The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (8‑7) vs White Sox (6‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Cardinals (8‑7) vs Guardians (9‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Angels (8‑8) vs Yankees (8‑7) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Mariners (7‑9) vs Astros (6‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Athletics (8‑7) vs Rangers (8‑7) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 4 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Twins (9‑7) vs Red Sox (6‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Brewers (8‑7) vs Blue Jays (6‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Royals (7‑9) vs Tigers (7‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) vs Orioles (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Brewers (8‑7) vs Blue Jays (6‑9) |
3 | Brewers Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Rays (8‑7) vs White Sox (6‑10) |
3 | Rays Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Mariners (7‑9) vs Astros (6‑10) |
2 | Mariners Wins | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Astros Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Angels (8‑8) vs Yankees (8‑7) |
1 | Angels Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Rangers (8‑7) vs Athletics (8‑7) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Royals (7‑9) vs Tigers (7‑9) |
1 | Royals Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) vs Orioles (8‑7) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Red Sox (6‑9) vs Twins (9‑7) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Twins Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Cardinals (8‑7) vs Guardians (9‑7) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||