The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (30‑29) vs Royals (23‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Athletics (28‑31) vs Cubs (32‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Marlins (27‑34) vs Nationals (31‑30) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mets (26‑34) vs Mariners (32‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Giants (23‑37) vs Brewers (36‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Astros (27‑34) vs Pirates (32‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Angels (23‑38) vs Rockies (23‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Padres (32‑26) vs Phillies (30‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers (29‑31) vs Cardinals (31‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Dodgers (38‑22) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (32‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Braves (40‑20) vs Blue Jays (29‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (30‑29) vs Royals (23‑37) |
5 | Reds Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 81% | ||
| Marlins (27‑34) vs Nationals (31‑30) |
2 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Giants (23‑37) vs Brewers (36‑21) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers (29‑31) vs Cardinals (31‑27) |
1 | Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Cubs (32‑28) vs Athletics (28‑31) |
1 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rockies (23‑38) vs Angels (23‑38) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mariners (32‑29) vs Mets (26‑34) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 80% | ||
| Dodgers (38‑22) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (32‑27) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Blue Jays (29‑31) vs Braves (40‑20) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Padres (32‑26) vs Phillies (30‑29) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Astros (27‑34) vs Pirates (32‑28) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||