The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (3‑6) vs Lions (5‑3) |
6 | Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 98% | ||
| Packers (5‑2‑1) vs Eagles (6‑2) |
3 | Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 97% | ||
| Panthers (5‑4) vs Saints (1‑8) |
0 | Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Seahawks (6‑2) vs Cardinals (3‑5) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Colts (7‑2) vs Falcons (3‑5) |
0 | Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Vikings (4‑4) vs Ravens (3‑5) |
0 | Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (6‑3) vs Rams (6‑2) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Bears (5‑3) vs Giants (2‑7) |
0 | Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% | ||
| Patriots (7‑2) vs Buccaneers (6‑2) |
0 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% | ||