The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (45‑48) vs Mets (40‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Rangers (48‑47) vs Astros (47‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Athletics (41‑54) vs White Sox (49‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Rays (56‑37) vs Mariners (47‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Padres (47‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Angels (38‑58) vs Twins (47‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 67% | ||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Nationals (48‑48) vs Yankees (53‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 67% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (45‑48) vs Mets (40‑56) |
6 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Rangers (48‑47) vs Astros (47‑50) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Athletics (41‑54) vs White Sox (49‑45) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Rays (56‑37) vs Mariners (47‑49) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Padres (47‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑50) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Angels (38‑58) vs Twins (47‑49) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 67% | ||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Nationals (48‑48) vs Yankees (53‑42) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 67% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 67% | ||