The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (29‑43) vs Mariners (39‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs (39‑36) vs Blue Jays (37‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Dodgers (48‑27) vs Orioles (35‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (38‑36) vs Twins (36‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cardinals (40‑33) vs Royals (31‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 98% | ||
| Guardians (40‑35) vs Astros (35‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Reds (35‑38) vs Yankees (45‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Tigers (30‑44) vs White Sox (39‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Padres (38‑35) vs Rangers (35‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Nationals (39‑36) vs Rays (41‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Athletics (37‑38) vs Angels (30‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (29‑43) vs Mariners (39‑37) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Athletics (37‑38) vs Angels (30‑46) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 98% | ||
| Rays (41‑30) vs Nationals (39‑36) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Guardians (40‑35) vs Astros (35‑41) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Cubs (39‑36) vs Blue Jays (37‑38) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Reds (35‑38) vs Yankees (45‑28) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Cardinals (40‑33) vs Royals (31‑45) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Dodgers (48‑27) vs Orioles (35‑41) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Padres (38‑35) vs Rangers (35‑39) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (38‑36) vs Twins (36‑40) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Tigers (30‑44) vs White Sox (39‑34) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||