The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (38‑42) vs Pirates (41‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Orioles (39‑44) vs Nationals (41‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Mets (34‑48) vs Phillies (46‑36) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Rays (46‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Cardinals (42‑37) vs Marlins (43‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Giants (33‑48) vs Braves (49‑31) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Dodgers (52‑30) vs Padres (43‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Brewers (50‑29) vs Cubs (44‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Rockies (32‑50) vs Twins (39‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (38‑42) vs Pirates (41‑41) |
2 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Rays (46‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑40) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Mets (34‑48) vs Phillies (46‑36) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Twins (39‑44) vs Rockies (32‑50) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Orioles (39‑44) vs Nationals (41‑42) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Brewers (50‑29) vs Cubs (44‑38) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Dodgers (52‑30) vs Padres (43‑37) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Cardinals (42‑37) vs Marlins (43‑39) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Giants (33‑48) vs Braves (49‑31) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||