The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| N.C. State (10‑16) vs Wake Forest (19‑7) |
25 | N.C. State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 77% | ||
| Pittsburgh (16‑10) vs Notre Dame (11‑15) |
10 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 79% | ||
| Georgia Tech (13‑13) vs Boston College (11‑15) |
2 | Georgia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Boston College Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 72% | ||
| Virginia Tech (11‑15) vs Miami (6‑20) |
2 | Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Miami Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 72% | ||
| Virginia (13‑13) vs North Carolina (16‑11) |
0 | Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 72% | ||
| California (12‑14) vs Stanford (16‑10) |
0 | California Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 72% | ||
| Florida St. (16‑10) vs Louisville (20‑6) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Louisville Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| SMU (20‑6) vs Clemson (21‑5) |
0 | SMU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||
| Clemson Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% | ||