The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (3‑0) vs Patriots (1‑2) |
48 | Bills Wins | 21% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 12% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) vs Broncos (2‑1) |
6 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 21% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 19% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Titans (0‑3) vs Ravens (2‑1) |
3 | Titans Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 19% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Bears (2‑1) vs Jets (1‑2) |
2 | Bears Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Jets Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 27% | ||
| Raiders (3‑0) vs Chiefs (3‑0) |
2 | Raiders Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Texans (0‑3) vs Cowboys (1‑2) |
1 | Texans Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 19% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Commanders (1‑2) vs Colts (1‑2) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 19% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Colts Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Vikings (3‑0) vs Dolphins (0‑3) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Seahawks (2‑1) vs Chargers (0‑3) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Jaguars (2‑1) vs Bengals (2‑1) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 27% | ||