Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 80 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 18i Pistons Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Heat 138-135 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Hawks 99-98 Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Bucks 109-113 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Trail Blazers 122-116 Sat, Dec 06 vs Bucks Thu, Dec 18 @ Mavericks Sat, Dec 20 vs Hornets Mon, Dec 22 @ Trail Blazers |
5 | 23 | 47% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Knicks | 15 Knicks Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Raptors 116-94 Lost Tue, Dec 02 @ Celtics 117-123 Won Wed, Dec 03 vs Hornets 119-104 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Jazz 146-112 Sun, Dec 07 vs Magic Thu, Dec 18 @ Pacers Fri, Dec 19 vs Sixers Sun, Dec 21 vs Heat |
7 | 22 | 13% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Raptors | 15 Raptors Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 30 @ Knicks 94-116 Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Trail Blazers 121-118 Lost Thu, Dec 04 vs Lakers 120-123 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Hornets 86-111 Sun, Dec 07 vs Celtics Thu, Dec 18 @ Bucks Sat, Dec 20 vs Celtics Sun, Dec 21 @ Nets |
9 | 24 | 8% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Sixers | 14 Sixers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Hawks 134-142 Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Wizards 121-102 Won Thu, Dec 04 vs Warriors 99-98 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Bucks 116-101 Sun, Dec 07 vs Lakers Fri, Dec 19 @ Knicks Sat, Dec 20 vs Mavericks Tue, Dec 23 vs Nets |
8 | 22 | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Celtics | 14 Celtics Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Cavs 117-115 Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Knicks 123-117 Won Thu, Dec 04 @ Wizards 146-101 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Lakers 126-105 Sun, Dec 07 @ Raptors Fri, Dec 19 vs Heat Sat, Dec 20 @ Raptors Mon, Dec 22 vs Pacers |
9 | 23 | 7% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Heat | 14 Heat Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 29 vs Pistons 135-138 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Clippers 140-123 Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Mavericks 108-118 Lost Fri, Dec 05 @ Magic 105-106 Sat, Dec 06 vs Kings Thu, Dec 18 @ Nets Fri, Dec 19 @ Celtics Sun, Dec 21 @ Knicks |
9 | 23 | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% |
| Cavaliers | 14 Cavaliers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Celtics 115-117 Won Mon, Dec 01 @ Pacers 135-119 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Trail Blazers 110-122 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Spurs 130-117 Sat, Dec 06 vs Warriors Wed, Dec 17 @ Bulls Fri, Dec 19 vs Bulls Mon, Dec 22 vs Hornets |
10 | 24 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| Magic | 13 Magic Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Pistons 112-109 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Bulls 125-120 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Spurs 112-114 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Heat 106-105 Sun, Dec 07 @ Knicks Thu, Dec 18 @ Nuggets Sat, Dec 20 @ Jazz Mon, Dec 22 @ Warriors |
10 | 23 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| Hawks | 13 Hawks Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Sixers 142-134 Lost Mon, Dec 01 @ Pistons 98-99 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Clippers 92-115 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Nuggets 133-134 Sat, Dec 06 @ Wizards Thu, Dec 18 @ Hornets Fri, Dec 19 vs Spurs Sun, Dec 21 vs Bulls |
11 | 24 | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 11% |
| Bucks | 10 Bucks Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 vs Nets 116-99 Lost Mon, Dec 01 @ Wizards 126-129 Won Wed, Dec 03 vs Pistons 113-109 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Sixers 101-116 Sat, Dec 06 @ Pistons Thu, Dec 18 vs Raptors Sun, Dec 21 @ T. Wolves Tue, Dec 23 @ Pacers |
14 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 48% |
| Bulls | 9 Bulls Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Pacers 101-103 Lost Mon, Dec 01 @ Magic 120-125 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Nets 103-113 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Pacers 105-120 Sun, Dec 07 vs Warriors Wed, Dec 17 vs Cavs Fri, Dec 19 @ Cavs Sun, Dec 21 @ Hawks |
13 | 22 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 49% |
| Hornets | 7 Hornets Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 vs Raptors 118-111 Lost Mon, Dec 01 @ Nets 103-116 Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Knicks 104-119 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Raptors 111-86 Sun, Dec 07 vs Nuggets Thu, Dec 18 vs Hawks Sat, Dec 20 @ Pistons Mon, Dec 22 @ Cavs |
16 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 76% |
| Nets | 5 Nets Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Bucks 99-116 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Hornets 116-103 Won Wed, Dec 03 @ Bulls 113-103 Lost Thu, Dec 04 vs Jazz 110-123 Sat, Dec 06 vs Pelicans Thu, Dec 18 vs Heat Sun, Dec 21 vs Raptors Tue, Dec 23 @ Sixers |
17 | 22 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Pacers | 5 Pacers Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 vs Bulls 103-101 Lost Mon, Dec 01 vs Cavs 119-135 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Nuggets 120-135 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Bulls 120-105 Mon, Dec 08 vs Kings Thu, Dec 18 vs Knicks Sat, Dec 20 @ Pelicans Mon, Dec 22 @ Celtics |
18 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Wizards | 3 Wizards Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Pacers 86-119 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Bucks 129-126 Lost Tue, Dec 02 @ Sixers 102-121 Lost Thu, Dec 04 vs Celtics 101-146 Sat, Dec 06 vs Hawks Wed, Dec 17 @ Spurs Sat, Dec 20 @ Grizzlies Sun, Dec 21 vs Spurs |
18 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Record | Total | Home (43%) |
Away (38%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (5)Celtics | 14 | 9 | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| (4)Sixers | 14 | 8 | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| (2)Knicks | 15 | 7 | 10% | 4% | 5% |
| (1)Pistons | 18 | 5 | 10% | 2% | 8% |
| (3)Raptors | 15 | 9 | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| (8)Magic | 13 | 10 | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| (7)Cavaliers | 14 | 10 | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| (9)Hawks | 13 | 11 | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| (11)Bulls | 9 | 13 | 3% | 3% | <1% |
| (10)Bucks | 10 | 14 | 3% | 3% | <1% |
| (12)Hornets | 7 | 16 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (13)Nets | 5 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Pacers | 5 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Wizards | 3 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 19% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (13‑10) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (10‑13) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Knicks (15‑7) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Hornets (7‑16) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Spurs (15‑7) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30, 8:30 pm |
| 2 | Lakers (16‑6) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2, 9:30 pm |
| 3 | Clippers (6‑17) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3, 10:30 pm |
| 3 | Nuggets (16‑6) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Hornets (7‑16) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (9‑14) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Cavaliers (14‑10) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Cavaliers (14‑10) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Knicks (15‑7) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Knicks (15‑7) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17, 7:30 pm |
| 5 | Warriors (11‑12) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19, 7:30 pm |
| 5 | Bulls (9‑13) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Sixers (14‑8) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Mavericks (8‑16) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | Bucks (10‑14) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | Pistons (18‑5) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Clippers (6‑17) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Mavericks (8‑16) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 8:30 pm |
| 7 | Magic (13‑10) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Kings (5‑17) |
Home | Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Nets (5‑17) |
Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm | |
| 9 | Celtics (14‑9) |
Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Knicks (15‑7) |
Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Raptors (15‑9) |
Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Hawks (13‑11) |
Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | Pacers (5‑18) |
Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Nuggets (16‑6) |
Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm | |
| 11 | Pistons (18‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (14‑8) |
Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm | |
| 11 | Pelicans (3‑20) |
Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm | |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (14‑8) |
Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Bulls (9‑13) |
Away | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Pacers (5‑18) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Thunder (22‑1) |
Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Suns (13‑10) |
Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Celtics (14‑9) |
Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Thunder (22‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Warriors (11‑12) |
Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Kings (5‑17) |
Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (9‑14) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Jazz (8‑14) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Suns (13‑10) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Magic (13‑10) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (9‑13) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bulls (9‑13) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawks (13‑11) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Celtics (14‑9) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Wizards (3‑18) |
Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jazz (8‑14) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 17 | Pelicans (3‑20) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Hawks (13‑11) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 18 | Grizzlies (10‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Bucks (10‑14) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Sixers (14‑8) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (15‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (5‑17) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (5‑17) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Hornets (7‑16) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Pistons (18‑5) |
Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wizards (3‑18) |
Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (10‑14) |
Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (13‑10) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (7‑16) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (16‑6) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (15‑5) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (15‑7) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (14‑10) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (14‑10) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (5‑18) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (14‑8) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (14‑9) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (3‑18) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (15‑9) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (15‑9) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (3‑18) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (13‑11) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |