The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Florida St. (13‑13) vs Clemson (20‑7) |
30 | Florida St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 24% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson Wins | <1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 31% | 19% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑15) vs Virginia (22‑3) |
3 | Georgia Tech Wins | 1% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU (18‑8) vs Boston College (9‑17) |
3 | SMU Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (15‑12) vs North Carolina (20‑6) |
2 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 24% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 28% | 18% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (18‑8) vs Stanford (16‑10) |
1 | California Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 29% | 17% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 30% | 18% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest (14‑12) vs Virginia Tech (17‑10) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||