The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (60‑51) vs White Sox (59‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
30 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 1% | <1% | 30% | 42% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 1% | <1% | 18% | 38% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Rockies (45‑67) vs Rays (65‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 37% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 43% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Cardinals (55‑57) vs Yankees (63‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 1% | <1% | 30% | 35% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 45% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Mets (47‑66) vs Guardians (57‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 43% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 40% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Blue Jays (52‑60) vs Astros (58‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Royals (46‑67) vs Twins (56‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 40% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Angels (43‑69) vs Orioles (54‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Tigers (54‑58) vs Mariners (55‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Reds (53‑58) vs Athletics (45‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 41% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (60‑51) vs White Sox (59‑52) |
11 | Red Sox Wins | 10% | 1% | <1% | 27% | 41% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 7% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 41% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Rockies (45‑67) vs Rays (65‑46) |
3 | Rockies Wins | 10% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 40% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Rays Wins | 8% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 42% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Cardinals (55‑57) vs Yankees (63‑49) |
3 | Cardinals Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 27% | 39% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 8% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 43% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Mets (47‑66) vs Guardians (57‑56) |
1 | Mets Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Astros (58‑55) vs Blue Jays (52‑60) |
1 | Astros Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 8% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) |
1 | Giants Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Angels (43‑69) vs Orioles (54‑58) |
1 | Angels Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Mariners (55‑58) vs Tigers (54‑58) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Royals (46‑67) vs Twins (56‑57) |
0 | Royals Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Twins Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Athletics (45‑67) vs Reds (53‑58) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Reds Wins | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 41% | 12% | 12% | ||