The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (5‑1) vs Ravens (4‑3) |
67 | Bills Wins | 24% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 10% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑5) vs Patriots (4‑3) |
10 | Dolphins Wins | 21% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 20% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Colts (2‑5) vs Jaguars (4‑2) |
6 | Colts Wins | 22% | 16% | 18% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 20% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Titans (1‑6) vs Bengals (4‑2) |
4 | Titans Wins | 22% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 20% | 15% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Raiders (3‑4) vs Jets (2‑5) |
2 | Raiders Wins | 21% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Jets Wins | 21% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Steelers (5‑2) vs Browns (5‑2) |
2 | Steelers Wins | 21% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Browns Wins | 21% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Broncos (5‑2) vs Chiefs (5‑1) |
1 | Broncos Wins | 22% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 21% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% | ||
| Chargers (0‑6) vs Rams (3‑4) |
1 | Chargers Wins | 21% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Rams Wins | 21% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% | ||