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Sun May 4 3:30 am

MLB - Week 7 of 28

Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Twins What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (18‑17)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 15 20 1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 6% 81%
Current Standings 14 20 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 82%
Lose Next Game 14 21 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 82%


Current Series - Red Sox (18‑17) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Twins Sweeps 15 20 1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 6% 81%
Current Standings 14 20 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 82%
Red Sox Sweeps 14 21 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 82%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
128 of 128 100% 142 20 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 128 94% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
110 of 128 86% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 128 78% 114 48 98% 2% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 128 77% 112 50 95% 4% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 128 76% 111 51 92% 5% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 128 75% 110 52 89% 6% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 128 74% 109 53 85% 9% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 128 73% 108 54 81% 11% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 128 73% 107 55 76% 14% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 128 72% 106 56 69% 17% 1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 128 71% 105 57 62% 21% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 128 70% 104 58 55% 23% 2% 20% 1% <1% <1%
89 of 128 70% 103 59 46% 26% 2% 23% 1% <1% <1%
88 of 128 69% 102 60 40% 28% 4% 26% 2% <1% <1%
87 of 128 68% 101 61 32% 29% 5% 31% 3% <1% <1%
86 of 128 67% 100 62 25% 29% 6% 35% 5% <1% <1%
85 of 128 66% 99 63 19% 29% 8% 36% 7% <1% <1%
84 of 128 66% 98 64 14% 26% 9% 39% 10% 1% <1%
83 of 128 65% 97 65 10% 25% 11% 40% 14% 2% <1%
82 of 128 64% 96 66 7% 21% 12% 39% 18% 3% <1%
81 of 128 63% 95 67 4% 18% 13% 37% 23% 5% <1%
80 of 128 63% 94 68 3% 15% 14% 35% 27% 7% 1%
79 of 128 62% 93 69 1% 11% 14% 31% 31% 11% 2%
78 of 128 61% 92 70 1% 8% 14% 27% 33% 15% 3%
77 of 128 60% 91 71 <1% 6% 13% 21% 34% 20% 6%
76 of 128 59% 90 72 <1% 4% 12% 17% 34% 24% 9%
75 of 128 59% 89 73 <1% 3% 11% 12% 31% 28% 15%
74 of 128 58% 88 74 <1% 2% 9% 8% 28% 32% 21%
73 of 128 57% 87 75 <1% 1% 9% 5% 22% 32% 31%
72 of 128 56% 86 76 <1% 1% 7% 3% 18% 31% 41%
71 of 128 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% 2% 12% 28% 52%
70 of 128 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% 1% 8% 24% 63%
69 of 128 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 19% 73%
68 of 128 53% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 13% 82%
67 of 128 52% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 8% 88%
66 of 128 52% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
60 of 128 47% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 128 39% 64 98 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 128 31% 54 108 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 128 23% 44 118 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 128 16% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 128 8% 24 138 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 128 0% 14 148 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs