The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (12‑19) vs Astros (12‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
9 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Padres (19‑11) vs White Sox (14‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Giants (13‑18) vs Rays (18‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 79% | ||
| Orioles (15‑16) vs Yankees (20‑11) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mets (10‑21) vs Angels (12‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 80% | ||
| Twins (14‑18) vs Blue Jays (14‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers (15‑16) vs Tigers (16‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mariners (16‑16) vs Royals (12‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 79% | ||
| Guardians (16‑16) vs Athletics (17‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (12‑19) vs Astros (12‑20) |
3 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Padres (19‑11) vs White Sox (14‑17) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 79% | ||
| Tigers (16‑16) vs Rangers (15‑16) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Orioles (15‑16) vs Yankees (20‑11) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 80% | ||
| Blue Jays (14‑17) vs Twins (14‑18) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Royals (12‑19) vs Mariners (16‑16) |
0 | Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Giants (13‑18) vs Rays (18‑12) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 80% | ||
| Guardians (16‑16) vs Athletics (17‑14) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Mets (10‑21) vs Angels (12‑20) |
0 | Mets Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 80% | ||