The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (43‑35) vs Royals (38‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
32 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 8% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Reds (39‑38) vs Yankees (45‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
9 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Guardians (39‑37) vs Blue Jays (41‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Angels (37‑40) vs Red Sox (40‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Tigers (49‑30) vs Athletics (32‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Phillies (47‑31) vs Astros (45‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Rangers (38‑40) vs Orioles (33‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 38% | ||
| Mariners (39‑37) vs Twins (37‑40) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) vs White Sox (25‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (43‑35) vs Royals (38‑40) |
11 | Rays Wins | 5% | 9% | 8% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Royals Wins | 4% | 8% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Reds (39‑38) vs Yankees (45‑32) |
4 | Reds Wins | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Angels (37‑40) vs Red Sox (40‑39) |
2 | Angels Wins | 5% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Orioles (33‑44) vs Rangers (38‑40) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Guardians (39‑37) vs Blue Jays (41‑36) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Twins (37‑40) vs Mariners (39‑37) |
1 | Twins Wins | 5% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Tigers (49‑30) vs Athletics (32‑48) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 4% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Phillies (47‑31) vs Astros (45‑33) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| White Sox (25‑53) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 4% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 39% | ||