The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Real Madrid (2‑2) vs Liverpool (4‑0) |
52 | Real Madrid Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | ||
| Paris SG (1‑2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (2‑2) |
3 | Paris SG Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Feyenoord (2‑2) vs Manchester City (2‑1‑1) |
3 | Feyenoord Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Young Boys (0‑4) vs Atalanta (2‑0‑2) |
2 | Young Boys Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Slovan (0‑4) vs AC Milan (2‑2) |
2 | Slovan Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| AC Milan Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Sparta Prague (1‑2‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (2‑2) |
2 | Sparta Prague Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Bologna (0‑3‑1) vs Lille (2‑1‑1) |
2 | Bologna Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑2‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑2) |
2 | Shakhtar Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Salzburg (1‑3) vs Leverkusen (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Salzburg Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Sporting CP (3‑0‑1) vs Arsenal (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Sporting CP Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Sturm Graz (0‑4) vs Girona (1‑3) |
1 | Sturm Graz Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Girona Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Benfica (2‑2) vs Monaco (3‑0‑1) |
1 | Benfica Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Monaco Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| RB Leipzig (0‑4) vs Inter Milan (3‑0‑1) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Juventus (2‑1‑1) vs Aston Villa (3‑1) |
1 | Juventus Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Dortmund (3‑1) vs Zagreb (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Dortmund Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Zagreb Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Stuttgart (1‑2‑1) vs RS Belgrade (0‑4) |
1 | Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| RS Belgrade Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Brest (3‑0‑1) vs Barcelona (3‑1) |
0 | Brest Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Club Brugge (2‑2) vs Celtic (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Club Brugge Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Celtic Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||