The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| White Sox (55‑49) vs Yankees (59‑46) 4 Games Remaining |
23 | White Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 74% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 62% | 1% | <1% | 31% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics (44‑61) vs Red Sox (54‑50) 4 Games Remaining |
5 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 70% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 68% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (54‑52) vs Blue Jays (48‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 70% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (52‑54) vs Rangers (53‑52) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 69% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (42‑64) vs Astros (52‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Reds (49‑55) vs Guardians (54‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (45‑62) vs Twins (53‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 4% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers (50‑56) vs Orioles (51‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| White Sox (55‑49) vs Yankees (59‑46) |
6 | White Sox Wins | 71% | 4% | <1% | 20% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 68% | 3% | <1% | 24% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics (44‑61) vs Red Sox (54‑50) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 70% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (52‑54) vs Rangers (53‑52) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 70% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 69% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (54‑53) vs Reds (49‑55) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Reds Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (45‑62) vs Twins (53‑54) |
0 | Royals Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Astros (52‑55) vs Angels (42‑64) |
0 | Astros Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Wins | 69% | 3% | <1% | 23% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (51‑55) vs Tigers (50‑56) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 70% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 69% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (54‑52) vs Blue Jays (48‑58) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 69% | 4% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 70% | 3% | <1% | 22% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||