The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (56‑57) vs Royals (46‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
33 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 82% | ||
| Mets (47‑66) vs Guardians (57‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
9 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Red Sox (60‑51) vs White Sox (59‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 8% | 5% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 71% | ||
| Angels (43‑69) vs Orioles (54‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 73% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Reds (53‑58) vs Athletics (45‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 73% | ||
| Mariners (55‑58) vs Tigers (54‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Cardinals (55‑57) vs Yankees (63‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Rays (65‑46) vs Rockies (45‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Blue Jays (52‑60) vs Astros (58‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 8% | 3% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (56‑57) vs Royals (46‑67) |
11 | Twins Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 5% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 75% | ||
| Mets (47‑66) vs Guardians (57‑56) |
4 | Mets Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 73% | ||
| Red Sox (60‑51) vs White Sox (59‑52) |
3 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Rays (65‑46) vs Rockies (45‑67) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Blue Jays (52‑60) vs Astros (58‑55) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 71% | ||
| Yankees (63‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑57) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 72% | ||
| Orioles (54‑58) vs Angels (43‑69) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Athletics (45‑67) vs Reds (53‑58) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Mariners (55‑58) vs Tigers (54‑58) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Giants (47‑65) vs Rangers (55‑57) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 72% | ||