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Wed Mar 11 4:15 am

ACC Basketball - Regular Season Complete

ACC Basketball Tournament Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the conference post season tournament? The ACC Basketball Tournament Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

ACC Basketball Post Season Probabilities
Record Rcrd ACC Basketball Champions Championship Game Participate Semi Finals Round 3 Round 2 Round 1
Team W L
Duke 17 1 46% 64% 88% 100% ^ ^
Virginia 15 3 21% 47% 75% 100% ^ ^
North Carolina 12 6 13% 24% 65% 100% ^ ^
Miami 13 5 7% 22% 51% 100% ^ ^
Louisville 11 7 5% 14% 31% 59% 100% ^
Clemson 12 6 3% 6% 24% 62% 100% ^
N.C. State 10 8 2% 10% 22% 71% 100% ^
SMU 8 10 2% 7% 18% 41% 100% ^
California 9 9 1% 3% 8% 56% 100% ^
Wake Forest 7 11 1% 2% 11% 38% 100% ^
Florida St. 10 8 <1% 1% 4% 44% 100% ^
Pittsburgh 5 13 <1% 1% 3% 29% 100% ^
Stanford 9 9 X X X X X 100%
Virginia Tech 8 10 X X X X X 100%
Syracuse 6 12 X X X X X 100%
Notre Dame 4 14 X X X X X X
Boston College 4 14 X X X X X X
Georgia Tech 2 16 X X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot