The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Titans (1‑5) vs Patriots (4‑2) |
6 | Titans Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 37% | ||
| Giants (2‑4) vs Broncos (4‑2) |
3 | Giants Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Bengals (2‑4) vs Steelers (4‑1) |
3 | Bengals Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 37% | ||
| Rams (4‑2) vs Jaguars (4‑2) |
3 | Rams Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Browns (1‑5) vs Dolphins (1‑5) |
2 | Browns Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Chargers (4‑2) vs Colts (5‑1) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Colts Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 37% | ||
| Jets (0‑6) vs Panthers (3‑3) |
2 | Jets Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Seahawks (4‑2) vs Texans (2‑3) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Texans Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Raiders (2‑4) vs Chiefs (3‑3) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 37% | ||