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Mon Nov 9 5:00 am

NHL - Week 7 of 28

Hurricanes What If?

The Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Hurricanes play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hurricanes What If?

Next Game - Kraken (9‑6‑1)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 15 3 2 32 37% 22% 16% - - - 6% 5% 15%
Current Standings 14 3 2 30 36% 22% 17% - - - 5% 5% 16%
Lose Next Game 14 4 2 30 34% 22% 17% - - - 5% 5% 17%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 36% 22% 16% - - - 5% 5% 16%
Current Standings 36% 22% 17% - - - 5% 5% 16%
Worst Case Scenario 36% 22% 17% - - - 5% 5% 16%
Best Case Scenario
   Canucks beats Flyers
 Worst Case Scenario
   Flyers beats Canucks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
65 of 65 100% 79 3 2 160 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 65 92% 74 8 2 150 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
50 of 65 77% 64 18 2 130 97% 3% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 65 75% 63 19 2 128 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 65 74% 62 20 2 126 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 65 72% 61 21 2 124 88% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 65 71% 60 22 2 122 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
45 of 65 69% 59 23 2 120 75% 23% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
44 of 65 68% 58 24 2 118 69% 28% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
43 of 65 66% 57 25 2 116 61% 35% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
42 of 65 65% 56 26 2 114 53% 40% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
41 of 65 63% 55 27 2 112 45% 44% 10% - - - 1% <1% <1%
40 of 65 62% 54 28 2 110 38% 45% 16% - - - 1% <1% <1%
39 of 65 60% 53 29 2 108 31% 46% 20% - - - 3% <1% <1%
38 of 65 58% 52 30 2 106 24% 46% 25% - - - 5% <1% <1%
37 of 65 57% 51 31 2 104 18% 45% 30% - - - 6% 1% <1%
36 of 65 55% 50 32 2 102 13% 40% 36% - - - 10% 1% <1%
35 of 65 54% 49 33 2 100 10% 35% 38% - - - 13% 3% <1%
34 of 65 52% 48 34 2 98 7% 30% 40% - - - 17% 6% 1%
33 of 65 51% 47 35 2 96 4% 23% 41% - - - 19% 10% 3%
32 of 65 49% 46 36 2 94 3% 18% 39% - - - 19% 15% 7%
31 of 65 48% 45 37 2 92 2% 13% 35% - - - 16% 19% 14%
30 of 65 46% 44 38 2 90 1% 9% 30% - - - 13% 22% 25%
29 of 65 45% 43 39 2 88 <1% 6% 25% - - - 9% 20% 39%
28 of 65 43% 42 40 2 86 <1% 4% 19% - - - 5% 17% 55%
27 of 65 42% 41 41 2 84 <1% 2% 14% - - - 3% 12% 70%
26 of 65 40% 40 42 2 82 <1% 1% 9% - - - 1% 7% 81%
25 of 65 38% 39 43 2 80 <1% <1% 6% - - - 1% 4% 89%
24 of 65 37% 38 44 2 78 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 1% 95%
20 of 65 31% 34 48 2 70 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 65 15% 24 58 2 50 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
0 of 65 0% 14 68 2 30 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs