The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (1‑2) vs Colts (1‑2) |
16 | Commanders Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Colts Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Texans (0‑3) vs Cowboys (1‑2) |
3 | Texans Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 68% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑3) vs Vikings (3‑0) |
3 | Dolphins Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 69% | ||
| Rams (1‑2) vs Eagles (2‑1) |
2 | Rams Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Cardinals (1‑2) vs Giants (2‑1) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Jets (1‑2) vs Bears (2‑1) |
1 | Jets Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Bears Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Broncos (2‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) |
1 | Broncos Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 68% | ||
| Seahawks (2‑1) vs Chargers (0‑3) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Panthers (1‑2) vs Lions (2‑1) |
0 | Panthers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Lions Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 68% | ||
| Saints (1‑2) vs Falcons (1‑2) |
0 | Saints Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 68% | ||
| Buccaneers (0‑3) vs Packers (1‑2) |
0 | Buccaneers Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Packers Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 68% | ||