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Thu Oct 15 3:00 am

NHL - Week 3 of 28

Flyers What If?

The Flyers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Flyers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Flyers What If?

Next Game - Red Wings (1‑3‑2)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 1 5 3 5 1% 4% 8% - - - 5% 6% 75%
Current Standings 0 5 3 3 1% 4% 8% - - - 5% 6% 76%
Lose Next Game 0 6 3 3 1% 4% 7% - - - 5% 6% 78%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 8% - - - 5% 6% 75%
Current Standings 1% 4% 8% - - - 5% 6% 76%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 4% 7% - - - 5% 6% 78%
Best Case Scenario
   Flyers beats Red Wings
Worst Case Scenario
   Red Wings beats Flyers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
76 of 76 100% 76 5 3 155 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 76 92% 70 11 3 143 98% 2% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 76 89% 68 13 3 139 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 76 88% 67 14 3 137 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 76 87% 66 15 3 135 87% 13% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 76 86% 65 16 3 133 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 76 84% 64 17 3 131 74% 24% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 76 83% 63 18 3 129 68% 29% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 76 82% 62 19 3 127 61% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 76 80% 61 20 3 125 53% 39% 7% - - - 1% <1% <1%
60 of 76 79% 60 21 3 123 45% 42% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
59 of 76 78% 59 22 3 121 38% 44% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
58 of 76 76% 58 23 3 119 31% 45% 20% - - - 4% <1% <1%
57 of 76 75% 57 24 3 117 25% 44% 25% - - - 6% <1% <1%
56 of 76 74% 56 25 3 115 19% 42% 30% - - - 8% 1% <1%
55 of 76 72% 55 26 3 113 15% 39% 33% - - - 11% 2% <1%
54 of 76 71% 54 27 3 111 12% 35% 35% - - - 15% 3% <1%
53 of 76 70% 53 28 3 109 9% 31% 37% - - - 18% 4% <1%
52 of 76 68% 52 29 3 107 8% 28% 37% - - - 20% 6% 1%
51 of 76 67% 51 30 3 105 5% 24% 38% - - - 22% 9% 2%
50 of 76 66% 50 31 3 103 4% 21% 36% - - - 24% 12% 3%
49 of 76 64% 49 32 3 101 3% 18% 36% - - - 24% 14% 5%
48 of 76 63% 48 33 3 99 2% 14% 33% - - - 25% 18% 7%
47 of 76 62% 47 34 3 97 2% 12% 29% - - - 24% 22% 11%
46 of 76 61% 46 35 3 95 1% 10% 28% - - - 22% 24% 15%
45 of 76 59% 45 36 3 93 1% 8% 25% - - - 20% 26% 20%
44 of 76 58% 44 37 3 91 1% 6% 21% - - - 18% 27% 28%
43 of 76 57% 43 38 3 89 <1% 5% 19% - - - 14% 26% 36%
42 of 76 55% 42 39 3 87 <1% 3% 17% - - - 12% 24% 43%
41 of 76 54% 41 40 3 85 <1% 3% 14% - - - 9% 23% 52%
40 of 76 53% 40 41 3 83 <1% 2% 11% - - - 7% 20% 61%
39 of 76 51% 39 42 3 81 <1% 1% 9% - - - 5% 16% 68%
38 of 76 50% 38 43 3 79 <1% 1% 7% - - - 3% 13% 75%
37 of 76 49% 37 44 3 77 <1% 1% 5% - - - 2% 10% 82%
36 of 76 47% 36 45 3 75 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 7% 87%
35 of 76 46% 35 46 3 73 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 5% 91%
34 of 76 45% 34 47 3 71 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 94%
30 of 76 39% 30 51 3 63 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% 99%
20 of 76 26% 20 61 3 43 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 76 13% 10 71 3 23 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 76 0% 0 81 3 3 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs