The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 13% | 10% | X | 67% | 6% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 9% | 7% | X | 52% | 25% | 4% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 2% | X | 25% | 62% | 10% | ^ |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 33% | 49% | 12% | X | 2% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2% | 9% | 7% | X | 52% | 25% | 4% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | 16% | 72% | 12% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Chiefs beats Broncos Jets beats Patriots Bills beats Eagles |
Worst Case Scenario Broncos beats Chiefs Patriots beats Jets Eagles beats Bills |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 14% | 11% | X | 71% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 3% | X | 21% | 71% | 5% | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 11 | 6 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 17% | 83% | ^ |