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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Royals What If?

The Royals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Royals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Royals What If?

Next Game - Marlins (44‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 48 50 <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 86%
Current Standings 47 50 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 88%
Lose Next Game 47 51 <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 89%


Current Series - Marlins (44‑51) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Royals Sweeps 50 50 <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 8% 82%
Current Standings 47 50 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 88%
Marlins Sweeps 47 53 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 92%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
65 of 65 100% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
60 of 65 92% 107 55 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 65 86% 103 59 94% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 65 85% 102 60 90% 5% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 65 83% 101 61 85% 7% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 65 82% 100 62 76% 11% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 65 80% 99 63 66% 15% <1% 18% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 65 78% 98 64 55% 19% 1% 24% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 65 77% 97 65 43% 23% 2% 32% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 65 75% 96 66 31% 24% 4% 41% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 65 74% 95 67 21% 23% 6% 49% 1% <1% <1%
47 of 65 72% 94 68 12% 22% 8% 54% 3% <1% <1%
46 of 65 71% 93 69 6% 17% 10% 60% 7% <1% <1%
45 of 65 69% 92 70 3% 13% 11% 60% 13% 1% <1%
44 of 65 68% 91 71 1% 8% 10% 56% 22% 3% <1%
43 of 65 66% 90 72 <1% 4% 9% 48% 31% 7% 1%
42 of 65 65% 89 73 <1% 2% 7% 37% 38% 14% 2%
41 of 65 63% 88 74 <1% 1% 5% 23% 40% 25% 7%
40 of 65 62% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 11% 34% 34% 17%
39 of 65 60% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 5% 24% 36% 33%
38 of 65 58% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13% 30% 54%
37 of 65 57% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 73%
36 of 65 55% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 87%
35 of 65 54% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
30 of 65 46% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 65 31% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 65 15% 57 105 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 65 0% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs