The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (46‑54) vs Mariners (51‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs (57‑44) vs Tigers (47‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (41‑62) vs Nationals (51‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Athletics (43‑58) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (52‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Yankees (56‑44) vs Pirates (52‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals (51‑49) vs Angels (41‑61) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins (52‑50) vs Astros (49‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres (50‑51) vs Braves (58‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals (42‑60) vs Giants (42‑59) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mets (43‑59) vs Brewers (63‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers (64‑38) vs Phillies (56‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (46‑54) vs Mariners (51‑51) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs (57‑44) vs Tigers (47‑54) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (41‑62) vs Nationals (51‑51) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Athletics (43‑58) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (52‑49) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals (51‑49) vs Angels (41‑61) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates (52‑49) vs Yankees (56‑44) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins (52‑50) vs Astros (49‑54) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals (42‑60) vs Giants (42‑59) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mets (43‑59) vs Brewers (63‑38) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers (64‑38) vs Phillies (56‑46) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres (50‑51) vs Braves (58‑42) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||