The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| California (18‑8) vs Stanford (16‑10) |
32 | California Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (20‑7) vs Florida St. (13‑13) |
6 | Clemson Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (9‑17) vs SMU (18‑8) |
4 | Boston College Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (20‑6) vs Syracuse (15‑12) |
4 | North Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (14‑12) vs Virginia Tech (17‑10) |
2 | Wake Forest Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑15) vs Virginia (22‑3) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||