The Most Important Games for the Incarnate Word Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Incarnate Word Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Incarnate Word Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Incarnate Word (9‑12) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (10‑11) |
22 | Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 76% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (18‑3) vs SE Louisiana (6‑15) |
3 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 69% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. (11‑10) vs Houston Christian (8‑13) |
3 | Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 69% | ||
| McNeese (17‑4) vs Lamar (11‑10) |
2 | McNeese Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 68% | ||
| New Orleans (8‑13) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑14) |
2 | New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 68% | ||
| Nicholls St. (8‑13) vs East Texas A&M (8‑13) |
1 | Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 67% | ||