The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
9 | Raiders Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Chargers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 73% | ||
| Titans (1‑10) vs Jaguars (7‑4) |
4 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 73% | ||
| Steelers (6‑5) vs Bills (7‑4) |
3 | Steelers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 74% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
3 | Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Giants (2‑10) vs Patriots (10‑2) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 73% | ||
| Texans (6‑5) vs Colts (8‑3) |
1 | Texans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 73% | ||
| Jets (2‑9) vs Falcons (4‑7) |
0 | Jets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) vs Browns (3‑8) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Browns Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Saints (2‑9) vs Dolphins (4‑7) |
0 | Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% | ||