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Wed Jul 9 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Royals (45‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 38 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Royals (45‑48) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 39 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Royals Sweeps 38 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
69 of 69 100% 107 55 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 69 94% 103 59 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 69 93% 102 60 88% 10% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 69 91% 101 61 81% 14% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 69 90% 100 62 72% 20% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 69 88% 99 63 62% 25% 3% 10% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 69 87% 98 64 48% 32% 5% 15% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 69 86% 97 65 37% 34% 7% 21% 1% <1% <1%
58 of 69 84% 96 66 25% 36% 11% 27% 2% <1% <1%
57 of 69 83% 95 67 15% 33% 14% 33% 5% <1% <1%
56 of 69 81% 94 68 9% 26% 17% 37% 10% 1% <1%
55 of 69 80% 93 69 4% 20% 18% 39% 17% 2% <1%
54 of 69 78% 92 70 2% 12% 17% 37% 26% 5% <1%
53 of 69 77% 91 71 <1% 6% 15% 30% 34% 12% 2%
52 of 69 75% 90 72 <1% 3% 11% 21% 37% 22% 5%
51 of 69 74% 89 73 <1% 1% 7% 12% 35% 31% 13%
50 of 69 72% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 6% 26% 37% 26%
49 of 69 71% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 2% 16% 35% 45%
48 of 69 70% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 8% 26% 65%
47 of 69 68% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 80%
46 of 69 67% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
40 of 69 58% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 69 43% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 69 29% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 69 14% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 69 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs