The Most Important Games for the Royals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Royals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Royals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Royals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers (48‑47) vs Astros (47‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rays (56‑37) vs Mariners (47‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Yankees (53‑42) vs Nationals (48‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Angels (38‑58) vs Twins (47‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics (41‑54) vs White Sox (49‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays (45‑50) vs Padres (47‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Royals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers (48‑47) vs Astros (47‑50) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rays (56‑37) vs Mariners (47‑49) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Yankees (53‑42) vs Nationals (48‑48) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Angels (38‑58) vs Twins (47‑49) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics (41‑54) vs White Sox (49‑45) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays (45‑50) vs Padres (47‑48) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||