Where are the Patriots going in the playoff? The Patriots playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Patriots will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 4i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 14 vs Broncos 31-10 Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Colts 33-30 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Dolphins 24-10 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Raiders 30-27 Sun, Oct 18 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 25 @ Seahawks Sun, Nov 01 @ Broncos Sun, Nov 08 vs Jets |
0 | 0 | 4 | 36% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Broncos 13-20 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Pats 35-6 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Bengals 22-17 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Eagles 19-17 Sun, Oct 18 vs Texans Sun, Nov 01 vs Colts Thu, Nov 05 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 15 @ Titans |
1 | 0 | 5 | 20% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 12% |
| Ravens | North | 4 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Saints 17-24 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Cowboys 34-31 Won Sun, Oct 04 vs Titans 24-18 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Falcons 30-23 Sun, Oct 18 @ Browns Sun, Oct 25 vs Bengals Sun, Nov 01 @ Bills Thu, Nov 05 vs Jaguars |
1 | 0 | 5 | 13% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 32% |
| Bills | East | 3 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Texans 36-31 Won Thu, Sep 17 vs Lions 41-31 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Chargers 24-16 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Pats 26-29 Mon, Oct 12 @ Rams Sun, Oct 18 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 01 vs Ravens Mon, Nov 09 @ Vikings |
1 | 0 | 4 | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Steelers 20-3 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Jaguars 6-35 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Bills 29-26 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Raiders 45-17 Sun, Oct 18 vs Jets Thu, Oct 22 @ Bears Sun, Nov 01 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 08 vs Packers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Broncos | West | 3 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Jaguars 20-13 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Rams 30-26 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ 49ers 14-24 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Chargers 23-17 Thu, Oct 15 vs Seahawks Sun, Oct 25 @ Cards Sun, Nov 01 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 08 @ Panthers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 40% |
| Raiders | West | 3 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Chargers 26-14 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Saints 35-27 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Chiefs 27-30 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Pats 17-45 Sun, Oct 18 vs Bills Sun, Oct 25 vs Rams Sun, Nov 01 @ Jets Sun, Nov 08 @ 49ers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 56% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Bucs 23-19 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Panthers 21-18 Won Thu, Oct 01 vs Steelers 27-24 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Jets 12-17 Sun, Oct 18 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 25 @ Titans Sun, Nov 01 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 08 @ Saints |
2 | 0 | 5 | 3% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 46% |
| Steelers | North | 3 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Pats 3-20 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Bengals 30-27 Lost Thu, Oct 01 @ Browns 24-27 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Colts 34-22 Sun, Oct 18 @ Bucs Sun, Oct 25 @ Saints Sun, Nov 01 vs Browns Sun, Nov 15 @ Bengals |
2 | 0 | 5 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 48% |
| Bengals | North | 3 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Texans 20-6 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Steelers 27-30 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Jaguars 17-22 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Dolphins 31-24 Sun, Oct 25 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 01 vs Titans Sun, Nov 08 @ Falcons Sun, Nov 15 vs Steelers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 55% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Packers 17-20 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Lions 24-31 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Bears 12-23 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Browns 17-12 Sun, Oct 18 @ Pats Sun, Oct 25 vs Dolphins Sun, Nov 01 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 08 @ Chiefs |
3 | 0 | 5 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 70% |
| Colts | South | 2 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Chiefs 30-33 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Texans 19-17 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Commanders 30-13 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Steelers 22-34 Sun, Oct 18 vs Titans Sun, Oct 25 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 01 @ Jaguars Sun, Nov 08 vs Cowboys |
3 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 66% |
| Texans | South | 1 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Bengals 6-20 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Colts 17-19 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Cowboys 30-34 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Titans 26-3 Sun, Oct 18 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 25 vs Giants Sun, Nov 08 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 15 @ Browns |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 93% |
| Chargers | West | 0 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Raiders 14-26 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Bills 16-24 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Seahawks 23-30 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Broncos 17-23 Sun, Oct 18 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 01 @ Rams Sun, Nov 08 vs Texans Mon, Nov 16 @ Ravens |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Eagles 20-24 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Giants 7-12 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Ravens 18-24 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Texans 3-26 Sun, Oct 18 @ Colts Sun, Oct 25 vs Browns Sun, Nov 01 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 15 vs Jaguars |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Dolphins | East | 0 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ 49ers 13-35 Lost Sun, Sep 27 vs Chiefs 10-24 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Vikings 10-15 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Bengals 24-31 Sun, Oct 25 @ Jets Sun, Nov 01 vs Pats Sun, Nov 08 vs Lions Sun, Nov 15 @ Colts |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 95% |
| Record | Total | Home (41%) |
Away (18%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 6% | |||||
| (6)Broncos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8% | 7% | 1% |
| (7)Raiders | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| (4)Bills | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| (1)Chiefs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| (3)Ravens | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| (8)Browns | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| (9)Steelers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (10)Bengals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (2)Jaguars | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| (11)Jets | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (12)Colts | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (13)Texans | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| (16)Dolphins | 0 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Titans | 0 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Chargers | 0 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 35% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks (3‑2) |
10‑13 | Away | Wed Sep 9, 8:20 pm |
| 2 | Steelers (3‑2) |
20‑3 | Home | Sun Sep 20, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Jaguars (4‑1) |
6‑35 | Away | Sun Sep 27, 1:00 pm |
| 4 | Bills (3‑1) |
29‑26 | Away | Sun Oct 4, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Raiders (3‑2) |
45‑17 | Home | Sun Oct 11, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Jets (2‑3) |
Home | Sun Oct 18, 1:00 pm | |
| 7 | Bears (3‑2) |
Away | Thu Oct 22, 8:15 pm | |
| 8 | Dolphins (0‑5) |
Away | Sun Nov 1, 4:25 pm | |
| 9 | Packers (3‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 8, 4:25 pm | |
| 10 | Lions (3‑2) |
Away | Sun Nov 15, 9:30 am | |
| 12 | Chargers (0‑5) |
Away | Sun Nov 29, 8:20 pm | |
| 13 | Bills (3‑1) |
Home | Sun Dec 6, 4:25 pm | |
| 14 | Vikings (5‑0) |
Home | Thu Dec 10, 8:15 pm | |
| 15 | Chiefs (4‑0) |
Away | Mon Dec 21, 8:15 pm | |
| 16 | Jets (2‑3) |
Away | Sun Dec 27, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Broncos (3‑2) |
Home | Sun Jan 3, TBD | |
| 18 | Dolphins (0‑5) |
Home | Sun Jan 10, TBD |