The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (76‑53) vs Orioles (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 65% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (64‑67) vs Yankees (73‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 73% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 68% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Giants (52‑77) vs Red Sox (70‑59) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 71% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros (65‑65) vs Athletics (50‑80) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (64‑66) vs Rockies (50‑79) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers (61‑68) vs Royals (57‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (76‑53) vs Orioles (63‑67) |
12 | Rays Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 65% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (64‑67) vs Yankees (73‑56) |
7 | Blue Jays Wins | 73% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 68% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Giants (52‑77) vs Red Sox (70‑59) |
2 | Giants Wins | 71% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros (65‑65) vs Athletics (50‑80) |
1 | Astros Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) |
1 | Mets Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (64‑66) vs Rockies (50‑79) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) |
1 | Angels Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 69% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers (61‑68) vs Royals (57‑74) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) |
0 | Padres Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||