The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| N.C. State (9‑4) vs Wake Forest (9‑4) |
31 | N.C. State Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Louisville (10‑2) vs California (12‑1) |
2 | Louisville Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| California Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Georgia Tech (8‑4) vs Duke (11‑1) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Duke Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Florida St. (6‑6) vs North Carolina (11‑1) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 16% | ||
| Pittsburgh (7‑6) vs Miami (11‑2) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Miami Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Virginia Tech (11‑2) vs Virginia (10‑1) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Syracuse (8‑4) vs Clemson (10‑3) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 16% | ||
| Notre Dame (9‑4) vs Stanford (10‑2) |
0 | Notre Dame Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 16% | ||