The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (42‑21‑4) vs Oilers (34‑27‑9) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 52% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 57% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kings (28‑24‑16) vs Sabres (43‑20‑6) |
1 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 57% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (29‑28‑13) vs Senators (35‑24‑9) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 54% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Avalanche (45‑13‑10) vs Capitals (35‑27‑8) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 53% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sharks (32‑29‑6) vs Flyers (33‑23‑12) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 54% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders (39‑25‑5) vs Canadiens (37‑21‑10) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 52% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bruins (38‑23‑8) vs Red Wings (38‑23‑8) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 54% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kraken (31‑28‑9) vs Blue Jackets (36‑21‑11) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 53% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penguins (34‑18‑16) vs Jets (28‑29‑11) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 53% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jets Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||