The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (24‑21) vs Guardians (24‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 72% | ||
| White Sox (22‑22) vs Cubs (29‑16) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Twins (20‑25) vs Brewers (25‑17) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Rockies (17‑28) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (21‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Mariners (22‑24) vs Padres (26‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Angels (16‑29) vs Dodgers (27‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Royals (19‑26) vs Cardinals (26‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Orioles (20‑25) vs Nationals (22‑23) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Athletics (23‑21) vs Giants (18‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Phillies (22‑23) vs Pirates (24‑21) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Rays (29‑14) vs Marlins (20‑25) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Mets (18‑26) vs Yankees (28‑17) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑26) vs Braves (31‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (24‑21) vs Guardians (24‑22) |
4 | Reds Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Royals (19‑26) vs Cardinals (26‑18) |
2 | Royals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑26) vs Braves (31‑14) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Nationals (22‑23) vs Orioles (20‑25) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Twins (20‑25) vs Brewers (25‑17) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| White Sox (22‑22) vs Cubs (29‑16) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Padres (26‑18) vs Mariners (22‑24) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Pirates (24‑21) vs Phillies (22‑23) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Rockies (17‑28) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (21‑22) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Rays (29‑14) vs Marlins (20‑25) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Mets (18‑26) vs Yankees (28‑17) |
0 | Mets Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Giants (18‑27) vs Athletics (23‑21) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Dodgers (27‑18) vs Angels (16‑29) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 69% | ||