The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (39‑32) vs Orioles (30‑40) 4 Games Remaining |
36 | Rays Sweeps 4 Games | 6% | 8% | 6% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 53% | ||
| Angels (33‑37) vs Yankees (42‑28) 4 Games Remaining |
9 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 8% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 6% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 41% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 42% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Red Sox (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 40% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 7% | 4% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Rangers (36‑36) vs Royals (34‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (39‑32) vs Orioles (30‑40) |
7 | Rays Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 43% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Red Sox (37‑36) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Angels (33‑37) vs Yankees (42‑28) |
1 | Angels Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 40% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) |
1 | Giants Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) |
0 | Royals Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 40% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) |
0 | Reds Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Twins Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||