The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (21‑12) vs Blue Jays (16‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
21 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 9% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 27% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 10% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Braves (25‑10) vs Mariners (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Nationals (16‑19) vs Twins (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Orioles (15‑19) vs Yankees (23‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 8% | 4% | 20% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Red Sox (13‑21) vs Tigers (18‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 31% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Dodgers (21‑13) vs Astros (14‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Royals (15‑19) vs Guardians (18‑17) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 4 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 4 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| White Sox (16‑18) vs Angels (13‑22) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (21‑12) vs Blue Jays (16‑18) |
6 | Rays Wins | 32% | 9% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 30% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 10% | 7% | 20% | ||
| Astros (14‑21) vs Dodgers (21‑13) |
2 | Astros Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Braves (25‑10) vs Mariners (16‑19) |
2 | Braves Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 31% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Orioles (15‑19) vs Yankees (23‑11) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 20% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| White Sox (16‑18) vs Angels (13‑22) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 20% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Angels Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Nationals (16‑19) vs Twins (15‑20) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Twins Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Royals (15‑19) vs Guardians (18‑17) |
0 | Royals Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Tigers (18‑17) vs Red Sox (13‑21) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 31% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 10% | 7% | 19% | ||