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Sat Apr 18 1:15 am

MLB - Week 4 of 27

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Pirates (12‑8)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 12 8 17% 10% 7% 8% 7% 7% 43%
Current Standings 11 8 16% 10% 7% 9% 7% 7% 44%
Lose Next Game 11 9 16% 10% 7% 9% 7% 7% 44%


Current Series - Pirates (12‑8) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 13 8 18% 10% 7% 9% 7% 7% 41%
Current Standings 11 8 16% 10% 7% 9% 7% 7% 44%
Pirates Sweeps 11 10 15% 10% 7% 9% 7% 7% 44%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
143 of 143 100% 154 8 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 143 98% 151 11 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 143 91% 141 21 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 143 84% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 143 77% 121 41 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 143 73% 116 46 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 143 73% 115 47 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 143 72% 114 48 89% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 143 71% 113 49 86% 12% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 143 71% 112 50 82% 15% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 143 70% 111 51 77% 19% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 143 69% 110 52 72% 22% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 143 69% 109 53 66% 26% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 143 68% 108 54 60% 29% 3% 8% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 143 67% 107 55 52% 33% 4% 10% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 143 66% 106 56 47% 35% 6% 12% 1% <1% <1%
94 of 143 66% 105 57 40% 37% 7% 14% 1% <1% <1%
93 of 143 65% 104 58 32% 39% 9% 17% 1% <1% <1%
92 of 143 64% 103 59 27% 38% 11% 21% 3% <1% <1%
91 of 143 64% 102 60 21% 38% 14% 23% 3% <1% <1%
90 of 143 63% 101 61 16% 36% 17% 25% 5% <1% <1%
89 of 143 62% 100 62 12% 34% 18% 27% 8% 1% <1%
88 of 143 62% 99 63 9% 31% 20% 29% 11% 1% <1%
87 of 143 61% 98 64 6% 28% 22% 29% 13% 2% <1%
86 of 143 60% 97 65 5% 23% 23% 29% 16% 3% <1%
85 of 143 59% 96 66 3% 19% 24% 28% 20% 5% <1%
84 of 143 59% 95 67 2% 16% 24% 26% 24% 7% 1%
83 of 143 58% 94 68 1% 12% 24% 23% 27% 10% 2%
82 of 143 57% 93 69 1% 9% 23% 21% 29% 14% 3%
81 of 143 57% 92 70 <1% 7% 22% 18% 30% 18% 5%
80 of 143 56% 91 71 <1% 5% 21% 14% 30% 22% 8%
79 of 143 55% 90 72 <1% 4% 18% 12% 28% 26% 13%
78 of 143 55% 89 73 <1% 2% 16% 9% 25% 29% 18%
77 of 143 54% 88 74 <1% 2% 14% 6% 24% 30% 24%
76 of 143 53% 87 75 <1% 1% 12% 5% 19% 31% 32%
75 of 143 52% 86 76 <1% 1% 11% 3% 15% 30% 40%
74 of 143 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 9% 2% 12% 28% 49%
73 of 143 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 8% 1% 10% 24% 57%
72 of 143 50% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% 1% 7% 20% 66%
71 of 143 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% 1% 4% 16% 74%
70 of 143 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 13% 80%
69 of 143 48% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 9% 85%
68 of 143 48% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 7% 89%
67 of 143 47% 78 84 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 5% 93%
66 of 143 46% 77 85 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
60 of 143 42% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 143 35% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 143 28% 51 111 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 143 21% 41 121 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 143 14% 31 131 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 143 7% 21 141 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 143 0% 11 151 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs