The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (49‑42) vs Tigers (58‑34) 2 Games Remaining |
21 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 46% | ||
| White Sox (30‑61) vs Blue Jays (53‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Mariners (48‑42) vs Yankees (49‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (21‑70) vs Red Sox (47‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Mets (52‑39) vs Orioles (40‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Astros (55‑36) vs Guardians (41‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Pirates (38‑54) vs Royals (44‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Angels (44‑46) vs Rangers (44‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Athletics (37‑55) vs Braves (39‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (49‑42) vs Tigers (58‑34) |
10 | Rays Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 45% | ||
| White Sox (30‑61) vs Blue Jays (53‑38) |
3 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Astros (55‑36) vs Guardians (41‑48) |
2 | Astros Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Mets (52‑39) vs Orioles (40‑49) |
1 | Mets Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Rockies (21‑70) vs Red Sox (47‑45) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Mariners (48‑42) vs Yankees (49‑41) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Pirates (38‑54) vs Royals (44‑48) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Athletics (37‑55) vs Braves (39‑50) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Angels (44‑46) vs Rangers (44‑47) |
0 | Angels Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 42% | ||