PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 8 1:00 am

NBA - Week 16 of 25

Miami Heat Playoff Picture

Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eastern Conference Playoff Standings
Record Rcrd Conference Playoff Spots No
Playoffs
No
POs
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
82 game season
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
Pistons 38i
Pistons Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Nets          130-77 
Won  Tue, Feb 03 vs Nuggets       124-121
Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Wizards       117-126
Won  Fri, Feb 06 vs Knicks        118-80 
     Mon, Feb 09 @  Hornets       
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Raptors       
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Knicks        
     Sat, Feb 21 @  Bulls         

13 51 87% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Celtics 34
Celtics Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Bucks         107-79 
Won  Tue, Feb 03 @  Mavericks     110-100
Won  Wed, Feb 04 @  Rockets       114-93 
Won  Fri, Feb 06 vs Heat           98-96 
     Sun, Feb 08 vs Knicks        
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Bulls         
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Warriors      
     Sun, Feb 22 @  Lakers        

18 52 7% 44% 24% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Knicks 33
Knicks Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Lakers        112-100
Won  Tue, Feb 03 @  Wizards       132-101
Won  Wed, Feb 04 vs Nuggets       134-127
Lost Fri, Feb 06 @  Pistons        80-118
     Sun, Feb 08 @  Celtics       
     Tue, Feb 10 vs Pacers        
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Sixers        
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Pistons       

19 52 3% 27% 27% 19% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Cavaliers 32
Cavaliers Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 30 @  Suns          113-126
Won  Sun, Feb 01 @  Trail Blazers 130-111
Won  Wed, Feb 04 @  Clippers      124-91 
Won  Sat, Feb 07 @  Kings         132-126
     Mon, Feb 09 @  Nuggets       
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Wizards       
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Nets          
     Fri, Feb 20 @  Hornets       

21 53 2% 11% 21% 25% 18% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Raptors 31
Raptors Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 30 @  Magic         120-130
Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Jazz          107-100
Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs T. Wolves     126-128
Won  Thu, Feb 05 vs Bulls         123-107
     Sun, Feb 08 vs Pacers        
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Pistons       
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Bulls         
     Sun, Feb 22 @  Bucks         

22 53 1% 4% 11% 18% 22% 21% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Sixers 30
Sixers Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 02 @  Clippers      128-113
Won  Tue, Feb 03 @  Warriors      113-94 
Lost Thu, Feb 05 @  Lakers        115-119
Won  Sat, Feb 07 @  Suns          109-103
     Mon, Feb 09 @  Trail Blazers 
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Knicks        
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Hawks         
     Sat, Feb 21 @  Pelicans      

22 52 <1% 4% 9% 14% 20% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2% 1%
Magic 27
Magic Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 01 @  Spurs         103-112
Lost Tue, Feb 03 @  Thunder        92-128
Won  Thu, Feb 05 vs Nets          118-98 
Won  Sat, Feb 07 vs Jazz          120-117
     Mon, Feb 09 vs Bucks         
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Bucks         
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Kings         
     Sat, Feb 21 @  Suns          

24 51 <1% <1% 3% 6% 10% 15% 20% 18% 14% 9% 5%
Heat 27
Heat Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Bulls         118-125
Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Bulls         134-91 
Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Hawks         115-127
Lost Fri, Feb 06 @  Celtics        96-98 
     Sun, Feb 08 @  Wizards       
     Mon, Feb 09 vs Jazz          
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Pelicans      
     Fri, Feb 20 @  Hawks         

26 53 <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 12% 18% 23% 18% 11% 6%
Hawks 26
Hawks Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Pacers        124-129
Won  Tue, Feb 03 @  Heat          127-115
Won  Thu, Feb 05 vs Jazz          121-119
Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Hornets       119-126
     Mon, Feb 09 @  T. Wolves     
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Hornets       
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Sixers        
     Fri, Feb 20 vs Heat          

28 54 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 18% 22% 19% 17%
Hornets 25
Hornets Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Spurs         111-106
Won  Mon, Feb 02 vs Pelicans      102-95 
Won  Thu, Feb 05 @  Rockets       109-99 
Won  Sat, Feb 07 @  Hawks         126-119
     Mon, Feb 09 vs Pistons       
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Hawks         
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Rockets       
     Fri, Feb 20 vs Cavs          

28 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 20% 25% 31%
 
Bulls 24
Bulls Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 01 @  Heat           91-134
Lost Tue, Feb 03 @  Bucks         115-131
Lost Thu, Feb 05 @  Raptors       107-123
Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Nuggets       120-136
     Mon, Feb 09 @  Nets          
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Celtics       
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Raptors       
     Sat, Feb 21 vs Pistons       

29 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 19% 64%
Bucks 21
Bucks Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 01 @  Celtics        79-107
Won  Tue, Feb 03 vs Bulls         131-115
Won  Wed, Feb 04 vs Pelicans      141-137
Won  Fri, Feb 06 vs Pacers        105-99 
     Mon, Feb 09 @  Magic         
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Magic         
     Thu, Feb 12 @  Thunder       
     Fri, Feb 20 @  Pelicans      

29 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 77%
Nets 14
Nets Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 01 @  Pistons        77-130
Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Lakers        109-125
Lost Thu, Feb 05 @  Magic          98-118
Won  Sat, Feb 07 vs Wizards       127-113
     Mon, Feb 09 vs Bulls         
     Wed, Feb 11 vs Pacers        
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Cavs          
     Fri, Feb 20 @  Thunder       

37 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Wizards 14
Wizards Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Kings         116-112
Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Knicks        101-132
Won  Thu, Feb 05 @  Pistons       126-117
Lost Sat, Feb 07 @  Nets          113-127
     Sun, Feb 08 vs Heat          
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Cavs          
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Pacers        
     Fri, Feb 20 vs Pacers        

37 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Pacers 13
Pacers Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Hawks         129-124
Lost Mon, Feb 02 vs Rockets       114-118
Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Jazz          122-131
Lost Fri, Feb 06 @  Bucks          99-105
     Sun, Feb 08 @  Raptors       
     Tue, Feb 10 @  Knicks        
     Wed, Feb 11 @  Nets          
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Wizards       

39 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • ** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant


(8) Heat 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(6%)
Away
(57%)
Opponent W L
(1)Pistons 38 13 17% <1% 17%
(2)Celtics 34 18 15% <1% 14%
(3)Knicks 33 19 12% 1% 11%
(4)Cavaliers 32 21 9% 1% 7%
(5)Raptors 31 22 5% 1% 4%
(6)Sixers 30 22 4% 1% 2%
(7)Magic 27 24 1% <1% 1%
(9)Hawks 26 28 <1% <1% <1%
(10)Hornets 25 28 <1% <1% <1%
(11)Bulls 24 29 <1% <1% <1%
(12)Bucks 21 29 <1% <1% <1%
(13)Nets 14 37 <1% <1% <1%
(14)Wizards 14 37 <1% <1% <1%
(15)Pacers 13 39 <1% <1% <1%
Elimination 38%



Heat Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Magic
(27‑24)
121‑125 Away Wed Oct 22
1 Grizzlies
(20‑31)
146‑114 Away Fri Oct 24
1 Knicks
(33‑19)
115‑107 Home Sun Oct 26
2 Hornets
(25‑28)
144‑117 Home Tue Oct 28
2 Spurs
(36‑16)
101‑107 Away Thu Oct 30
2 Lakers
(32‑19)
120‑130 Away Sun Nov 2
3 Clippers
(24‑27)
120‑119 Away Mon Nov 3
3 Nuggets
(34‑19)
112‑122 Away Wed Nov 5
3 Hornets
(25‑28)
126‑108 Home Fri Nov 7
3 Trail Blazers
(25‑28)
136‑131 Home Sat Nov 8
4 Cavaliers
(32‑21)
140‑138 (OT) Home Mon Nov 10
4 Cavaliers
(32‑21)
116‑130 Home Wed Nov 12
4 Knicks
(33‑19)
132‑140 Away Fri Nov 14
5 Knicks
(33‑19)
115‑113 Home Mon Nov 17
5 Warriors
(28‑25)
110‑96 Home Wed Nov 19
5 Bulls
(24‑29)
143‑107 Away Fri Nov 21
5 Sixers
(30‑22)
127‑117 Away Sun Nov 23
6 Mavericks
(19‑33)
106‑102 Home Mon Nov 24
6 Bucks
(21‑29)
106‑103 Home Wed Nov 26
6 Pistons
(38‑13)
135‑138 Home Sat Nov 29
7 Clippers
(24‑27)
140‑123 Home Mon Dec 1
7 Mavericks
(19‑33)
108‑118 Away Wed Dec 3
7 Magic
(27‑24)
105‑106 Away Fri Dec 5
7 Kings
(12‑42)
111‑127 Home Sat Dec 6
8 Magic
(27‑24)
108‑117 Away Tue Dec 9
9 Raptors
(31‑22)
96‑106 Home Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm
9 Nets
(14‑37)
106‑95 Away Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm
9 Celtics
(34‑18)
116‑129 Away Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm
9 Knicks
(33‑19)
125‑132 Away Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm
10 Raptors
(31‑22)
91‑112 Home Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm
10 Hawks
(26‑28)
126‑111 Away Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm
10 Pacers
(13‑39)
142‑116 Home Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm
11 Nuggets
(34‑19)
147‑123 Home Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm
11 Pistons
(38‑13)
118‑112 Away Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm
11 TimberwolvesT. Wolves
(32‑21)
115‑125 Home Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm
11 Pelicans
(14‑40)
125‑106 Home Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm
12 TimberwolvesT. Wolves
(32‑21)
94‑122 Away Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm
12 Pacers
(13‑39)
99‑123 Away Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm
12 Thunder
(40‑13)
112‑124 Away Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm
13 Suns
(31‑22)
127‑121 Home Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm
13 Celtics
(34‑18)
114‑119 Home Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm
13 Thunder
(40‑13)
122‑120 Home Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm
14 Warriors
(28‑25)
112‑135 Away Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm
14 Kings
(12‑42)
130‑117 Away Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm
14 Trail Blazers
(25‑28)
110‑127 Away Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm
14 Jazz
(16‑37)
147‑116 Away Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm
14 Suns
(31‑22)
111‑102 Away Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm
15 Magic
(27‑24)
124‑133 Home Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm
15 Bulls
(24‑29)
116‑113 Away Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm
15 Bulls
(24‑29)
118‑125 Home Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm
15 Bulls
(24‑29)
134‑91 Home Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm
16 Hawks
(26‑28)
115‑127 Home Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm
16 Celtics
(34‑18)
96‑98 Away Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm
16 Wizards
(14‑37)
  Away Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm
17 Jazz
(16‑37)
  Home Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm
17 Pelicans
(14‑40)
  Away Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm
18 Hawks
(26‑28)
  Away Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm
18 Grizzlies
(20‑31)
  Home Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm
19 Bucks
(21‑29)
  Away Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm
19 Sixers
(30‑22)
  Away Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm
19 Rockets
(32‑19)
  Home Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm
20 Nets
(14‑37)
  Home Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm
20 Nets
(14‑37)
  Home Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm
20 Hornets
(25‑28)
  Away Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm
20 Pistons
(38‑13)
  Home Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm
21 Wizards
(14‑37)
  Home Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm
21 Bucks
(21‑29)
  Home Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm
21 Magic
(27‑24)
  Home Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm
22 Hornets
(25‑28)
  Away Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm
22 Lakers
(32‑19)
  Home Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm
22 Rockets
(32‑19)
  Away Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm
23 Spurs
(36‑16)
  Home Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm
23 Cavaliers
(32‑21)
  Away Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm
23 Cavaliers
(32‑21)
  Away Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm
23 Pacers
(13‑39)
  Away Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm
24 Sixers
(30‑22)
  Home Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm
24 Celtics
(34‑18)
  Home Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm
24 Wizards
(14‑37)
  Home Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm
25 Raptors
(31‑22)
  Away Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm
25 Raptors
(31‑22)
  Away Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm
25 Wizards
(14‑37)
  Away Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm
25 Hawks
(26‑28)
  Home Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm