The Most Important Games for the Incarnate Word Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Incarnate Word Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Incarnate Word Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Incarnate Word (3‑1) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (1‑3) |
33 | Incarnate Word Wins | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 23% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (1‑5) vs Houston Christian (2‑2) |
4 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (3‑3) vs Stephen F. Austin (2‑2) |
2 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 21% | ||
| Nicholls St. (2‑4) vs SE Louisiana (2‑2) |
1 | Nicholls St. Wins | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Lamar (1‑2) vs Texas A&M C.C. (1‑3) |
1 | Lamar Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% | ||