Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Bills | East | 2i Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 vs Cards 34-28 Won Thu, Sep 12 @ Dolphins 31-10 Mon, Sep 23 vs Jaguars Sun, Sep 29 @ Ravens Sun, Oct 06 @ Texans Mon, Oct 14 @ Jets |
0 | 0 | 2 | 20% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 24% |
Chargers | West | 2 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 vs Raiders 22-10 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Panthers 26-3 Sun, Sep 22 @ Steelers Sun, Sep 29 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 13 @ Broncos Mon, Oct 21 @ Cards |
0 | 0 | 2 | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 31% |
Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 @ Colts 29-27 Won Sun, Sep 15 vs Bears 19-13 Sun, Sep 22 @ Vikings Sun, Sep 29 vs Jaguars Sun, Oct 06 vs Bills Sun, Oct 13 @ Pats |
0 | 0 | 2 | 17% | 16% | 16% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 23% |
Steelers | North | 2 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 @ Falcons 18-10 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Broncos 13-6 Sun, Sep 22 vs Chargers Sun, Sep 29 @ Colts Sun, Oct 06 vs Cowboys Sun, Oct 13 @ Raiders |
0 | 0 | 2 | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% |
Chiefs | West | 2 Chiefs Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 05 vs Ravens 27-20 Won Sun, Sep 15 vs Bengals 26-25 Sun, Sep 22 @ Falcons Sun, Sep 29 @ Chargers Mon, Oct 07 vs Saints Sun, Oct 20 @ 49'ers |
0 | 0 | 2 | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 42% |
Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 vs Cowboys 17-33 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Jaguars 18-13 Sun, Sep 22 vs Giants Sun, Sep 29 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 06 @ Commanders Sun, Oct 13 @ Eagles |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
Jets | East | 1 Jets Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 09 @ 49'ers 19-32 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Titans 24-17 Thu, Sep 19 vs Pats Sun, Sep 29 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 06 @ Vikings Mon, Oct 14 vs Bills |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
Patriots | East | 1 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 @ Bengals 16-10 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Seahawks 20-23 Thu, Sep 19 @ Jets Sun, Sep 29 @ 49'ers Sun, Oct 06 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 13 vs Texans |
1 | 0 | 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 55% |
Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Chargers 10-22 Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Ravens 26-23 Sun, Sep 22 vs Panthers Sun, Sep 29 vs Browns Sun, Oct 06 @ Broncos Sun, Oct 13 vs Steelers |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 54% |
Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 08 vs Jaguars 20-17 Lost Thu, Sep 12 vs Bills 10-31 Sun, Sep 22 @ Seahawks Mon, Sep 30 vs Titans Sun, Oct 06 @ Pats Sun, Oct 20 @ Colts |
1 | 0 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 58% |
Broncos | West | 0 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Seahawks 20-26 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Steelers 6-13 Sun, Sep 22 @ Bucs Sun, Sep 29 @ Jets Sun, Oct 06 vs Raiders Sun, Oct 13 vs Chargers |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
Jaguars | South | 0 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Dolphins 17-20 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Browns 13-18 Mon, Sep 23 @ Bills Sun, Sep 29 @ Texans Sun, Oct 06 vs Colts Sun, Oct 13 @ Bears |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 80% |
Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 @ Bears 17-24 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Jets 17-24 Sun, Sep 22 vs Packers Mon, Sep 30 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 13 vs Colts Sun, Oct 20 @ Bills |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 80% |
Colts | South | 0 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 vs Texans 27-29 Lost Sun, Sep 15 @ Packers 10-16 Sun, Sep 22 vs Bears Sun, Sep 29 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 06 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 13 @ Titans |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 76% |
Bengals | North | 0 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 08 vs Pats 10-16 Lost Sun, Sep 15 @ Chiefs 25-26 Mon, Sep 23 vs Commanders Sun, Sep 29 @ Panthers Sun, Oct 06 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 13 @ Giants |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% |
Ravens | North | 0 Ravens Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 05 @ Chiefs 20-27 Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Raiders 23-26 Sun, Sep 22 @ Cowboys Sun, Sep 29 vs Bills Sun, Oct 06 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 13 vs Commanders |
2 | 0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 82% |