Are the Arkansas St. Red Wolves going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Arkansas St. playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Red Wolves will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Southern Miss | 4i Southern Miss Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Jacksonville St. 42-25 Won Thu, Oct 09 @ Ga. Southern 38-35 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ UL Lafayette 22-10 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs LA Monroe 49-21 Sat, Nov 08 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Texas St. Sat, Nov 22 @ South Alabama Sat, Nov 29 vs Troy |
0 | 4 | 55% | 27% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Arkansas St. | 4 Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Texas St. 31-30 Won Tue, Oct 14 @ South Alabama 15-14 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Ga. Southern 34-24 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Troy 23-10 Sat, Nov 08 vs Southern Miss Thu, Nov 20 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 29 @ App. St. |
1 | 5 | 28% | 40% | 19% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Troy | 4 Troy Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Texas St. 48-41 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ LA Monroe 37-14 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs UL Lafayette 35-23 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Arkansas St. 10-23 Thu, Nov 13 @ Old Dominion Sat, Nov 22 vs Georgia St. Sat, Nov 29 @ Southern Miss |
1 | 5 | 17% | 31% | 50% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| UL Lafayette | 2 UL Lafayette Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ James Madison 14-24 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Southern Miss 10-22 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Troy 23-35 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ South Alabama 31-22 Sat, Nov 08 vs Texas St. Thu, Nov 20 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Nov 29 vs LA Monroe |
3 | 5 | <1% | 2% | 10% | 35% | 30% | 19% | 4% |
| LA Monroe | 1 LA Monroe Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ C. Carolina 8-23 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Troy 14-37 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Southern Miss 21-49 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Old Dominion 6-31 Sat, Nov 15 vs South Alabama Sat, Nov 22 @ Texas St. Sat, Nov 29 @ UL Lafayette |
4 | 5 | X | <1% | 2% | 26% | 29% | 25% | 18% |
| South Alabama | 1 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Troy 24-31 Lost Tue, Oct 14 vs Arkansas St. 14-15 Won Thu, Oct 23 @ Georgia St. 38-31 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs UL Lafayette 22-31 Sat, Nov 15 @ LA Monroe Sat, Nov 22 vs Southern Miss Sat, Nov 29 @ Texas St. |
4 | 5 | X | X | <1% | 4% | 16% | 30% | 49% |
| Texas St. | 0 Texas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Arkansas St. 30-31 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Troy 41-48 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Marshall 37-40 Lost Tue, Oct 28 vs James Madison 20-52 Sat, Nov 08 @ UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 15 @ Southern Miss Sat, Nov 22 vs LA Monroe Sat, Nov 29 vs South Alabama |
4 | 4 | X | X | 1% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 30% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)James Madison | 5 | 0 | 19% |
| (2)Coastal Carolina | 4 | 1 | 8% |
| (3)Old Dominion | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Marshall | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Ga. Southern | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 72% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LA Monroe (3‑6) |
16‑28 | Away | Sat Sep 27, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Texas St. (3‑5) |
31‑30 | Home | Sat Oct 4, 4:00 pm |
| 8 | South Alabama (2‑7) |
15‑14 | Away | Tue Oct 14, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Ga. Southern (3‑5) |
34‑24 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Troy (6‑3) |
23‑10 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Southern Miss (6‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 8, 12:00 pm | |
| 13 | UL Lafayette (3‑6) |
Home | Thu Nov 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southeast Missouri State | ‑‑ | 42‑24 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Arkansas (2‑7) |
SECSEC | 14‑56 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Iowa St. (5‑4) |
Big 12Big 12 | 16‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Kennesaw St. (6‑2) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 21‑28 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 6:00 pm |