The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (70‑59) vs Giants (52‑77) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 63% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 65% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Blue Jays (64‑67) vs Yankees (73‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 60% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 67% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Orioles (63‑67) vs Rays (76‑53) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 63% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 65% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (50‑80) vs Astros (65‑65) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Royals (57‑74) vs Tigers (61‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| White Sox (67‑62) vs Mets (59‑71) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 63% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (70‑59) vs Giants (52‑77) |
6 | Red Sox Wins | 5% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 63% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Giants Wins | 3% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 65% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Blue Jays (64‑67) vs Yankees (73‑56) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 5% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 60% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 67% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Orioles (63‑67) vs Rays (76‑53) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 5% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 63% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Rays Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 65% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (50‑80) vs Astros (65‑65) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Royals (57‑74) vs Tigers (61‑68) |
1 | Royals Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) |
0 | Padres Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Twins Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| White Sox (67‑62) vs Mets (59‑71) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 5% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 63% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Mets Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) |
0 | Angels Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 64% | 8% | 4% | ||