The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
Dortmund (3‑1) vs Zagreb (2‑1‑1) |
37 | Dortmund Wins | 18% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Zagreb Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
Liverpool (4‑0) vs Real Madrid (2‑2) |
2 | Liverpool Wins | 6% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Real Madrid Wins | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Salzburg (1‑3) vs Leverkusen (2‑1‑1) |
2 | Salzburg Wins | 10% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Leverkusen Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Slovan (0‑4) vs AC Milan (2‑2) |
2 | Slovan Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
AC Milan Wins | 10% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Sparta Prague (1‑2‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (2‑2) |
1 | Sparta Prague Wins | 10% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Atletico Madrid Wins | 10% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Young Boys (0‑4) vs Atalanta (2‑0‑2) |
1 | Young Boys Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Atalanta Wins | 10% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Paris SG (1‑2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (2‑2) |
1 | Paris SG Wins | 10% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Bayern Munich Wins | 11% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Bologna (0‑3‑1) vs Lille (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Bologna Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Lille Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Feyenoord (2‑2) vs Manchester City (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Feyenoord Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Manchester City Wins | 10% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑2) vs Shakhtar (1‑2‑1) |
1 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Shakhtar Wins | 11% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
RS Belgrade (0‑4) vs Stuttgart (1‑2‑1) |
1 | RS Belgrade Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Stuttgart Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Club Brugge (2‑2) vs Celtic (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | 10% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Celtic Wins | 11% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Benfica (2‑2) vs Monaco (3‑0‑1) |
1 | Benfica Wins | 11% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Monaco Wins | 10% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Brest (3‑0‑1) vs Barcelona (3‑1) |
1 | Brest Wins | 11% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Barcelona Wins | 11% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Aston Villa (3‑1) vs Juventus (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Aston Villa Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Juventus Wins | 10% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
RB Leipzig (0‑4) vs Inter Milan (3‑0‑1) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | 13% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Inter Milan Wins | 9% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Girona (1‑3) vs Sturm Graz (0‑4) |
0 | Girona Wins | 11% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Sturm Graz Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Arsenal (2‑1‑1) vs Sporting CP (3‑0‑1) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | 10% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Sporting CP Wins | 11% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||