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Sun Jul 12 12:45 am

MLB - Week 16 of 27

Royals What If?

The Royals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Royals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Royals What If?

Next Game - Orioles (45‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 38 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Orioles (45‑51) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Royals Sweeps 39 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 38 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Orioles Sweeps 38 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 104 58 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 66 98% 103 59 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 66 97% 102 60 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 66 95% 101 61 77% 23% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 66 94% 100 62 70% 30% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 66 92% 99 63 63% 37% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 66 91% 98 64 55% 45% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 66 89% 97 65 46% 54% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 66 88% 96 66 38% 61% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 66 86% 95 67 30% 68% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 66 85% 94 68 21% 74% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 66 83% 93 69 15% 77% 2% 5% 1% <1% <1%
54 of 66 82% 92 70 10% 78% 3% 7% 2% <1% <1%
53 of 66 80% 91 71 6% 74% 5% 9% 5% <1% <1%
52 of 66 79% 90 72 3% 68% 8% 12% 9% <1% <1%
51 of 66 77% 89 73 2% 58% 11% 13% 15% 1% <1%
50 of 66 76% 88 74 <1% 46% 15% 13% 23% 3% <1%
49 of 66 74% 87 75 <1% 34% 16% 13% 29% 8% <1%
48 of 66 73% 86 76 <1% 22% 16% 11% 36% 14% 1%
47 of 66 71% 85 77 <1% 14% 15% 7% 38% 23% 4%
46 of 66 70% 84 78 <1% 7% 12% 4% 34% 32% 11%
45 of 66 68% 83 79 <1% 3% 9% 2% 25% 37% 24%
44 of 66 67% 82 80 <1% 1% 5% 1% 15% 36% 42%
43 of 66 65% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 8% 26% 63%
42 of 66 64% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 15% 82%
41 of 66 62% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 66 61% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
30 of 66 45% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 66 30% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 66 15% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 66 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs