The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (1‑0) vs Jets (0‑1) |
41 | Bills Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Jets Wins | 7% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Seahawks (0‑1) vs Steelers (1‑0) |
4 | Seahawks Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Colts (1‑0) vs Broncos (1‑0) |
3 | Colts Wins | 14% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% | ||
| Eagles (1‑0) vs Chiefs (0‑1) |
2 | Eagles Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Ravens (0‑1) vs Browns (0‑1) |
2 | Ravens Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Browns Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 36% | ||
| Bengals (1‑0) vs Jaguars (1‑0) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% | ||
| Rams (1‑0) vs Titans (0‑1) |
1 | Rams Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Titans Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% | ||
| Raiders (1‑0) vs Chargers (1‑0) |
1 | Raiders Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 14% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑1) vs Patriots (0‑1) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Texans (0‑1) vs Buccaneers (1‑0) |
0 | Texans Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 37% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 36% | ||