The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) 3 Games Remaining |
34 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 8% | 1% | 47% | 26% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 2% | 1% | 29% | 35% | 21% | 10% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
19 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 10% | 3% | 36% | 27% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 3% | 1% | 45% | 32% | 12% | 4% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 7% | 2% | 51% | 21% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 5% | 1% | 34% | 36% | 13% | 4% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 43% | 33% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 6% | 6% | 2% | 40% | 29% | 13% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 29% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 2% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 2% | 42% | 30% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 4% | 1% | 41% | 29% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 29% | 12% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 12% | 4% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 42% | 31% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 2% | 40% | 29% | 14% | 4% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 2% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) |
12 | Red Sox Wins | 8% | 7% | 1% | 43% | 28% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 32% | 14% | 5% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) |
5 | Brewers Wins | 7% | 7% | 2% | 40% | 29% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 6% | 5% | 1% | 43% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) |
3 | White Sox Wins | 7% | 6% | 2% | 45% | 26% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 6% | 6% | 1% | 39% | 32% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 12% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 6% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 12% | 4% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 6% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Royals Wins | 7% | 5% | 1% | 41% | 29% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) |
1 | Padres Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 42% | 30% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Twins Wins | 6% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 7% | 6% | 2% | 42% | 30% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 6% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 29% | 13% | 4% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Giants Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 12% | 4% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) |
0 | Rays Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 42% | 29% | 12% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Astros (74‑60) vs Angels (62‑71) |
0 | Astros Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 29% | 12% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Angels Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 4% | ||