The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rangers (68‑67) vs Athletics (63‑72) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||