The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (6‑2) vs Dolphins (2‑7) |
56 | Bills Wins | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑2) vs Patriots (7‑2) |
19 | Buccaneers Wins | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 33% | 18% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Falcons (3‑5) vs Colts (7‑2) |
8 | Falcons Wins | 16% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Colts Wins | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Raiders (2‑6) vs Broncos (7‑2) |
8 | Raiders Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Steelers (5‑3) vs Chargers (6‑3) |
3 | Steelers Wins | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 30% | 16% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 13% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Texans (3‑5) vs Jaguars (5‑3) |
3 | Texans Wins | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Jets (1‑7) vs Browns (2‑6) |
3 | Jets Wins | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Browns Wins | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Ravens (3‑5) vs Vikings (4‑4) |
1 | Ravens Wins | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% | ||