The Commanders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Commanders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 39% | 34% |
Current Standings | 7 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 32% | 59% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 42% | 30% |
Current Standings | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 41% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 30% | 60% |
Best Case Scenario Commanders beats Titans Panthers beats Buccaneers |
Worst Case Scenario Titans beats Commanders Buccaneers beats Panthers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 22% | X | X | 19% | 49% | 10% | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 45% | 47% | 1% |
3 of 5 | 60% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 69% | 17% |
2 of 5 | 40% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 26% | 73% |
1 of 5 | 20% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 99% |
0 of 5 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |