The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (47‑49) vs Angels (38‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
10 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 66% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Athletics (41‑54) vs White Sox (49‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Padres (47‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Yankees (53‑42) vs Nationals (48‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Mariners (47‑49) vs Rays (56‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Rangers (48‑47) vs Astros (47‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (47‑49) vs Angels (38‑58) |
10 | Twins Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 66% | ||
| Marlins (52‑44) vs Guardians (50‑46) |
3 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Athletics (41‑54) vs White Sox (49‑45) |
3 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Padres (47‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑50) |
1 | Padres Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Yankees (53‑42) vs Nationals (48‑48) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Royals (38‑58) vs Orioles (45‑51) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Mets (40‑56) vs Red Sox (45‑48) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Phillies (53‑43) vs Tigers (44‑51) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Mariners (47‑49) vs Rays (56‑37) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Rangers (48‑47) vs Astros (47‑50) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||