The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (0‑1) vs Eagles (1‑0) |
5 | Chiefs Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Giants (0‑1) vs Cowboys (0‑1) |
2 | Giants Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Falcons (0‑1) vs Vikings (1‑0) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Panthers (0‑1) vs Cardinals (1‑0) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Titans (0‑1) vs Rams (1‑0) |
1 | Titans Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Rams Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Saints (0‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (1‑0) |
1 | Saints Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Texans (0‑1) vs Buccaneers (1‑0) |
1 | Texans Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Steelers (1‑0) vs Seahawks (0‑1) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Lions (0‑1) vs Bears (0‑1) |
0 | Lions Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 54% | ||
| Bears Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 53% | ||