The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (14‑9) vs Kings (5‑17) |
40 | Heat Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Kings Wins | 6% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Warriors (11‑12) vs Cavaliers (14‑10) |
7 | Warriors Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Lakers (16‑6) vs Sixers (14‑8) |
7 | Lakers Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Pistons (18‑5) vs Bucks (10‑14) |
3 | Pistons Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Nets (5‑17) vs Pelicans (3‑20) |
2 | Nets Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Celtics (14‑9) vs Raptors (15‑9) |
2 | Celtics Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Raptors Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Knicks (15‑7) vs Magic (13‑10) |
2 | Knicks Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Magic Wins | 8% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Wizards (3‑18) vs Hawks (13‑11) |
1 | Wizards Wins | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Hornets (7‑16) vs Nuggets (16‑6) |
1 | Hornets Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Nuggets Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||