The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (52‑36) vs Yankees (50‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
38 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 73% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 49% | 10% | 3% | 27% | 6% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Royals (37‑54) vs Mets (38‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 63% | 11% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox (40‑48) vs White Sox (47‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 65% | 9% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 61% | 12% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Angels (36‑55) vs Rangers (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 64% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Twins (44‑47) vs Guardians (47‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 64% | 10% | 2% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 61% | 12% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cubs (50‑40) vs Orioles (42‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Marlins (49‑42) vs Mariners (47‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 64% | 10% | 2% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Athletics (41‑49) vs Tigers (40‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Astros (45‑48) vs Nationals (47‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Giants (38‑52) vs Blue Jays (42‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (52‑36) vs Yankees (50‑40) |
13 | Rays Wins | 67% | 11% | 3% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 58% | 11% | 3% | 20% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays (42‑49) vs Giants (38‑52) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Twins (44‑47) vs Guardians (47‑44) |
1 | Twins Wins | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Angels (36‑55) vs Rangers (45‑45) |
1 | Angels Wins | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Royals (37‑54) vs Mets (38‑53) |
1 | Royals Wins | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mets Wins | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Cubs (50‑40) vs Orioles (42‑49) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Nationals (47‑45) vs Astros (45‑48) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 62% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Astros Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Mariners (47‑44) vs Marlins (49‑42) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| White Sox (47‑42) vs Red Sox (40‑48) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 62% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Athletics (41‑49) vs Tigers (40‑50) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 63% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 63% | 10% | 3% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||