PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►NFL►AFC Playoff Picture►Bills Playoff Picture►Bills What If?
Thu Sep 11 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 2 of 18

Bills What If?

The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bills What If?

Next Game - Jets (0‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 2 0 0 14% 14% 13% 13% 4% 5% 5% 32%
Current Standings 1 0 0 13% 12% 12% 12% 4% 5% 5% 37%
Lose Next Game 1 1 0 7% 11% 12% 12% 4% 6% 6% 41%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 15% 14% 13% 13% 4% 5% 5% 31%
Current Standings 13% 12% 12% 12% 4% 5% 5% 37%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 11% 13% 13% 4% 6% 5% 42%
Best Case Scenario
   Bills beats Jets
   Seahawks beats Steelers
   Buccaneers beats Texans
 Worst Case Scenario
   Jets beats Bills
   Steelers beats Seahawks
   Texans beats Buccaneers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
16 of 16 100% 17 0 0 96% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 16 94% 16 1 0 84% 16% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 16 88% 15 2 0 55% 39% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 16 81% 14 3 0 24% 48% 23% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 16 75% 13 4 0 6% 33% 40% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 16 69% 12 5 0 1% 12% 37% 27% 12% 9% 2% <1%
10 of 16 63% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 19% 36% 10% 19% 11% 3%
9 of 16 56% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 6% 30% 4% 17% 23% 21%
8 of 16 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 19% 1% 5% 18% 56%
7 of 16 44% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 10% <1% 1% 5% 85%
6 of 16 38% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 1% 96%
5 of 16 31% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
4 of 16 25% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 16 19% 4 13 0 X X X <1% X X <1% >99%
2 of 16 13% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 16 6% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 16 0% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs