The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (37‑36) vs Mariners (36‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 76% | ||
| Angels (33‑37) vs Yankees (42‑28) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 71% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (37‑36) vs Mariners (36‑34) |
7 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 72% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) |
1 | Reds Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Angels (33‑37) vs Yankees (42‑28) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑35) vs White Sox (23‑49) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 70% | ||