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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Orioles (23‑30)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 35 16 70% 11% 2% 12% 3% 1% 1%
Current Standings 34 16 68% 12% 2% 13% 3% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 34 17 66% 13% 3% 14% 3% 1% 1%


Current Series - Orioles (23‑30) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 37 16 72% 11% 2% 11% 2% 1% <1%
Current Standings 34 16 68% 12% 2% 13% 3% 1% 1%
Orioles Sweeps 34 19 63% 13% 3% 14% 4% 2% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
112 of 112 100% 146 16 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 112 98% 144 18 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 112 89% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 112 80% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 112 71% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 112 65% 107 55 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 112 64% 106 56 93% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 112 63% 105 57 91% 7% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 112 63% 104 58 87% 10% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 112 62% 103 59 83% 12% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 112 61% 102 60 78% 15% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 112 60% 101 61 72% 18% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 112 59% 100 62 66% 21% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 112 58% 99 63 58% 25% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 112 57% 98 64 51% 28% 2% 19% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 112 56% 97 65 43% 32% 3% 23% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 112 55% 96 66 36% 33% 4% 27% 1% <1% <1%
61 of 112 54% 95 67 29% 34% 6% 30% 2% <1% <1%
60 of 112 54% 94 68 22% 34% 7% 34% 3% <1% <1%
59 of 112 53% 93 69 16% 32% 10% 37% 4% <1% <1%
58 of 112 52% 92 70 11% 30% 11% 41% 7% <1% <1%
57 of 112 51% 91 71 7% 26% 13% 41% 11% 1% <1%
56 of 112 50% 90 72 4% 20% 15% 42% 17% 2% <1%
55 of 112 49% 89 73 2% 16% 15% 39% 22% 4% <1%
54 of 112 48% 88 74 1% 11% 15% 34% 30% 8% 1%
53 of 112 47% 87 75 1% 8% 14% 30% 33% 13% 2%
52 of 112 46% 86 76 <1% 4% 13% 23% 36% 19% 5%
51 of 112 46% 85 77 <1% 3% 11% 16% 35% 26% 9%
50 of 112 45% 84 78 <1% 1% 8% 10% 31% 31% 18%
49 of 112 44% 83 79 <1% 1% 6% 6% 22% 33% 32%
48 of 112 43% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% 3% 16% 31% 45%
47 of 112 42% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% 1% 9% 26% 61%
46 of 112 41% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% 5% 18% 75%
45 of 112 40% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 11% 86%
44 of 112 39% 78 84 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 112 36% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 112 27% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 112 18% 54 108 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 112 9% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 112 0% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs