The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (3‑3) vs Cowboys (2‑3‑1) |
28 | Commanders Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 72% | ||
| Vikings (3‑2) vs Eagles (4‑2) |
5 | Vikings Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Broncos (4‑2) vs Giants (2‑4) |
4 | Broncos Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 65% | ||
| Lions (4‑2) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
3 | Lions Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% | ||
| Jets (0‑6) vs Panthers (3‑3) |
1 | Jets Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 64% | ||
| Falcons (3‑2) vs Forty-Niners49ers (4‑2) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 64% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑4) vs Packers (3‑1‑1) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Packers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% | ||
| Bears (3‑2) vs Saints (1‑5) |
1 | Bears Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Saints Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Seahawks (4‑2) |
1 | Texans Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% | ||
| Jaguars (4‑2) vs Rams (4‑2) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| Rams Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 64% | ||