The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 10 | 2 | 0 | 31% | 57% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27% | 56% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 9 | 3 | 0 | 11% | 59% | 27% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Current Standings | 27% | 56% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
6 of 6 | 100% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 6 | 83% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 34% | 64% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 6 | 67% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 8% | 73% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 6 | 50% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 43% | 55% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 6 | 33% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 13% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 6 | 17% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 44% | 53% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
0 of 6 | 0% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | 14% | 73% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 6% |