The Most Important Games for the Royals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Royals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Royals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Royals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Royals (31‑45) vs Cardinals (40‑33) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Astros (35‑41) vs Guardians (40‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (38‑36) vs Twins (36‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Padres (38‑35) vs Rangers (35‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Nationals (39‑36) vs Rays (41‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Tigers (30‑44) vs White Sox (39‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Angels (30‑46) vs Athletics (37‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Mariners (39‑37) vs Red Sox (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Cubs (39‑36) vs Blue Jays (37‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Yankees (45‑28) vs Reds (35‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Dodgers (48‑27) vs Orioles (35‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Royals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Royals (31‑45) vs Cardinals (40‑33) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (38‑36) vs Twins (36‑40) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Red Sox (29‑43) vs Mariners (39‑37) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Angels (30‑46) vs Athletics (37‑38) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Orioles (35‑41) vs Dodgers (48‑27) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Nationals (39‑36) vs Rays (41‑30) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Padres (38‑35) vs Rangers (35‑39) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Astros (35‑41) vs Guardians (40‑35) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Reds (35‑38) vs Yankees (45‑28) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Cubs (39‑36) vs Blue Jays (37‑38) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| White Sox (39‑34) vs Tigers (30‑44) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||