The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (54‑54) vs Yankees (58‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
13 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| Twins (51‑56) vs Red Sox (58‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Rockies (28‑79) vs Guardians (53‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Nationals (44‑63) vs Astros (61‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑56) vs Tigers (63‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Phillies (61‑46) vs White Sox (39‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Orioles (50‑58) vs Blue Jays (63‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Angels (53‑55) vs Rangers (56‑52) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Mariners (57‑51) vs Athletics (47‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Royals (53‑55) vs Braves (45‑61) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (54‑54) vs Yankees (58‑49) |
7 | Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Twins (51‑56) vs Red Sox (58‑51) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Rockies (28‑79) vs Guardians (53‑54) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Nationals (44‑63) vs Astros (61‑47) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑56) vs Tigers (63‑46) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Phillies (61‑46) vs White Sox (39‑69) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Orioles (50‑58) vs Blue Jays (63‑46) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Angels (53‑55) vs Rangers (56‑52) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Mariners (57‑51) vs Athletics (47‑63) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Royals (53‑55) vs Braves (45‑61) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 84% | ||