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Sun Jul 5 1:45 am

MLB - Week 15 of 27

Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Twins What If?

Next Game - Yankees (49‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 44 47 <1% 5% 4% 4% 9% 11% 65%
Current Standings 43 47 <1% 4% 4% 3% 9% 10% 69%
Lose Next Game 43 48 <1% 4% 4% 3% 8% 10% 71%


Current Series - Yankees (49‑39) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Twins Sweeps 44 47 <1% 5% 4% 4% 9% 11% 65%
Current Standings 43 47 <1% 4% 4% 3% 9% 10% 69%
Yankees Sweeps 43 48 <1% 4% 4% 3% 8% 10% 71%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
72 of 72 100% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 72 97% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
63 of 72 88% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 72 86% 105 57 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 72 85% 104 58 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 72 83% 103 59 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 72 82% 102 60 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 72 81% 101 61 75% 25% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 72 79% 100 62 70% 30% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 72 78% 99 63 63% 37% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 72 76% 98 64 56% 44% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 72 75% 97 65 50% 49% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 72 74% 96 66 42% 57% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 72 72% 95 67 33% 63% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 72 71% 94 68 27% 66% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 72 69% 93 69 20% 69% 3% 8% 1% <1% <1%
49 of 72 68% 92 70 13% 70% 4% 11% 2% <1% <1%
48 of 72 67% 91 71 8% 65% 8% 15% 4% <1% <1%
47 of 72 65% 90 72 5% 58% 11% 19% 7% <1% <1%
46 of 72 64% 89 73 2% 50% 13% 22% 12% 1% <1%
45 of 72 63% 88 74 1% 37% 17% 23% 19% 3% <1%
44 of 72 61% 87 75 <1% 26% 18% 23% 27% 6% <1%
43 of 72 60% 86 76 <1% 17% 18% 18% 34% 11% 1%
42 of 72 58% 85 77 <1% 9% 16% 14% 37% 19% 4%
41 of 72 57% 84 78 <1% 5% 13% 9% 35% 28% 9%
40 of 72 56% 83 79 <1% 2% 10% 4% 28% 36% 20%
39 of 72 54% 82 80 <1% 1% 7% 2% 18% 36% 36%
38 of 72 53% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% 1% 10% 30% 55%
37 of 72 51% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% 4% 20% 74%
36 of 72 50% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
35 of 72 49% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
30 of 72 42% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 72 28% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 72 14% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 72 0% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs