The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (7‑2) vs Colts (4‑5) |
38 | Bills Wins | 12% | 31% | 35% | 21% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 4% | 18% | 35% | 40% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Broncos (5‑4) vs Chiefs (8‑0) |
16 | Broncos Wins | 14% | 23% | 30% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 8% | 26% | 33% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Lions (7‑1) vs Texans (6‑3) |
8 | Lions Wins | 10% | 28% | 33% | 27% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 9% | 23% | 29% | 36% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Commanders (7‑2) vs Steelers (6‑2) |
5 | Commanders Wins | 10% | 28% | 31% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 9% | 24% | 33% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals (5‑4) vs Jets (3‑6) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | 10% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Jets Wins | 9% | 26% | 32% | 30% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bengals (4‑5) vs Ravens (6‑3) |
3 | Bengals Wins | 10% | 29% | 30% | 29% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 10% | 25% | 33% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bears (4‑4) vs Patriots (2‑7) |
2 | Bears Wins | 10% | 25% | 34% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 9% | 26% | 32% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Titans (2‑6) vs Chargers (5‑3) |
2 | Titans Wins | 10% | 26% | 32% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 9% | 25% | 33% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Vikings (6‑2) vs Jaguars (2‑7) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 10% | 26% | 33% | 29% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rams (4‑4) vs Dolphins (2‑6) |
1 | Rams Wins | 9% | 26% | 33% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 9% | 25% | 33% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | ||