The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (40‑39) vs Angels (37‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
24 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Reds (39‑38) vs Yankees (45‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Guardians (39‑37) vs Blue Jays (41‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Royals (38‑40) vs Rays (43‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Phillies (47‑31) vs Astros (45‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Twins (37‑40) vs Mariners (39‑37) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| White Sox (25‑53) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Orioles (33‑44) vs Rangers (38‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Tigers (49‑30) vs Athletics (32‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (40‑39) vs Angels (37‑40) |
9 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Guardians (39‑37) vs Blue Jays (41‑36) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Reds (39‑38) vs Yankees (45‑32) |
1 | Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Mariners (39‑37) vs Twins (37‑40) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Phillies (47‑31) vs Astros (45‑33) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) vs White Sox (25‑53) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Rangers (38‑40) vs Orioles (33‑44) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Athletics (32‑48) vs Tigers (49‑30) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Rays (43‑35) vs Royals (38‑40) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 66% | ||