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Mon Jun 23 3:30 am

MLB - Week 15 of 28

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Royals (38‑40)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 44 35 5% 9% 8% 17% 14% 12% 35%
Current Standings 43 35 4% 9% 7% 17% 13% 11% 39%
Lose Next Game 43 36 4% 8% 7% 15% 13% 11% 41%


Current Series - Royals (38‑40) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 46 35 6% 11% 8% 19% 14% 11% 30%
Current Standings 43 35 4% 9% 7% 17% 13% 11% 39%
Royals Sweeps 43 38 2% 6% 7% 14% 13% 11% 47%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
84 of 84 100% 127 35 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 84 95% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
70 of 84 83% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 84 76% 107 55 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 84 75% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 84 74% 105 57 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 84 73% 104 58 83% 15% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 84 71% 103 59 77% 20% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 84 70% 102 60 71% 24% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 84 69% 101 61 62% 30% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 84 68% 100 62 54% 34% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 84 67% 99 63 44% 38% 5% 13% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 84 65% 98 64 37% 40% 7% 16% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 84 64% 97 65 29% 40% 10% 21% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 84 63% 96 66 20% 39% 12% 27% 1% <1% <1%
52 of 84 62% 95 67 14% 36% 16% 33% 2% <1% <1%
51 of 84 61% 94 68 9% 31% 18% 39% 4% <1% <1%
50 of 84 60% 93 69 5% 25% 20% 42% 7% <1% <1%
49 of 84 58% 92 70 2% 19% 20% 44% 13% 1% <1%
48 of 84 57% 91 71 1% 12% 20% 43% 21% 3% <1%
47 of 84 56% 90 72 <1% 8% 17% 40% 28% 6% 1%
46 of 84 55% 89 73 <1% 4% 14% 32% 35% 12% 2%
45 of 84 54% 88 74 <1% 2% 11% 23% 38% 20% 6%
44 of 84 52% 87 75 <1% 1% 8% 15% 35% 29% 13%
43 of 84 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 8% 29% 34% 24%
42 of 84 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 4% 20% 34% 39%
41 of 84 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11% 29% 57%
40 of 84 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 19% 74%
39 of 84 46% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 87%
38 of 84 45% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
30 of 84 36% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 84 24% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 84 12% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 84 0% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs