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Tue Jun 9 7:15 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Twins What If?

Next Game - Tigers (27‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 37 <1% 2% 3% 1% 5% 7% 82%
Current Standings 30 37 <1% 2% 3% 1% 4% 6% 84%
Lose Next Game 30 38 <1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 6% 86%


Current Series - Tigers (27‑39) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Twins Sweeps 33 37 <1% 2% 4% 2% 5% 8% 79%
Current Standings 30 37 <1% 2% 3% 1% 4% 6% 84%
Tigers Sweeps 30 40 <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 5% 89%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
95 of 95 100% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 95 95% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 95 84% 110 52 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 95 82% 108 54 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 95 81% 107 55 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 95 80% 106 56 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 95 79% 105 57 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 95 78% 104 58 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 95 77% 103 59 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 95 76% 102 60 74% 26% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 95 75% 101 61 67% 31% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 95 74% 100 62 62% 36% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 95 73% 99 63 54% 42% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 95 72% 98 64 47% 47% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 95 71% 97 65 39% 52% 2% 7% 1% <1% <1%
66 of 95 69% 96 66 32% 55% 3% 9% 1% <1% <1%
65 of 95 68% 95 67 24% 58% 4% 12% 2% <1% <1%
64 of 95 67% 94 68 18% 56% 7% 15% 4% <1% <1%
63 of 95 66% 93 69 13% 53% 10% 18% 6% <1% <1%
62 of 95 65% 92 70 8% 48% 13% 20% 9% 1% <1%
61 of 95 64% 91 71 4% 42% 15% 23% 14% 1% <1%
60 of 95 63% 90 72 3% 34% 18% 22% 20% 3% <1%
59 of 95 62% 89 73 1% 26% 20% 22% 26% 5% <1%
58 of 95 61% 88 74 <1% 19% 20% 18% 31% 10% 1%
57 of 95 60% 87 75 <1% 13% 20% 15% 35% 15% 3%
56 of 95 59% 86 76 <1% 8% 18% 11% 35% 23% 6%
55 of 95 58% 85 77 <1% 4% 16% 7% 32% 30% 12%
54 of 95 57% 84 78 <1% 2% 12% 4% 26% 34% 22%
53 of 95 56% 83 79 <1% 1% 9% 2% 18% 35% 35%
52 of 95 55% 82 80 <1% 1% 7% 1% 11% 30% 51%
51 of 95 54% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 6% 22% 67%
50 of 95 53% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 15% 80%
49 of 95 52% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 89%
48 of 95 51% 78 84 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
40 of 95 42% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 95 32% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 95 21% 50 112 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 95 11% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 95 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs