Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Bills | East | 4i Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Jets 30-10 Won Thu, Sep 18 vs Dolphins 31-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Saints 31-19 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Pats 20-23 Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins |
1 | 0 | 5 | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 27% |
| Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Bengals 27-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Texans 17-10 Won Sun, Sep 28 @ 49ers 26-21 Won Mon, Oct 06 vs Chiefs 31-28 Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans |
1 | 0 | 5 | 22% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 18% |
| Steelers | North | 3 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 07 @ Jets 34-32 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Seahawks 17-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Pats 21-14 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Vikings 24-21 Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts |
1 | 0 | 4 | 22% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 22% |
| Chargers | West | 3 Chargers Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 15 @ Raiders 20-9 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Broncos 23-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Giants 18-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Commanders 10-27 Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans |
2 | 0 | 5 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 44% |
| Colts | South | 4 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Broncos 29-28 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Titans 41-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Rams 20-27 Won Sun, Oct 05 vs Raiders 40-6 Sun, Oct 12 vs Cards Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers |
1 | 0 | 5 | 17% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Broncos | West | 3 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Colts 28-29 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Chargers 20-23 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Bengals 28-3 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Eagles 21-17 Sun, Oct 12 @ Jets Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans |
2 | 0 | 5 | 8% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 32% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Dolphins 33-27 Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Steelers 14-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Panthers 42-13 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Bills 23-20 Sun, Oct 12 @ Saints Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons |
2 | 0 | 5 | 7% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 30% |
| Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Jaguars 31-27 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Vikings 10-48 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Broncos 3-28 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Lions 24-37 Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears |
3 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 53% |
| Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Bucs 19-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Jaguars 10-17 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Titans 26-0 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Ravens 44-10 Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 65% |
| Chiefs | West | 2 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Eagles 17-20 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Giants 22-9 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Ravens 37-20 Lost Mon, Oct 06 @ Jaguars 28-31 Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills |
3 | 0 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 64% |
| Raiders | West | 1 Raiders Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Chargers 9-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Commanders 24-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 vs Bears 24-25 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Colts 6-40 Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% |
| Ravens | North | 1 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Browns 41-17 Lost Mon, Sep 22 vs Lions 30-38 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Chiefs 20-37 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Texans 10-44 Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Ravens 17-41 Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Packers 13-10 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Lions 10-34 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Vikings 17-21 Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% |
| Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Pats 27-33 Lost Thu, Sep 18 @ Bills 21-31 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Jets 27-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Panthers 24-27 Sun, Oct 12 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 85% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Rams 19-33 Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Colts 20-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Texans 0-26 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Cards 22-21 Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% |
| Jets | East | 0 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Bills 10-30 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Bucs 27-29 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Dolphins 21-27 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Cowboys 22-37 Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |