The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (18‑17) vs Twins (14‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rangers (16‑18) vs Mariners (20‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Angels (13‑19) vs Tigers (21‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Orioles (13‑19) vs Royals (18‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Rays (15‑18) vs Yankees (19‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Astros (17‑15) vs White Sox (9‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays (16‑17) vs Guardians (19‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Marlins (13‑19) vs Athletics (18‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (18‑17) vs Twins (14‑20) |
5 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Twins Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rangers (16‑18) vs Mariners (20‑12) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Angels (13‑19) vs Tigers (21‑13) |
1 | Angels Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Orioles (13‑19) vs Royals (18‑16) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Royals Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Rays (15‑18) vs Yankees (19‑14) |
1 | Rays Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Astros (17‑15) vs White Sox (9‑24) |
1 | Astros Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays (16‑17) vs Guardians (19‑14) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Marlins (13‑19) vs Athletics (18‑16) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 61% | ||