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Sat May 16 1:15 am

MLB - Week 8 of 27

Reds What If?

The Reds What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Reds play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Reds What If?

Next Game - Guardians (24‑22)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 25 21 1% 2% 2% 8% 9% 9% 68%
Current Standings 24 21 1% 2% 2% 8% 9% 9% 69%
Lose Next Game 24 22 1% 2% 2% 7% 9% 9% 70%


Current Series - Guardians (24‑22) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Reds Sweeps 26 21 1% 3% 2% 8% 10% 10% 66%
Current Standings 24 21 1% 2% 2% 8% 9% 9% 69%
Guardians Sweeps 24 23 1% 2% 1% 6% 9% 9% 72%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
117 of 117 100% 141 21 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 117 94% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
100 of 117 85% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 117 78% 115 47 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 117 77% 114 48 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 117 76% 113 49 92% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 117 75% 112 50 89% 9% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 117 74% 111 51 85% 12% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 117 74% 110 52 81% 14% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 117 73% 109 53 76% 17% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 117 72% 108 54 72% 19% 1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 117 71% 107 55 66% 22% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 117 70% 106 56 57% 26% 1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 117 69% 105 57 52% 28% 2% 18% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 117 68% 104 58 44% 29% 3% 24% 1% <1% <1%
79 of 117 68% 103 59 37% 30% 3% 28% 1% <1% <1%
78 of 117 67% 102 60 30% 30% 5% 33% 2% <1% <1%
77 of 117 66% 101 61 23% 29% 6% 38% 4% <1% <1%
76 of 117 65% 100 62 18% 26% 7% 42% 6% <1% <1%
75 of 117 64% 99 63 12% 25% 8% 44% 10% 1% <1%
74 of 117 63% 98 64 9% 20% 8% 48% 14% 1% <1%
73 of 117 62% 97 65 6% 17% 9% 47% 19% 2% <1%
72 of 117 62% 96 66 3% 12% 9% 46% 25% 4% <1%
71 of 117 61% 95 67 1% 9% 9% 42% 31% 7% 1%
70 of 117 60% 94 68 1% 7% 8% 36% 36% 11% 1%
69 of 117 59% 93 69 <1% 4% 7% 31% 38% 16% 3%
68 of 117 58% 92 70 <1% 2% 6% 23% 41% 22% 6%
67 of 117 57% 91 71 <1% 1% 4% 18% 39% 28% 10%
66 of 117 56% 90 72 <1% 1% 3% 12% 34% 34% 17%
65 of 117 56% 89 73 <1% <1% 2% 8% 28% 35% 27%
64 of 117 55% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 4% 21% 35% 38%
63 of 117 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 2% 14% 32% 50%
62 of 117 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 27% 63%
61 of 117 52% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 74%
60 of 117 51% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
59 of 117 50% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
58 of 117 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
50 of 117 43% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 117 34% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 117 26% 54 108 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 117 17% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 117 9% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 117 0% 24 138 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs