The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| California (7‑5) vs Pittsburgh (10‑2) |
27 | California Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 27% | ||
| Duke (10‑2) vs Virginia Tech (5‑7) |
1 | Duke Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Miami (4‑8) vs Boston College (7‑5) |
1 | Miami Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 26% | ||
| Georgia Tech (5‑7) vs Notre Dame (7‑5) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% | ||
| Wake Forest (9‑4) vs Syracuse (5‑6) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 27% | ||
| North Carolina (7‑5) vs Louisville (7‑5) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% | ||
| Stanford (9‑3) vs Clemson (10‑3) |
0 | Stanford Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Clemson Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% | ||
| N.C. State (8‑4) vs Virginia (7‑5) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Virginia Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 26% | ||