The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |||
| Sixers (2‑12) vs Nets (6‑9) |
9 | Sixers Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Nets Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Wizards (2‑11) vs Celtics (12‑3) |
8 | Wizards Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Celtics Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (8‑6) vs Raptors (3‑12) |
5 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Raptors Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Bulls (6‑10) vs Hawks (7‑9) |
5 | Bulls Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Hornets (5‑9) vs Pistons (7‑9) |
5 | Hornets Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Pistons Wins | 1% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Lakers (10‑4) vs Magic (9‑7) |
2 | Lakers Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Magic Wins | 1% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Pacers (6‑9) vs Bucks (6‑9) |
2 | Pacers Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 29% | ||