Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 30i Pistons Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 vs Bulls 108-93 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Clippers 92-98 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Suns 108-105 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Pacers 121-78 Mon, Jan 19 vs Celtics Wed, Jan 21 @ Pelicans Fri, Jan 23 vs Rockets Sun, Jan 25 vs Kings |
10 | 40 | 80% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Celtics | 26 Celtics Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Spurs 95-100 Lost Mon, Jan 12 @ Pacers 96-98 Won Thu, Jan 15 @ Heat 119-114 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Hawks 132-106 Mon, Jan 19 @ Pistons Wed, Jan 21 vs Pacers Fri, Jan 23 @ Nets Sat, Jan 24 @ Bulls |
15 | 41 | 12% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Knicks | 25 Knicks Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 11 @ Trail Blazers 123-114 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Kings 101-112 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Warriors 113-126 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Suns 99-106 Mon, Jan 19 vs Mavericks Wed, Jan 21 vs Nets Sat, Jan 24 @ Sixers Tue, Jan 27 vs Kings |
17 | 42 | 4% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Raptors | 25 Raptors Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 11 vs Sixers 116-115 Lost Mon, Jan 12 vs Sixers 102-115 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Pacers 115-101 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Clippers 117-121 Sun, Jan 18 @ Lakers Tue, Jan 20 @ Warriors Wed, Jan 21 @ Kings Fri, Jan 23 @ Trail Blazers |
18 | 43 | 1% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Cavaliers | 24 Cavaliers Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs T. Wolves 146-134 Lost Mon, Jan 12 vs Jazz 112-123 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Sixers 133-107 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ Sixers 117-115 Mon, Jan 19 vs Thunder Wed, Jan 21 @ Hornets Fri, Jan 23 vs Kings Sat, Jan 24 @ Magic |
19 | 43 | 1% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Magic | 23 Magic Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Sixers 91-103 Won Sun, Jan 11 vs Pelicans 128-118 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Grizzlies 118-111 Lost Sun, Jan 18 @ Grizzlies 109-126 Thu, Jan 22 vs Hornets Sat, Jan 24 vs Cavs Mon, Jan 26 @ Cavs Wed, Jan 28 @ Heat |
19 | 42 | 1% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Sixers | 22 Sixers Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ Raptors 115-116 Won Mon, Jan 12 @ Raptors 115-102 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Cavs 107-133 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Cavs 115-117 Mon, Jan 19 vs Pacers Tue, Jan 20 vs Suns Thu, Jan 22 vs Rockets Sat, Jan 24 vs Knicks |
18 | 40 | 1% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
| Heat | 22 Heat Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ Thunder 112-124 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Suns 127-121 Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs Celtics 114-119 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Thunder 122-120 Mon, Jan 19 @ Warriors Tue, Jan 20 @ Kings Thu, Jan 22 @ Trail Blazers Sat, Jan 24 @ Jazz |
20 | 42 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Bulls | 20 Bulls Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Rockets 113-119 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Jazz 128-126 Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ Nets 109-112 Won Sun, Jan 18 vs Nets 124-102 Tue, Jan 20 vs Clippers Thu, Jan 22 @ T. Wolves Sat, Jan 24 vs Celtics Mon, Jan 26 vs Lakers |
22 | 42 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 31% |
| Hawks | 20 Hawks Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 11 @ Warriors 124-111 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Lakers 116-141 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Trail Blazers 101-117 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Celtics 106-132 Mon, Jan 19 vs Bucks Wed, Jan 21 @ Grizzlies Fri, Jan 23 vs Suns Mon, Jan 26 vs Pacers |
24 | 44 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 16% |
| Bucks | 17 Bucks Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Lakers 105-101 Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ Nuggets 104-108 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs T. Wolves 106-139 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Spurs 101-119 Mon, Jan 19 @ Hawks Wed, Jan 21 vs Thunder Fri, Jan 23 vs Nuggets Sun, Jan 25 vs Mavericks |
24 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 55% |
| Hornets | 15 Hornets Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Jazz 150-95 Lost Mon, Jan 12 @ Clippers 109-117 Won Thu, Jan 15 @ Lakers 135-117 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Warriors 116-136 Sun, Jan 18 @ Nuggets Wed, Jan 21 vs Cavs Thu, Jan 22 @ Magic Sat, Jan 24 vs Wizards |
27 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| Nets | 12 Nets Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 12 @ Mavericks 105-113 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Pelicans 113-116 Won Fri, Jan 16 vs Bulls 112-109 Lost Sun, Jan 18 @ Bulls 102-124 Mon, Jan 19 vs Suns Wed, Jan 21 @ Knicks Fri, Jan 23 vs Celtics Sun, Jan 25 @ Clippers |
28 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Wizards | 10 Wizards Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ Suns 93-112 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Clippers 105-119 Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ Kings 115-128 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Nuggets 115-121 Mon, Jan 19 vs Clippers Thu, Jan 22 vs Nuggets Sat, Jan 24 @ Hornets Tue, Jan 27 vs Trail Blazers |
31 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Pacers | 10 Pacers Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 12 vs Celtics 98-96 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Raptors 101-115 Won Fri, Jan 16 vs Pelicans 127-119 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Pistons 78-121 Mon, Jan 19 @ Sixers Wed, Jan 21 @ Celtics Fri, Jan 23 @ Thunder Mon, Jan 26 @ Hawks |
33 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (27%) |
Away (50%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (2)Celtics | 26 | 15 | 13% | 2% | 11% |
| (3)Knicks | 25 | 17 | 12% | 4% | 8% |
| (1)Pistons | 30 | 10 | 11% | <1% | 11% |
| (4)Raptors | 25 | 18 | 10% | 4% | 6% |
| (5)Cavaliers | 24 | 19 | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| (6)Magic | 23 | 19 | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| (7)Sixers | 22 | 18 | 9% | 4% | 4% |
| (10)Hawks | 20 | 24 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (9)Bulls | 20 | 22 | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| (11)Bucks | 17 | 24 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (12)Hornets | 15 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Nets | 12 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Wizards | 10 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Pacers | 10 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 23% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (23‑19) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (18‑23) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24 |
| 1 | Knicks (25‑17) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26 |
| 2 | Hornets (15‑27) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28 |
| 2 | Spurs (29‑13) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30 |
| 2 | Lakers (24‑16) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2 |
| 3 | Clippers (18‑23) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 3 | Nuggets (29‑13) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5 |
| 3 | Hornets (15‑27) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (21‑22) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (24‑19) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (24‑19) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 4 | Knicks (25‑17) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 5 | Knicks (25‑17) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17 |
| 5 | Warriors (24‑19) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19 |
| 5 | Bulls (20‑22) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21 |
| 5 | Sixers (22‑18) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23 |
| 6 | Mavericks (17‑26) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (17‑24) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Pistons (30‑10) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 7 | Clippers (18‑23) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1 |
| 7 | Mavericks (17‑26) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3 |
| 7 | Magic (23‑19) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5 |
| 7 | Kings (12‑30) |
111‑127 | Home | Sat Dec 6 |
| 8 | Magic (23‑19) |
108‑117 | Away | Tue Dec 9 |
| 9 | Raptors (25‑18) |
96‑106 | Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Nets (12‑28) |
106‑95 | Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Celtics (26‑15) |
116‑129 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Knicks (25‑17) |
125‑132 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Raptors (25‑18) |
91‑112 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Hawks (20‑24) |
126‑111 | Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pacers (10‑33) |
142‑116 | Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Nuggets (29‑13) |
147‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Pistons (30‑10) |
118‑112 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (27‑16) |
115‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Pelicans (10‑35) |
125‑106 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (27‑16) |
94‑122 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Pacers (10‑33) |
99‑123 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Thunder (35‑8) |
112‑124 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Suns (25‑17) |
127‑121 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Celtics (26‑15) |
114‑119 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Thunder (35‑8) |
122‑120 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Warriors (24‑19) |
Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Kings (12‑30) |
Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (21‑22) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Jazz (14‑28) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Suns (25‑17) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Magic (23‑19) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (20‑22) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (20‑22) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawks (20‑24) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Celtics (26‑15) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Wizards (10‑31) |
Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jazz (14‑28) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 17 | Pelicans (10‑35) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Hawks (20‑24) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 18 | Grizzlies (18‑23) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Bucks (17‑24) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Sixers (22‑18) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (25‑15) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (12‑28) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (12‑28) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Hornets (15‑27) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Pistons (30‑10) |
Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wizards (10‑31) |
Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (17‑24) |
Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (23‑19) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (15‑27) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (24‑16) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (25‑15) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (29‑13) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (24‑19) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (24‑19) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (10‑33) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (22‑18) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (26‑15) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (10‑31) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (25‑18) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (25‑18) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (10‑31) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (20‑24) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm | |
| Postponed | Bulls (20‑22) |
Away | TBD |