Where are the Commanders going in the playoff? The Commanders playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Commanders will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Lions | North | 7i Lions Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Cowboys 47-9 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ Vikings 31-29 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Titans 52-14 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Packers 24-14 Sun, Nov 10 @ Texans Sun, Nov 17 vs Jaguars Sun, Nov 24 @ Colts Thu, Nov 28 vs Bears |
1 | 0 | 8 | 51% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| Commanders | East | 7 Commanders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Ravens 23-30 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Panthers 40-7 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Bears 18-15 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Giants 27-22 Sun, Nov 10 vs Steelers Thu, Nov 14 @ Eagles Sun, Nov 24 vs Cowboys Sun, Dec 01 vs Titans |
2 | 0 | 9 | 20% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Falcons | South | 6 Falcons Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Panthers 38-20 Lost Sun, Oct 20 vs Seahawks 14-34 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Bucs 31-26 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Cowboys 27-21 Sun, Nov 10 @ Saints Sun, Nov 17 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 01 vs Chargers Sun, Dec 08 @ Vikings |
3 | 0 | 9 | 6% | 16% | 31% | 28% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
| Cardinals | West | 5 Cardinals Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Packers 13-34 Won Mon, Oct 21 vs Chargers 17-15 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Dolphins 28-27 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Bears 29-9 Sun, Nov 10 vs Jets Sun, Nov 24 @ Seahawks Sun, Dec 01 @ Vikings Sun, Dec 08 vs Seahawks |
4 | 0 | 9 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 29% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 41% |
| Eagles | East | 6 Eagles Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 vs Browns 20-16 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ Giants 28-3 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Bengals 37-17 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Jaguars 28-23 Sun, Nov 10 @ Cowboys Thu, Nov 14 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 24 @ Rams Sun, Dec 01 @ Ravens |
2 | 0 | 8 | 8% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 23% |
| Vikings | North | 6 Vikings Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 06 vs Jets 23-17 Lost Sun, Oct 20 vs Lions 29-31 Lost Thu, Oct 24 @ Rams 20-30 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Colts 21-13 Sun, Nov 10 @ Jaguars Sun, Nov 17 @ Titans Sun, Nov 24 @ Bears Sun, Dec 01 vs Cards |
2 | 0 | 8 | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 31% | 17% | 12% | 20% |
| Packers | North | 6 Packers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 vs Cards 34-13 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Texans 24-22 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Jaguars 30-27 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Lions 14-24 Sun, Nov 17 @ Bears Sun, Nov 24 vs 49'ers Thu, Nov 28 vs Dolphins Thu, Dec 05 @ Lions |
3 | 0 | 9 | 3% | 4% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 31% |
| Bears | North | 4 Bears Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 06 vs Panthers 36-10 Won Sun, Oct 13 vs Jaguars 35-16 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Commanders 15-18 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Cards 9-29 Sun, Nov 10 vs Pats Sun, Nov 17 vs Packers Sun, Nov 24 vs Vikings Thu, Nov 28 @ Lions |
4 | 0 | 8 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Rams | West | 4 Rams Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Packers 19-24 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Raiders 20-15 Won Thu, Oct 24 vs Vikings 30-20 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Seahawks 26-20 Mon, Nov 11 vs Dolphins Sun, Nov 17 @ Pats Sun, Nov 24 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 01 @ Saints |
4 | 0 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 59% |
| Forty-Niners49'ers | West | 4 Forty-Niners Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Cards 23-24 Won Thu, Oct 10 @ Seahawks 36-24 Lost Sun, Oct 20 vs Chiefs 18-28 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Cowboys 30-24 Sun, Nov 10 @ Bucs Sun, Nov 17 vs Seahawks Sun, Nov 24 @ Packers Sun, Dec 01 @ Bills |
4 | 0 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 79% |
| Buccaneers | South | 4 Buccaneers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Saints 51-27 Lost Mon, Oct 21 vs Ravens 31-41 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Falcons 26-31 Lost Mon, Nov 04 @ Chiefs 24-30 Sun, Nov 10 vs 49'ers Sun, Nov 24 @ Giants Sun, Dec 01 @ Panthers Sun, Dec 08 vs Raiders |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 56% |
| Seahawks | West | 4 Seahawks Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 10 vs 49'ers 24-36 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ Falcons 34-14 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Bills 10-31 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Rams 20-26 Sun, Nov 17 @ 49'ers Sun, Nov 24 vs Cards Sun, Dec 01 @ Jets Sun, Dec 08 @ Cards |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 90% |
| Cowboys | East | 3 Cowboys Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 06 @ Steelers 20-17 Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Lions 9-47 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ 49'ers 24-30 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Falcons 21-27 Sun, Nov 10 vs Eagles Mon, Nov 18 vs Texans Sun, Nov 24 @ Commanders Thu, Nov 28 vs Giants |
5 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Panthers | South | 2 Panthers Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Falcons 20-38 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Commanders 7-40 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Broncos 14-28 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Saints 23-22 Sun, Nov 10 vs Giants Sun, Nov 24 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 01 vs Bucs Sun, Dec 08 @ Eagles |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Saints | South | 2 Saints Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Bucs 27-51 Lost Thu, Oct 17 vs Broncos 10-33 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Chargers 8-26 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Panthers 22-23 Sun, Nov 10 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 17 vs Browns Sun, Dec 01 vs Rams Sun, Dec 08 @ Giants |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Giants | East | 2 Giants Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Bengals 7-17 Lost Sun, Oct 20 vs Eagles 3-28 Lost Mon, Oct 28 @ Steelers 18-26 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Commanders 22-27 Sun, Nov 10 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 24 vs Bucs Thu, Nov 28 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 08 vs Saints |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (38%) |
Away (32%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 20% | |||||
| (5)Eagles | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14% | 7% | 7% |
| (3)Falcons | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10% | 1% | 9% |
| (7)Packers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8% | 8% | <1% |
| (4)Cardinals | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8% | 2% | 6% |
| (11)Buccaneers | 4 | 5 | 0 | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| (6)Vikings | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| (9)Rams | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (10)Forty-Niners49'ers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| (1)Lions | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| (8)Bears | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (13)Cowboys | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (12)Seahawks | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (15)Saints | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (16)Giants | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Panthers | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 10% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers (4‑5) |
20‑37 | Away | Sun Sep 8, 4:25 pm |
| 2 | Giants (2‑7) |
21‑18 | Home | Sun Sep 15, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Bengals (4‑5) |
38‑33 | Away | Mon Sep 23, 8:15 pm |
| 4 | Cardinals (5‑4) |
42‑14 | Away | Sun Sep 29, 4:05 pm |
| 5 | Browns (2‑7) |
34‑13 | Home | Sun Oct 6, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Ravens (6‑3) |
23‑30 | Away | Sun Oct 13, 1:00 pm |
| 7 | Panthers (2‑7) |
40‑7 | Home | Sun Oct 20, 4:05 pm |
| 8 | Bears (4‑4) |
18‑15 | Home | Sun Oct 27, 4:25 pm |
| 9 | Giants (2‑7) |
27‑22 | Away | Sun Nov 3, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Steelers (6‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 10, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Eagles (6‑2) |
Away | Thu Nov 14, 8:15 pm | |
| 12 | Cowboys (3‑5) |
Home | Sun Nov 24, 1:00 pm | |
| 13 | Titans (2‑6) |
Home | Sun Dec 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 15 | Saints (2‑7) |
Away | Sun Dec 15, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Eagles (6‑2) |
Home | Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Falcons (6‑3) |
Home | Sun Dec 29, TBD | |
| 18 | Cowboys (3‑5) |
Away | Sun Jan 5, TBD |