Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 80 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 9i Pistons Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 05 vs Jazz 114-103 Won Fri, Nov 07 @ Nets 125-107 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Sixers 111-108 Won Mon, Nov 10 vs Wizards 137-135 Wed, Nov 12 vs Bulls Fri, Nov 14 vs Sixers Mon, Nov 17 vs Pacers Tue, Nov 18 @ Hawks |
2 | 11 | 25% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Heat | 7 Heat Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 05 @ Nuggets 112-122 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs Hornets 126-108 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Trail Blazers 136-131 Won Mon, Nov 10 vs Cavs 140-138 Wed, Nov 12 vs Cavs Fri, Nov 14 @ Knicks Mon, Nov 17 vs Knicks Wed, Nov 19 vs Warriors |
4 | 11 | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 16% |
| Cavaliers | 7 Cavaliers Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 05 vs Sixers 132-121 Won Fri, Nov 07 @ Wizards 148-114 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Bulls 128-122 Lost Mon, Nov 10 @ Heat 138-140 Wed, Nov 12 @ Heat Thu, Nov 13 vs Raptors Sat, Nov 15 vs Grizzlies Mon, Nov 17 vs Bucks |
4 | 11 | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% |
| Bucks | 7 Bucks Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 04 @ Raptors 100-128 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs Bulls 126-110 Lost Sun, Nov 09 vs Rockets 115-122 Won Mon, Nov 10 @ Mavericks 116-114 Wed, Nov 12 @ Hornets Fri, Nov 14 vs Hornets Sat, Nov 15 vs Lakers Mon, Nov 17 @ Cavs |
4 | 11 | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Knicks | 6 Knicks Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Bulls 128-116 Won Mon, Nov 03 vs Wizards 119-102 Won Wed, Nov 05 vs T. Wolves 137-114 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Nets 134-98 Tue, Nov 11 vs Grizzlies Wed, Nov 12 vs Magic Fri, Nov 14 vs Heat Mon, Nov 17 @ Heat |
3 | 9 | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 17% |
| Bulls | 6 Bulls Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 04 vs Sixers 113-111 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Bucks 110-126 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Cavs 122-128 Lost Mon, Nov 10 vs Spurs 117-121 Wed, Nov 12 @ Pistons Sun, Nov 16 @ Jazz Mon, Nov 17 @ Nuggets Wed, Nov 19 @ Trail Blazers |
4 | 10 | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Sixers | 6 Sixers Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 04 @ Bulls 111-113 Lost Wed, Nov 05 @ Cavs 121-132 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Raptors 130-120 Lost Sun, Nov 09 vs Pistons 108-111 Tue, Nov 11 vs Celtics Fri, Nov 14 @ Pistons Mon, Nov 17 vs Clippers Wed, Nov 19 vs Raptors |
4 | 10 | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 23% |
| Hawks | 6 Hawks Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 04 vs Magic 127-112 Lost Fri, Nov 07 vs Raptors 97-109 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Lakers 122-102 Won Mon, Nov 10 @ Clippers 105-102 Wed, Nov 12 @ Kings Thu, Nov 13 @ Jazz Sun, Nov 16 @ Suns Tue, Nov 18 vs Pistons |
5 | 11 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 25% |
| Raptors | 5 Raptors Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Grizzlies 117-104 Won Tue, Nov 04 vs Bucks 128-100 Won Fri, Nov 07 @ Hawks 109-97 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Sixers 120-130 Tue, Nov 11 @ Nets Thu, Nov 13 @ Cavs Sat, Nov 15 @ Pacers Mon, Nov 17 vs Hornets |
5 | 10 | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 27% |
| Celtics | 5 Celtics Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 03 vs Jazz 103-105 Won Wed, Nov 05 vs Wizards 136-107 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Magic 110-123 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Magic 111-107 Tue, Nov 11 @ Sixers Wed, Nov 12 vs Grizzlies Sun, Nov 16 vs Clippers Tue, Nov 18 @ Nets |
6 | 11 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 34% |
| Magic | 5 Magic Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 04 @ Hawks 112-127 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs Celtics 123-110 Lost Sun, Nov 09 vs Celtics 107-111 Won Mon, Nov 10 vs Trail Blazers 115-112 Wed, Nov 12 @ Knicks Fri, Nov 14 vs Nets Sun, Nov 16 @ Rockets Tue, Nov 18 vs Warriors |
6 | 11 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Hornets | 3 Hornets Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Jazz 126-103 Lost Tue, Nov 04 @ Pelicans 112-116 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Heat 108-126 Lost Mon, Nov 10 vs Lakers 111-121 Wed, Nov 12 vs Bucks Fri, Nov 14 @ Bucks Sat, Nov 15 vs Thunder Mon, Nov 17 @ Raptors |
7 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Nets | 1 Nets Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 03 vs T. Wolves 109-125 Won Wed, Nov 05 @ Pacers 112-103 Lost Fri, Nov 07 vs Pistons 107-125 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Knicks 98-134 Tue, Nov 11 vs Raptors Fri, Nov 14 @ Magic Sun, Nov 16 @ Wizards Tue, Nov 18 vs Celtics |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 69% |
| Pacers | 1 Pacers Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 03 vs Bucks 115-117 Lost Wed, Nov 05 vs Nets 103-112 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Nuggets 100-117 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Warriors 83-114 Tue, Nov 11 @ Jazz Thu, Nov 13 @ Suns Sat, Nov 15 vs Raptors Mon, Nov 17 @ Pistons |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Wizards | 1 Wizards Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 05 @ Celtics 107-136 Lost Fri, Nov 07 vs Cavs 114-148 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Mavericks 105-111 Lost Mon, Nov 10 @ Pistons 135-137 Wed, Nov 12 @ Rockets Sun, Nov 16 vs Nets Wed, Nov 19 @ T. Wolves Fri, Nov 21 @ Raptors |
10 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Record | Total | Home (41%) |
Away (30%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (1)Pistons | 9 | 2 | 8% | 3% | 5% |
| (3)Cavaliers | 7 | 4 | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| (4)Bucks | 7 | 4 | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| (6)Bulls | 6 | 4 | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| (5)Knicks | 6 | 3 | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| (8)Hawks | 6 | 5 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (7)Sixers | 6 | 4 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (9)Raptors | 5 | 5 | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| (10)Celtics | 5 | 6 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (11)Magic | 5 | 6 | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| (12)Hornets | 3 | 7 | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| (13)Nets | 1 | 9 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (14)Pacers | 1 | 9 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (15)Wizards | 1 | 10 | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 29% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (5‑6) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (4‑7) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Knicks (6‑3) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Hornets (3‑7) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Spurs (8‑2) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30, 8:30 pm |
| 2 | Lakers (8‑3) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2, 9:30 pm |
| 3 | Clippers (3‑7) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3, 10:30 pm |
| 3 | Nuggets (7‑2) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Hornets (3‑7) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (5‑5) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Cavaliers (7‑4) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Cavaliers (7‑4) |
Home | Wed Nov 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 4 | Knicks (6‑3) |
Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 5 | Knicks (6‑3) |
Home | Mon Nov 17, 7:30 pm | |
| 5 | Warriors (6‑5) |
Home | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 5 | Bulls (6‑4) |
Away | Fri Nov 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Sixers (6‑4) |
Away | Sun Nov 23, 1:00 pm | |
| 6 | Mavericks (3‑8) |
Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:30 pm | |
| 6 | Bucks (7‑4) |
Home | Wed Nov 26, 7:30 pm | |
| 6 | Pistons (9‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 7 | Clippers (3‑7) |
Home | Mon Dec 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 7 | Mavericks (3‑8) |
Away | Wed Dec 3, 8:30 pm | |
| 7 | Magic (5‑6) |
Away | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 7 | Kings (3‑7) |
Home | Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Nets (1‑9) |
Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm | |
| 9 | Celtics (5‑6) |
Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Knicks (6‑3) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Raptors (5‑5) |
Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Hawks (6‑5) |
Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | Pacers (1‑9) |
Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Nuggets (7‑2) |
Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm | |
| 11 | Pistons (9‑2) |
Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (7‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm | |
| 11 | Pelicans (2‑8) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm | |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (7‑4) |
Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Bulls (6‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Pacers (1‑9) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Thunder (10‑1) |
Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Suns (6‑5) |
Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Celtics (5‑6) |
Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Thunder (10‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Warriors (6‑5) |
Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Kings (3‑7) |
Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (5‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Jazz (3‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Suns (6‑5) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Magic (5‑6) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (6‑4) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (6‑4) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawks (6‑5) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Celtics (5‑6) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Wizards (1‑10) |
Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jazz (3‑7) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 17 | Pelicans (2‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Hawks (6‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 18 | Grizzlies (4‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Bucks (7‑4) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Sixers (6‑4) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (6‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (1‑9) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (1‑9) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Hornets (3‑7) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Pistons (9‑2) |
Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wizards (1‑10) |
Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (7‑4) |
Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (5‑6) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (3‑7) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (8‑3) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (6‑3) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (8‑2) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (7‑4) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (7‑4) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (1‑9) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (6‑4) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (5‑6) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (1‑10) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (5‑5) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (5‑5) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (1‑10) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (6‑5) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |