PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jun 23 3:30 am

MLB - Week 15 of 28

Red Sox What If?

The Red Sox What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Sox play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Red Sox What If?

Next Game - Angels (37‑40)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 41 39 1% 3% 4% 8% 10% 10% 64%
Current Standings 40 39 1% 3% 3% 7% 9% 10% 66%
Lose Next Game 40 40 1% 2% 3% 7% 9% 10% 69%


Current Series - Angels (37‑40) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Red Sox Sweeps 43 39 1% 4% 4% 10% 11% 12% 58%
Current Standings 40 39 1% 3% 3% 7% 9% 10% 66%
Angels Sweeps 40 42 <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 74%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
83 of 83 100% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 83 96% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 83 84% 110 52 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 83 82% 108 54 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 83 81% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 83 80% 106 56 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 83 78% 105 57 87% 13% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 83 77% 104 58 82% 17% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 83 76% 103 59 76% 22% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 83 75% 102 60 70% 27% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 83 73% 101 61 63% 32% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 83 72% 100 62 54% 37% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 83 71% 99 63 45% 41% 4% 10% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 83 70% 98 64 37% 45% 5% 14% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 83 69% 97 65 29% 44% 8% 19% 1% <1% <1%
56 of 83 67% 96 66 20% 43% 11% 24% 1% <1% <1%
55 of 83 66% 95 67 13% 39% 13% 31% 3% <1% <1%
54 of 83 65% 94 68 8% 33% 16% 36% 6% <1% <1%
53 of 83 64% 93 69 4% 26% 18% 40% 10% 1% <1%
52 of 83 63% 92 70 2% 18% 19% 42% 16% 2% <1%
51 of 83 61% 91 71 1% 13% 17% 40% 24% 4% <1%
50 of 83 60% 90 72 <1% 7% 16% 34% 32% 9% 1%
49 of 83 59% 89 73 <1% 4% 13% 27% 37% 17% 4%
48 of 83 58% 88 74 <1% 2% 9% 19% 38% 24% 8%
47 of 83 57% 87 75 <1% 1% 6% 12% 33% 31% 16%
46 of 83 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 6% 25% 35% 30%
45 of 83 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 3% 17% 33% 46%
44 of 83 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 26% 63%
43 of 83 52% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 78%
42 of 83 51% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 90%
41 of 83 49% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
40 of 83 48% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
30 of 83 36% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 83 24% 60 102 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 83 12% 50 112 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 83 0% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs