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Sun May 4 3:30 am

MLB - Week 7 of 28

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Yankees (19‑14)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 16 18 1% 3% 6% 4% 5% 6% 74%
Current Standings 15 18 1% 3% 6% 3% 5% 6% 75%
Lose Next Game 15 19 1% 3% 6% 4% 5% 6% 76%


Current Series - Yankees (19‑14) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 16 18 1% 3% 6% 4% 5% 6% 74%
Current Standings 15 18 1% 3% 6% 3% 5% 6% 75%
Yankees Sweeps 15 19 1% 3% 6% 4% 5% 6% 76%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
129 of 129 100% 144 18 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 129 93% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
110 of 129 85% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 129 78% 115 47 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 129 76% 113 49 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 129 75% 112 50 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 129 74% 111 51 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 129 74% 110 52 86% 12% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 129 73% 109 53 81% 16% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 129 72% 108 54 77% 19% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 129 71% 107 55 72% 23% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 129 71% 106 56 64% 28% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 129 70% 105 57 58% 31% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 129 69% 104 58 51% 35% 5% 9% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 129 68% 103 59 44% 38% 7% 10% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 129 67% 102 60 36% 41% 10% 13% 1% <1% <1%
86 of 129 67% 101 61 29% 42% 13% 16% 1% <1% <1%
85 of 129 66% 100 62 23% 42% 16% 17% 2% <1% <1%
84 of 129 65% 99 63 17% 41% 18% 21% 3% <1% <1%
83 of 129 64% 98 64 13% 37% 22% 22% 6% <1% <1%
82 of 129 64% 97 65 9% 33% 25% 24% 7% 1% <1%
81 of 129 63% 96 66 6% 30% 27% 25% 11% 2% <1%
80 of 129 62% 95 67 4% 24% 28% 25% 14% 3% <1%
79 of 129 61% 94 68 2% 20% 30% 24% 18% 5% 1%
78 of 129 60% 93 69 1% 15% 30% 24% 22% 7% 1%
77 of 129 60% 92 70 1% 11% 28% 20% 25% 12% 3%
76 of 129 59% 91 71 <1% 8% 26% 17% 28% 16% 5%
75 of 129 58% 90 72 <1% 5% 25% 14% 28% 20% 8%
74 of 129 57% 89 73 <1% 4% 23% 11% 26% 24% 13%
73 of 129 57% 88 74 <1% 2% 19% 7% 24% 28% 19%
72 of 129 56% 87 75 <1% 1% 16% 5% 20% 29% 28%
71 of 129 55% 86 76 <1% 1% 14% 3% 15% 29% 39%
70 of 129 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 11% 2% 11% 26% 49%
69 of 129 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 9% 1% 8% 22% 61%
68 of 129 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% <1% 5% 17% 72%
67 of 129 52% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 12% 80%
66 of 129 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 8% 87%
65 of 129 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 5% 92%
64 of 129 50% 79 83 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
60 of 129 47% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 129 39% 65 97 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 129 31% 55 107 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 129 23% 45 117 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 129 16% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 129 8% 25 137 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 129 0% 15 147 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs