The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (68‑66) vs Cardinals (66‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
18 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Marlins (63‑71) vs Mets (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 90% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 86% | ||
| Dodgers (77‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Rockies (38‑96) vs Cubs (76‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 86% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 86% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (68‑66) vs Cardinals (66‑69) |
6 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 89% | ||
| Marlins (63‑71) vs Mets (72‑62) |
4 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) |
1 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Dodgers (77‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Cubs (76‑58) vs Rockies (38‑96) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ||