Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 5i Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Dolphins 24-10 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Raiders 30-27 Won Sun, Oct 18 vs Chargers 22-6 Lost Sun, Oct 25 @ Seahawks 3-20 Sun, Nov 01 @ Broncos Sun, Nov 08 vs Jets Sun, Nov 15 @ Falcons Sun, Nov 22 vs Cards |
1 | 0 | 6 | 24% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
| Bills | East | 5 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Chargers 24-16 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Pats 26-29 Won Mon, Oct 12 @ Rams 37-34 Won Sun, Oct 18 @ Raiders 33-30 Sun, Nov 01 vs Ravens Mon, Nov 09 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 15 @ Jets Sun, Nov 22 vs Dolphins |
1 | 0 | 6 | 21% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| Browns | North | 5 Browns Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 01 vs Steelers 27-24 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Jets 12-17 Won Sun, Oct 18 vs Ravens 13-10 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Titans 27-24 Sun, Nov 01 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 08 @ Saints Sun, Nov 15 vs Texans Sun, Nov 29 vs Raiders |
2 | 0 | 7 | 8% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 25% |
| Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Pats 35-6 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Bengals 22-17 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Eagles 19-17 Lost Sun, Oct 18 vs Texans 31-34 Sun, Nov 01 vs Colts Thu, Nov 05 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 15 @ Titans Sun, Nov 22 @ Giants |
2 | 0 | 6 | 10% | 16% | 22% | 33% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 16% |
| Broncos | West | 5 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ 49ers 14-24 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Chargers 23-17 Won Thu, Oct 15 vs Seahawks 17-14 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Cards 30-16 Sun, Nov 01 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 08 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 22 vs Raiders Fri, Nov 27 @ Steelers |
2 | 0 | 7 | 15% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 21% |
| Steelers | North | 5 Steelers Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 01 @ Browns 24-27 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Colts 34-22 Won Sun, Oct 18 @ Bucs 26-19 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Saints 16-10 Sun, Nov 01 vs Browns Sun, Nov 15 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 22 @ Eagles Fri, Nov 27 vs Broncos |
2 | 0 | 7 | 10% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 26% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Steelers 27-30 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Jaguars 17-22 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Dolphins 31-24 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Ravens 35-13 Sun, Nov 01 vs Titans Sun, Nov 08 @ Falcons Sun, Nov 15 vs Steelers Mon, Nov 23 @ Commanders |
2 | 0 | 6 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 34% |
| Patriots | East | 4 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Bills 29-26 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Raiders 45-17 Won Sun, Oct 18 vs Jets 26-19 Lost Thu, Oct 22 @ Bears 24-30 Sun, Nov 01 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 08 vs Packers Sun, Nov 15 @ Lions Sun, Nov 29 @ Chargers |
3 | 0 | 7 | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Ravens | North | 4 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 04 vs Titans 24-18 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Falcons 30-23 Lost Sun, Oct 18 @ Browns 10-13 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Bengals 13-35 Sun, Nov 01 @ Bills Thu, Nov 05 vs Jaguars Mon, Nov 16 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 22 @ Panthers |
3 | 0 | 7 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 63% |
| Raiders | West | 3 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Chiefs 27-30 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Pats 17-45 Lost Sun, Oct 18 vs Bills 30-33 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Rams 21-35 Sun, Nov 01 @ Jets Sun, Nov 08 @ 49ers Sun, Nov 15 vs Seahawks Sun, Nov 22 @ Broncos |
4 | 0 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 83% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Bears 12-23 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Browns 17-12 Lost Sun, Oct 18 @ Pats 19-26 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Dolphins 25-28 Sun, Nov 01 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 08 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 15 vs Bills Sun, Nov 22 @ Chargers |
5 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 93% |
| Colts | South | 2 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Commanders 30-13 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Steelers 22-34 Lost Sun, Oct 18 vs Titans 20-26 Lost Sun, Oct 25 @ Vikings 10-16 Sun, Nov 01 @ Jaguars Sun, Nov 08 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 15 vs Dolphins Thu, Nov 19 @ Texans |
5 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 86% |
| Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Cowboys 30-34 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Titans 26-3 Won Sun, Oct 18 @ Jaguars 34-31 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Giants 21-27 Sun, Nov 08 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 15 @ Browns Thu, Nov 19 vs Colts Sun, Nov 29 vs Ravens |
5 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 88% |
| Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 27 vs Chiefs 10-24 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Vikings 10-15 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Bengals 24-31 Won Sun, Oct 25 @ Jets 28-25 Sun, Nov 01 vs Pats Sun, Nov 08 vs Lions Sun, Nov 15 @ Colts Sun, Nov 22 @ Bills |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Ravens 18-24 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Texans 3-26 Won Sun, Oct 18 @ Colts 26-20 Lost Sun, Oct 25 vs Browns 24-27 Sun, Nov 01 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 15 vs Jaguars Sun, Nov 22 @ Cowboys Sun, Nov 29 @ Jaguars |
6 | 0 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Chargers | West | 0 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Bills 16-24 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Seahawks 23-30 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Broncos 17-23 Lost Sun, Oct 18 @ Chiefs 6-22 Sun, Nov 01 @ Rams Sun, Nov 08 vs Texans Mon, Nov 16 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 22 vs Jets |
6 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |