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Tue Jul 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Tigers (58‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 50 42 1% 4% 10% 15% 16% 14% 39%
Current Standings 49 42 1% 4% 9% 15% 16% 14% 42%
Lose Next Game 49 43 1% 3% 9% 14% 15% 14% 45%


Current Series - Tigers (58‑34) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 51 42 2% 5% 11% 17% 17% 14% 35%
Current Standings 49 42 1% 4% 9% 15% 16% 14% 42%
Tigers Sweeps 49 44 <1% 2% 9% 13% 15% 14% 46%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
71 of 71 100% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 71 99% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 71 85% 109 53 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 71 83% 108 54 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 71 82% 107 55 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 71 80% 106 56 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 71 79% 105 57 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 71 77% 104 58 74% 24% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 71 76% 103 59 66% 31% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 71 75% 102 60 56% 38% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 71 73% 101 61 47% 44% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 71 72% 100 62 39% 47% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 71 70% 99 63 29% 50% 15% 6% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 71 69% 98 64 22% 49% 21% 9% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 71 68% 97 65 15% 45% 25% 14% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 71 66% 96 66 9% 39% 31% 20% 1% <1% <1%
46 of 71 65% 95 67 5% 32% 34% 27% 2% <1% <1%
45 of 71 63% 94 68 3% 24% 36% 34% 3% <1% <1%
44 of 71 62% 93 69 1% 16% 37% 39% 6% <1% <1%
43 of 71 61% 92 70 <1% 10% 33% 44% 12% 1% <1%
42 of 71 59% 91 71 <1% 5% 28% 45% 19% 2% <1%
41 of 71 58% 90 72 <1% 2% 21% 42% 29% 6% <1%
40 of 71 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 15% 36% 37% 10% 1%
39 of 71 55% 88 74 <1% <1% 10% 27% 41% 19% 3%
38 of 71 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 18% 39% 28% 10%
37 of 71 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 9% 32% 37% 19%
36 of 71 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 4% 23% 37% 34%
35 of 71 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13% 32% 53%
34 of 71 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 71%
33 of 71 46% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
32 of 71 45% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
30 of 71 42% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 71 28% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 71 14% 59 103 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 71 0% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs