The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (56‑64) vs Yankees (67‑52) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 92% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 87% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rays (73‑46) vs Athletics (47‑73) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 90% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 87% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (58‑63) vs Red Sox (64‑55) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 88% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins (59‑62) vs Orioles (58‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers (59‑60) vs Guardians (58‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (46‑74) vs Rangers (60‑60) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (49‑72) vs Dodgers (72‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Reds (57‑61) vs White Sox (61‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Giants (50‑70) vs Astros (61‑60) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (73‑46) vs Athletics (47‑73) |
5 | Rays Wins | 90% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 87% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (56‑64) vs Yankees (67‑52) |
4 | Mariners Wins | 91% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 88% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Reds (57‑61) vs White Sox (61‑57) |
1 | Reds Wins | 90% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins (59‑62) vs Orioles (58‑62) |
1 | Twins Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (58‑63) vs Red Sox (64‑55) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (58‑62) vs Tigers (59‑60) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (49‑72) vs Dodgers (72‑48) |
0 | Royals Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (46‑74) vs Rangers (60‑60) |
0 | Angels Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Giants (50‑70) vs Astros (61‑60) |
0 | Giants Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||