The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (7‑5) vs Titans (3‑8) |
28 | Commanders Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 39% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Titans Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 32% | 59% | ||
| Panthers (3‑8) vs Buccaneers (5‑6) |
5 | Panthers Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 40% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 34% | 43% | ||
| Chargers (7‑4) vs Falcons (6‑5) |
5 | Chargers Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 38% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 35% | 43% | ||
| Giants (2‑9) vs Cowboys (4‑7) |
4 | Giants Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 39% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 36% | 42% | ||
| Dolphins (5‑6) vs Packers (8‑3) |
3 | Dolphins Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 29% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 39% | 41% | ||
| Jets (3‑8) vs Seahawks (6‑5) |
2 | Jets Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 38% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 36% | 41% | ||
| Ravens (8‑4) vs Eagles (9‑2) |
2 | Ravens Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Rams (5‑6) vs Saints (4‑7) |
1 | Rams Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 36% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Saints Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Bills (9‑2) vs Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑6) |
1 | Bills Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 36% | 42% | ||
| Lions (10‑1) vs Bears (4‑7) |
0 | Lions Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 36% | 41% | ||
| Vikings (9‑2) vs Cardinals (6‑5) |
0 | Vikings Wins | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 38% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 33% | 42% | ||