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Tue Apr 22 3:30 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Reds What If?

The Reds What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Reds play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Reds What If?

Next Game - Marlins (10‑12)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 12 12 2% 7% 10% 4% 6% 7% 63%
Current Standings 11 12 2% 7% 10% 4% 6% 7% 64%
Lose Next Game 11 13 2% 7% 10% 5% 6% 7% 64%


Current Series - Marlins (10‑12) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Reds Sweeps 13 12 2% 7% 10% 5% 7% 7% 62%
Current Standings 11 12 2% 7% 10% 4% 6% 7% 64%
Marlins Sweeps 11 14 2% 6% 10% 4% 6% 7% 66%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
139 of 139 100% 150 12 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 139 94% 141 21 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 139 86% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 139 80% 122 40 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 139 79% 121 41 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 139 78% 120 42 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 139 78% 119 43 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 139 77% 118 44 84% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 139 76% 117 45 79% 20% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 139 76% 116 46 75% 23% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 139 75% 115 47 69% 28% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 139 74% 114 48 63% 33% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 139 73% 113 49 58% 36% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 139 73% 112 50 52% 40% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 139 72% 111 51 46% 43% 6% 5% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 139 71% 110 52 40% 46% 7% 7% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 139 71% 109 53 34% 48% 9% 8% 1% <1% <1%
97 of 139 70% 108 54 28% 49% 11% 10% 1% <1% <1%
96 of 139 69% 107 55 24% 49% 14% 11% 2% <1% <1%
95 of 139 68% 106 56 19% 48% 17% 13% 3% <1% <1%
94 of 139 68% 105 57 14% 46% 20% 16% 4% <1% <1%
93 of 139 67% 104 58 11% 44% 21% 17% 6% 1% <1%
92 of 139 66% 103 59 8% 41% 24% 19% 7% 1% <1%
91 of 139 65% 102 60 6% 37% 27% 18% 9% 2% <1%
90 of 139 65% 101 61 4% 34% 29% 19% 11% 2% <1%
89 of 139 64% 100 62 3% 29% 30% 20% 14% 4% <1%
88 of 139 63% 99 63 2% 25% 32% 19% 17% 5% 1%
87 of 139 63% 98 64 1% 20% 33% 18% 19% 7% 1%
86 of 139 62% 97 65 1% 16% 34% 17% 21% 10% 2%
85 of 139 61% 96 66 1% 14% 33% 15% 23% 12% 3%
84 of 139 60% 95 67 <1% 10% 32% 13% 25% 15% 5%
83 of 139 60% 94 68 <1% 8% 30% 12% 25% 18% 7%
82 of 139 59% 93 69 <1% 6% 28% 10% 24% 22% 11%
81 of 139 58% 92 70 <1% 4% 27% 7% 23% 25% 14%
80 of 139 58% 91 71 <1% 3% 24% 6% 21% 27% 20%
79 of 139 57% 90 72 <1% 2% 21% 4% 18% 27% 27%
78 of 139 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 19% 3% 15% 28% 35%
77 of 139 55% 88 74 <1% 1% 16% 2% 13% 28% 41%
76 of 139 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 14% 1% 9% 24% 51%
75 of 139 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 11% 1% 7% 21% 60%
74 of 139 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 10% <1% 5% 18% 67%
73 of 139 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 8% <1% 3% 13% 75%
72 of 139 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% <1% 2% 10% 82%
71 of 139 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 7% 86%
70 of 139 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 5% 91%
69 of 139 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 94%
60 of 139 43% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 139 36% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 139 29% 51 111 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 139 22% 41 121 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 139 14% 31 131 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 139 7% 21 141 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 139 0% 11 151 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs