PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 8 of 28

Reds What If?

The Reds What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Reds play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Reds What If?

Next Game - Braves (17‑19)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 20 19 1% 5% 9% 3% 6% 7% 69%
Current Standings 19 19 1% 4% 9% 3% 5% 7% 71%
Lose Next Game 19 20 1% 4% 8% 3% 5% 7% 72%


Current Series - Braves (17‑19) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Reds Sweeps 20 19 1% 5% 9% 3% 6% 7% 69%
Current Standings 19 19 1% 4% 9% 3% 5% 7% 71%
Braves Sweeps 19 20 1% 4% 8% 3% 5% 7% 72%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
124 of 124 100% 143 19 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 124 97% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 124 89% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 124 81% 119 43 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 124 78% 116 46 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 124 77% 115 47 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 124 77% 114 48 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 124 76% 113 49 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 124 75% 112 50 81% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 124 74% 111 51 77% 21% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 124 73% 110 52 71% 26% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 124 73% 109 53 65% 32% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 124 72% 108 54 58% 36% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 124 71% 107 55 50% 42% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 124 70% 106 56 43% 45% 6% 5% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 124 69% 105 57 36% 48% 8% 6% 1% <1% <1%
85 of 124 69% 104 58 29% 50% 10% 9% 1% <1% <1%
84 of 124 68% 103 59 23% 51% 14% 10% 2% <1% <1%
83 of 124 67% 102 60 19% 49% 18% 12% 3% <1% <1%
82 of 124 66% 101 61 12% 47% 22% 14% 4% 1% <1%
81 of 124 65% 100 62 10% 44% 25% 15% 6% 1% <1%
80 of 124 65% 99 63 6% 39% 27% 17% 9% 1% <1%
79 of 124 64% 98 64 5% 33% 30% 18% 12% 2% <1%
78 of 124 63% 97 65 3% 27% 32% 19% 15% 4% <1%
77 of 124 62% 96 66 2% 23% 33% 18% 18% 6% 1%
76 of 124 61% 95 67 1% 18% 34% 17% 20% 9% 1%
75 of 124 60% 94 68 1% 13% 33% 15% 24% 12% 3%
74 of 124 60% 93 69 <1% 9% 32% 12% 25% 16% 5%
73 of 124 59% 92 70 <1% 7% 29% 10% 25% 20% 8%
72 of 124 58% 91 71 <1% 4% 27% 7% 24% 25% 13%
71 of 124 57% 90 72 <1% 3% 23% 5% 21% 28% 20%
70 of 124 56% 89 73 <1% 2% 20% 4% 17% 29% 29%
69 of 124 56% 88 74 <1% 1% 17% 2% 14% 28% 37%
68 of 124 55% 87 75 <1% 1% 14% 1% 9% 26% 49%
67 of 124 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 11% 1% 7% 22% 60%
66 of 124 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 9% <1% 4% 17% 69%
65 of 124 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% <1% 2% 12% 78%
64 of 124 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 8% 86%
63 of 124 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 5% 91%
62 of 124 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 94%
60 of 124 48% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
50 of 124 40% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 124 32% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 124 24% 49 113 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 124 16% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 124 8% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 124 0% 19 143 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs