1% 6% 9% 12% 72%
Lose Next Game 53 52 <1% <1% <1% 4% 8% 11% 76%


Current Series - Cubs (58‑45) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 55 51 <1% <1% 1% 9% 12% 14% 64%
Current Standings 53 51 <1% <1% 1% 6% 9% 12% 72%
Cubs Sweeps 53 53 <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 11% 79%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
58 of 58 100% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
53 of 58 91% 106 56 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 58 90% 105 57 89% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 58 88% 104 58 82% 16% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 58 86% 103 59 72% 24% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 58 84% 102 60 62% 30% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 58 83% 101 61 49% 38% 3% 10% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 58 81% 100 62 37% 42% 4% 17% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 58 79% 99 63 26% 42% 8% 24% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 58 78% 98 64 17% 41% 11% 32% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 58 76% 97 65 9% 34% 14% 42% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 58 74% 96 66 5% 27% 16% 50% 1% <1% <1%
42 of 58 72% 95 67 2% 19% 16% 60% 3% <1% <1%
41 of 58 71% 94 68 1% 12% 16% 65% 7% <1% <1%
40 of 58 69% 93 69 <1% 6% 12% 67% 14% 1% <1%
39 of 58 67% 92 70 <1% 3% 9% 63% 23% 2% <1%
38 of 58 66% 91 71 <1% 1% 6% 55% 32% 6% <1%
37 of 58 64% 90 72 <1% <1% 3% 42% 41% 12% 1%
36 of 58 62% 89 73 <1% <1% 2% 29% 45% 20% 3%
35 of 58 60% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 17% 42% 31% 10%
34 of 58 59% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 9% 33% 40% 19%
33 of 58 57% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 3% 22% 39% 35%
32 of 58 55% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 32% 56%
31 of 58 53% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 74%
30 of 58 52% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
20 of 58 34% 73 89 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 58 17% 63 99 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 58 0% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs