The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (34‑16) vs Orioles (23‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
11 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 72% | 11% | 2% | 11% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 63% | 13% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Royals (22‑31) vs Yankees (31‑22) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 70% | 13% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 66% | 12% | 2% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Marlins (25‑29) vs Blue Jays (25‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Athletics (27‑26) vs Mariners (25‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nationals (27‑27) vs Guardians (32‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 71% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 67% | 13% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| White Sox (26‑26) vs Twins (26‑27) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 4 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Braves (36‑18) vs Red Sox (22‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Tigers (21‑33) vs Angels (20‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rangers (24‑28) vs Astros (23‑31) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 4 Games | 68% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (34‑16) vs Orioles (23‑30) |
4 | Rays Wins | 70% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 66% | 13% | 3% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Royals (22‑31) vs Yankees (31‑22) |
1 | Royals Wins | 69% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Tigers (21‑33) vs Angels (20‑34) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 69% | 12% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Angels Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nationals (27‑27) vs Guardians (32‑23) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 69% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Marlins (25‑29) vs Blue Jays (25‑28) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Mariners (25‑29) vs Athletics (27‑26) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 68% | 12% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Braves (36‑18) vs Red Sox (22‑30) |
0 | Braves Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Twins (26‑27) vs White Sox (26‑26) |
0 | Twins Wins | 69% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 68% | 12% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Astros (23‑31) vs Rangers (24‑28) |
0 | Astros Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 12% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 68% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||