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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Orioles (30‑40)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 40 32 4% 7% 5% 19% 14% 11% 39%
Current Standings 39 32 4% 7% 5% 18% 14% 11% 40%
Lose Next Game 39 33 3% 6% 5% 17% 13% 11% 43%


Current Series - Orioles (30‑40) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 43 32 6% 8% 6% 20% 14% 12% 33%
Current Standings 39 32 4% 7% 5% 18% 14% 11% 40%
Orioles Sweeps 39 36 2% 4% 4% 13% 13% 11% 53%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
91 of 91 100% 130 32 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 91 99% 129 33 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 91 88% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
70 of 91 77% 109 53 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 91 76% 108 54 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 91 75% 107 55 92% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 91 74% 106 56 88% 10% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 91 73% 105 57 83% 13% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 91 71% 104 58 78% 17% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 91 70% 103 59 70% 22% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 91 69% 102 60 62% 26% 2% 10% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 91 68% 101 61 54% 30% 2% 14% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 91 67% 100 62 45% 32% 4% 19% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 91 66% 99 63 36% 35% 5% 24% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 91 65% 98 64 28% 34% 7% 30% 1% <1% <1%
58 of 91 64% 97 65 21% 34% 10% 34% 1% <1% <1%
57 of 91 63% 96 66 15% 31% 11% 40% 3% <1% <1%
56 of 91 62% 95 67 10% 28% 13% 45% 5% <1% <1%
55 of 91 60% 94 68 5% 23% 14% 49% 8% <1% <1%
54 of 91 59% 93 69 3% 18% 15% 50% 13% 1% <1%
53 of 91 58% 92 70 1% 13% 14% 49% 20% 2% <1%
52 of 91 57% 91 71 1% 8% 14% 45% 28% 5% <1%
51 of 91 56% 90 72 <1% 4% 12% 38% 34% 10% 1%
50 of 91 55% 89 73 <1% 2% 9% 30% 39% 16% 3%
49 of 91 54% 88 74 <1% 1% 7% 21% 39% 25% 8%
48 of 91 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 5% 13% 34% 32% 16%
47 of 91 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 7% 27% 35% 28%
46 of 91 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 4% 18% 33% 44%
45 of 91 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 11% 28% 59%
44 of 91 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 74%
43 of 91 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
42 of 91 46% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 91 44% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
30 of 91 33% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 91 22% 59 103 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 91 11% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 91 0% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs