The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (41‑27) vs Dodgers (45‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 30% | 8% | 2% | 38% | 10% | 5% | 7% | ||
| White Sox (38‑32) vs Yankees (43‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 38% | 9% | 2% | 30% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 33% | 5% | 1% | 41% | 10% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Pirates (36‑36) vs Athletics (35‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 36% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jays (34‑38) vs Red Sox (29‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 34% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Nationals (37‑35) vs Royals (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 8% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Brewers (43‑26) vs Guardians (39‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 34% | 8% | 2% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Astros (33‑40) vs Tigers (29‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) vs Angels (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 36% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (34‑39) vs Mariners (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 36% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Twins (33‑40) vs Rangers (35‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 36% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (41‑27) vs Dodgers (45‑27) |
6 | Rays Wins | 37% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 34% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 10% | 5% | 5% | ||
| White Sox (38‑32) vs Yankees (43‑27) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 36% | 8% | 2% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Royals (29‑43) vs Nationals (37‑35) |
1 | Royals Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Rangers (35‑36) vs Twins (33‑40) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 35% | 8% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Twins Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Angels (29‑43) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) |
1 | Angels Wins | 35% | 8% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jays (34‑38) vs Red Sox (29‑40) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 34% | 8% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Pirates (36‑36) vs Athletics (35‑36) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Astros (33‑40) vs Tigers (29‑42) |
0 | Astros Wins | 36% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Guardians (39‑33) vs Brewers (43‑26) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 35% | 8% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (34‑39) vs Mariners (37‑36) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 35% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | ||