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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Royals What If?

The Royals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Royals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Royals What If?

Next Game - Yankees (31‑22)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 31 <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 86%
Current Standings 22 31 <1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 87%
Lose Next Game 22 32 <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 89%


Current Series - Yankees (31‑22) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Royals Sweeps 25 31 <1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 7% 84%
Current Standings 22 31 <1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 87%
Yankees Sweeps 22 34 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 91%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 109 83% 113 49 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 109 83% 112 50 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 109 82% 111 51 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 109 81% 110 52 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 109 80% 109 53 81% 18% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 109 79% 108 54 77% 22% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 109 78% 107 55 74% 25% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 109 77% 106 56 67% 30% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 109 76% 105 57 62% 35% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 109 75% 104 58 56% 39% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 109 74% 103 59 51% 42% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 102 60 44% 47% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 101 61 37% 50% 1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 100 62 33% 51% 1% 14% 1% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 99 63 26% 54% 2% 16% 1% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 98 64 21% 54% 2% 20% 2% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 97 65 15% 53% 4% 23% 4% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 96 66 13% 51% 5% 26% 5% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 95 67 9% 48% 7% 27% 8% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 94 68 5% 44% 8% 30% 12% 1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 93 69 4% 37% 11% 31% 16% 1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 92 70 2% 33% 12% 30% 21% 2% <1%
69 of 109 63% 91 71 1% 26% 13% 28% 28% 4% <1%
68 of 109 62% 90 72 1% 19% 13% 27% 33% 7% 1%
67 of 109 61% 89 73 <1% 14% 13% 23% 36% 12% 2%
66 of 109 61% 88 74 <1% 10% 12% 18% 38% 17% 3%
65 of 109 60% 87 75 <1% 6% 11% 14% 39% 23% 6%
64 of 109 59% 86 76 <1% 4% 9% 10% 36% 30% 11%
63 of 109 58% 85 77 <1% 2% 8% 6% 30% 35% 19%
62 of 109 57% 84 78 <1% 1% 5% 4% 24% 37% 29%
61 of 109 56% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% 2% 17% 35% 42%
60 of 109 55% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% 1% 10% 30% 56%
59 of 109 54% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 7% 23% 69%
58 of 109 53% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
57 of 109 52% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
56 of 109 51% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
50 of 109 46% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 109 37% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 52 110 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 109 9% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs