The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (4‑9) vs Cardinals (8‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Twins (7‑7) vs Blue Jays (6‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% | ||
| Yankees (8‑5) vs Rays (6‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Marlins (8‑6) vs Tigers (5‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Mets (7‑7) vs Athletics (6‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% | ||
| Astros (6‑8) vs Mariners (5‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Reds (8‑6) vs Angels (7‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Guardians (8‑6) vs Braves (9‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Rangers (7‑6) vs Dodgers (10‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Royals (6‑8) vs White Sox (5‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Giants (6‑8) vs Orioles (6‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (4‑9) vs Cardinals (8‑5) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Giants (6‑8) vs Orioles (6‑7) |
1 | Giants Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Mets (7‑7) vs Athletics (6‑7) |
1 | Mets Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Royals (6‑8) vs White Sox (5‑9) |
1 | Royals Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Marlins (8‑6) vs Tigers (5‑9) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Astros (6‑8) vs Mariners (5‑9) |
1 | Astros Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Twins (7‑7) vs Blue Jays (6‑7) |
0 | Twins Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Dodgers (10‑3) vs Rangers (7‑6) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Reds (8‑6) vs Angels (7‑7) |
0 | Reds Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Angels Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% | ||
| Rays (6‑7) vs Yankees (8‑5) |
0 | Rays Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Braves (9‑5) vs Guardians (8‑6) |
0 | Braves Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% | ||