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Tue Jun 9 7:15 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Pirates What If?

The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pirates What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (42‑24)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 35 32 1% 2% 3% 8% 10% 11% 65%
Current Standings 34 32 <1% 2% 3% 7% 10% 10% 67%
Lose Next Game 34 33 <1% 2% 3% 7% 9% 11% 68%


Current Series - Dodgers (42‑24) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Pirates Sweeps 37 32 1% 3% 4% 9% 12% 12% 60%
Current Standings 34 32 <1% 2% 3% 7% 10% 10% 67%
Dodgers Sweeps 34 35 <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 73%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
96 of 96 100% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 96 94% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 96 83% 114 48 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 96 82% 113 49 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 96 81% 112 50 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 96 80% 111 51 86% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 96 79% 110 52 81% 18% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 96 78% 109 53 77% 22% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 96 77% 108 54 71% 26% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 96 76% 107 55 65% 31% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 96 75% 106 56 58% 35% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 96 74% 105 57 50% 39% 4% 7% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 96 73% 104 58 43% 42% 5% 10% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 96 72% 103 59 36% 43% 7% 13% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 96 71% 102 60 28% 44% 10% 17% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 96 70% 101 61 22% 43% 12% 22% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 96 69% 100 62 16% 42% 15% 26% 1% <1% <1%
65 of 96 68% 99 63 12% 37% 17% 32% 2% <1% <1%
64 of 96 67% 98 64 7% 33% 20% 36% 3% <1% <1%
63 of 96 66% 97 65 5% 27% 22% 41% 6% <1% <1%
62 of 96 65% 96 66 3% 20% 22% 45% 10% 1% <1%
61 of 96 64% 95 67 1% 15% 22% 45% 15% 1% <1%
60 of 96 63% 94 68 1% 11% 20% 44% 21% 3% <1%
59 of 96 61% 93 69 <1% 7% 18% 41% 28% 6% 1%
58 of 96 60% 92 70 <1% 4% 15% 35% 34% 10% 1%
57 of 96 59% 91 71 <1% 2% 12% 29% 37% 16% 3%
56 of 96 58% 90 72 <1% 1% 9% 21% 39% 24% 7%
55 of 96 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 14% 36% 30% 13%
54 of 96 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 9% 30% 35% 22%
53 of 96 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 5% 22% 35% 36%
52 of 96 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 2% 15% 33% 49%
51 of 96 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 25% 64%
50 of 96 52% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 18% 76%
49 of 96 51% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
48 of 96 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 96 42% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 96 31% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 96 21% 54 108 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 96 10% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 96 0% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs